Feb 20, 2025
Qatar Issues $3 Billion in Dollar Bonds Amid Budget Shortfall
Qatar has successfully sold $3 billion of dollar-denominated bonds to offset a budget deficit exacerbated by declining oil and gas prices. According to Bloomberg, the sovereign issued $1 billion in three-year senior unsecured notes and $2 billion in 10-year bonds. Despite a surplus in 2024, the nation faces a deficit of 13.2 billion riyals ($3.62 billion) this year, which the government is attributing partly to the averaged lower liquid natural gas prices assumed in its budget vis-a-vis current Brent crude prices hovering around $76 per barrel.
The issuance was well-received, evidenced by investor orders surpassing $12 billion. Analysts attribute the overwhelming demand to Qatar’s strong sovereign spreads, marked at about 67 basis points above Treasuries, compared to the emerging market average of 317 basis points, a factor further complemented by Qatar’s AA credit rating. According to IndexBox data, the Middle Eastern nation’s low-risk profile continues to reassure investors. This move was orchestrated with the coordination of major financial institutions, including JPMorgan Chase, QNB Capital LLC, and Standard Chartered.
Fitch Ratings analysts project the government will continue refinancing maturing debts and diversifying funding avenues, supported by Qatar’s scheduled expansion in LNG production between 2026 and 2028. Moody’s highlights that the nation’s fiscal improvements from 2021 to 2023 are likely to sustain, with an emphasis on fiscal prudence. The bonds, issued at tightened spreads of 30 basis points over the benchmark for three-year notes and 45 basis points for 10-year bonds, will trade on the London Stock Exchange and operate under English law.
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