The Broncos defense is legit and is helping to keep Bo Nix viable as he crawls his way to NFL relevance. At this point, it’s hard to trust the Raiders even if you know what they’re doing. This is going to be a low-scoring game, and having the home team in a divisional rivalry is always a positive.

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This number has flirted with 7 points, which is a huge difference from 6.5. There is no question that the Ravens are the toughest test the upstart Commanders have faced to date. There are plenty of reasons to think Baltimore will roll. However, from what Jayden Daniels has shown so far, even if he’s behind double digits late, there’s a good chance to cover. Until someone slaps that taste out of Washington’s mouth, it’s hard to bet against them.

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Jordan Love and Kyler Murray both have something to prove. Both defenses are prone to allowing big plays that tilt the field. By all accounts, this game should have more touchdowns than field goals because of the willingness of both offenses to take downfield shots. This point should be higher.

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How does this game have a higher O/U number than the Cardinals-Packers? The Giants haven’t played many legitimate teams this season and have scored 21 points or less in four of five games. Unless the Bengals score 34 points, this one will have a hard time hitting the Over, because the Giants don’t have the offensive horses to hold up their end.

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The Bucs are 3-2 and their 2024 resume include wins over the Commanders, Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles. It can be argued the worst of their schedule is behind them. The Saints are starting rookie Spencer Rattler against a playoff-tested veteran defense. The Bucs defense may score points, which makes laying 3.5 a lot easier. A double-digit win isn’t out of the question.