The No. 3 Texas Longhorns (8-1) will try to stay on track for an SEC Championship Game appearance when they face the Arkansas Razorbacks (5-4) on Saturday afternoon. Texas bounced back from its loss to then-No. 5 Georgia with wins over then-No. 25 Vanderbilt and Florida. Arkansas has alternated wins and losses over its last six games, falling to then-No. 19 Ole Miss in a 63-31 blowout two weeks ago. This is the first time Texas and Arkansas will meet as members of the SEC, but it is the 80th all-time meeting. 

Kickoff is set for noon ET on Saturday at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Texas is favored by 12.5 points in the latest Arkansas vs. Texas odds, while the over/under is 57.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Texas vs. Arkansas picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a strong 18-12 on all top-rated picks over the past seven weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Texas vs. Arkansas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:

• Arkansas vs. Texas spread: Texas -12.5
• Arkansas vs. Texas over/under: 57.5 points
• Arkansas vs. Texas money line: Texas -493, Arkansas +365
• Arkansas vs. Texas picks: See picks here
• Arkansas vs. Texas streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas has already knocked off one top-10 team at home this season, taking down then-No. 4 Tennessee as a 14-point home underdog last month. Junior quarterback Taylen Green completed 19 of 27 passes for 266 yards in the school’s biggest win of the season. The Razorbacks also played close games against then-No. 16 Oklahoma State and then-No. 24 Texas A&M in September. 

Additionally, they cruised to a 58-25 win over Mississippi State as 7.5-point favorites at the end of October, with Green throwing five touchdown passes. Freshman running back Braylen Russell had 175 rushing yards on 16 carries in that game, displaying the potential that Arkansas’ offense possesses. The Razorbacks have covered the spread in six of their last nine games, and they have covered in five of their last six games against Texas. See which team to pick here. 

Why Texas can cover

Texas has won eight of its first nine games this season, with seven of those wins coming by at least 19 points. The Longhorns are coming off a dominant performance against Florida, cruising to a 49-17 win as 21.5-point favorites. Junior quarterback Quinn Ewers completed 19 of 27 passes for 333 yards and five touchdowns, while freshman running back Jerrick Gibson had 100 rushing yards and a touchdown. 

The Longhorns subsequently moved up to No. 3 in the College Football Playoff rankings, tying their highest ever spot in the poll. They have won nine consecutive road games since a loss to Oklahoma State in 2022, going 5-0 last year and 2-0 this year. Texas has covered the spread in nine of its last 13 games, while Arkansas is 2-9 against the spread in its last 11 home games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Arkansas vs. Texas picks

The model has simulated Texas vs. Arkansas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas vs. Arkansas spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.