Week 9 of the NFL season wraps up with an exciting interconference clash as Baker Mayfield leads the Buccaneers to Kansas City to take on Patrick Mahomes and the undefeated Chiefs. Leveraging Stokastic’s tools, we’re diving into the player pool to uncover the top contrarian NFL DFS picks for this Monday Night Football matchup.
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Stokastic’s Captain Top-300 Exposure
DraftKings: 11.0%
Ownership Projection
DraftKings: 5.3%
After a few quiet primetime games, this Buccaneers-Chiefs showdown offers a refreshing pace. Kansas City is a 9-point home favorite, yet Tampa Bay’s offense has been one of the league’s best, suggesting Mayfield and the Bucs could keep it competitive. While the absence of top receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin might pose a challenge, tight end Cade Otton has stepped up as a reliable target for Mayfield.
Averaging 11.3 DraftKings points per game, Otton has been a top fantasy tight end this season. Over the last two weeks, he’s amassed 50.1 DraftKings points and should benefit from a Chiefs defense that struggles against tight ends. Despite Otton’s increased role in the offense, his $12,600 Captain salary has kept many DFS players hesitant, making him an undervalued option.
Otton appears in 11% of the top 300 lineups according to simulated ROI, but only 5.3% of the field projects to roster him in that slot.
Stokastic’s Utility Top-300 Exposure
DraftKings: 43.3%
Ownership Projection
DraftKings: 24.6%
Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker is another appealing leverage option that Stokastic’s NFL DFS Sims have identified. Including a kicker in Showdown lineups may not be glamorous, but it’s strategic for this slate since the Chiefs often rely on Butker for long-range field goals. Butker is averaging 9.3 DraftKings points per game, and he is among the most reliable kickers in both real life and fantasy.
With a 43.3% appearance rate in top-300 lineups as a Flex, Butker is projected to be rostered by just 24.4% of the field. This massive ownership differential makes him a strong leverage play.
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Here’s how the Single-Lineup Simulator is analyzing a Buccaneers-Chiefs Week 9 MNF DraftKings lineup based on some of the contrarian NFL DFS picks mentioned here. If you like the results, sign up for a Lite, Core or Max NFL package to see how your lineup’s ROI stacks up!
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Brooke Pryor, ESPN Staff WriterDec 21, 2024, 09:51 PM ETClosePreviously covered the Kansas City Chiefs for the Kansas City Star and Oklahoma University for the