Data Skrive
The Baltimore Ravens (7-3) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2), despite the Steelers having won four games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 48.5 points.
Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.
Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson highlight Parkins’ Week 11 picks | Breakfast Ball
Danny Parkins makes his picks for Week 11of the NFL season. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs against the Buffalo Bills, Lamar Jackson’s Baltimore Ravens face Russell Wilson and the surging Pittsburgh Steelers. San Francisco 49ers face the Seattle Seahawks.
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ravens | -3.5 | -101 | -120 | 48.5 | -110 | -110 |
Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Steelers (+3.5)
- Pick OU: Over (48.5)
- Prediction:
Steelers 25 – Ravens 23
How to Watch Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
- Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- TV: CBS
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Ravens vs. Steelers Recent Matchups
- Pittsburgh has a 4-1 record against Baltimore in their last five matchups.
- Baltimore has been outpaced by 18 points in its last five tilts versus Pittsburgh.
Baltimore Betting Info
- Baltimore has six wins in 10 games versus the spread this year.
- The Ravens have covered the spread three times this season (3-3 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
- Baltimore games this year have gone over the total in nine out of 10 opportunities (90%).
- When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Ravens are 7-2, picking up a win 77.8% of the time.
- The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Ravens a 63.0% chance to win.
Ravens Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 257.6 (2,576) | 3 |
Rush yards | 182.6 (1,826) | 1 |
Points scored | 31.8 (318) | 1 |
Pass yards against | 294.9 (2,949) | 32 |
Rush yards against | 73.0 (730) | 1 |
Points allowed | 25.3 (253) | 25 |
Baltimore’s Key Players
Offense
- Lamar Jackson has thrown for 2,669 yards (second in the NFL), 24 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and two interceptions this year. He averages 266.9 yards per game and 9.3 per attempt, while completing 69.1% of his passes.
- To go along with his passing stats, Jackson also has 538 rushing yards (second on the Ravens), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 1,120 rushing yards (second in the NFL) with 12 touchdowns (112.0 yards per game across 10 games). His 6.1 yards per attempt lead in the NFL.
- He’s caught 10 passes (on 12 targets) for 96 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 9.6 receiving yards and 1.0 catches per game.
- In the passing attack, Zay Flowers, has racked up 688 receiving yards (sixth in the NFL) and three touchdowns after catching 50 balls on 73 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 68.8 yards and 5.0 receptions over 10 games.
- Rashod Bateman averages 3.1 receptions and 50.1 yards per game, and has 501 total receiving yards and 31 catches. He’s gotten 47 total targets, and has caught four touchdown passes.
Defense
- On the defensive side, Roquan Smith has 98 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Ravens and is fourth in the NFL.
- Kyle Hamilton has 71 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks this season.
- This season, Trenton Simpson has recorded 1.5 sacks to go along with his 5.0 TFL and 57 tackles.
- This season, Kyle Van Noy has 23 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and seven sacks.
Pittsburgh Betting Info
- Pittsburgh has covered the spread in a matchup seven times this year (7-2-0).
- The Steelers have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
- Pittsburgh games have gone over the total five times this year.
- The Steelers have been listed as the underdog three times this season, yet they have won all of those games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 41.3% chance of a victory for the Steelers.
Steelers Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 188.0 (1,692) | 26 |
Rush yards | 138.3 (1,245) | 8 |
Points scored | 23.9 (215) | 16 |
Pass yards against | 215.6 (1,940) | 19 |
Rush yards against | 87.1 (784) | 4 |
Points allowed | 16.2 (146) | 2 |
Pittsburgh’s Key Players
Offense
- Through six games played this year, Justin Fields has totaled 1,106 passing yards, while throwing five touchdowns against one interception and completing 66.3% of his attempts.
- On the ground, Fields has added five rushing touchdowns and 231 rushing yards (second on the Steelers).
- Najee Harris has 645 rushing yards (leading the Steelers) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 71.7 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (29th in the NFL).
- Harris also has 17 catches for 152 yards (fifth on the Steelers). He has been targeted 24 times and averages 16.9 yards per game.
- So far this season, George Pickens has caught 40 passes for 639 receiving yards (ninth in the NFL) with two touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 65 total times and is averaging 4.4 receptions per game over nine games played.
- Russell Wilson has 737 passing yards, six touchdowns and one interception. His completion percentage is 58.8% and he averages 245.7 yards per game and 8.7 per attempt.
- Wilson also has one rushing touchdown and 13 rushing yards (seventh on the Steelers).
Defense
- T.J. Watt has put up 6.5 sacks (first on the Steelers) to go with 10.0 TFL and 33 tackles through nine games in 2024.
- DeShon Elliott has 3.0 TFL, 64 tackles, and one interception.
- Cameron Heyward has 5.0 sacks (second on the Steelers) in addition to his 6.0 TFL and 35 tackles.
- Patrick Queen’s season stats include 62 tackles and 4.0 TFL through nine games. He is second on the Steelers in tackles.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?