The 2024-25 NBA season is right around the corner — only 65 days away! — and with the release of the regular-season schedule, excitement looms for another season of matchups.
There’s a plethora of familiar faces in new places, most notably sharpshooter Klay Thompson, who, after 13 years with the Golden State Warriors, joined forces with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving to attempt to make another run to the Finals.
LeBron James, the league’s all-time leading scorer, enters a record-tying 22nd season in the NBA, teaming up with his son Bronny James and looking to turn the Los Angeles Lakers‘ luck around after two disappointing seasons.
After a relatively drama-free offseason, questions still loom across the league. Can the Boston Celtics continue their dominant streak through the East? Will Paul George be the catalyst to help lift Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers to success?
Enter ESPN’s Summer Forecast panel, a group of experts the NBA’s biggest questions heading into the 2024-25 season. (Here’s the math: A first-place vote received five points, a second-place vote three points and a third-place vote one.)
Here are the results:
Note: Our 2024-25 NBA Summer Forecast continues Tuesday with predictions for all the major awards.
Our Team Turnaround vote focuses on the teams that are best positioned to make a huge jump in the standings. After an injury-stricken season, the Memphis Grizzlies are primed to make a return to the contender’s table in a competitive Western Conference thanks to the return of Ja Morant and the addition of rookie big man Zach Edey.
Not far behind are the San Antonio Spurs, led by reigning Rookie of the Year Victor Wembanyama. After a successful run in the 2024 Paris Olympics leading France to the gold medal matchup against Team USA, Wembanyama is entering Year 2 already looking like a veteran. And now, with the addition of a tenured Chris Paul and rookie Stephon Castle, the Spurs have a chance to make a huge leap this season.
1. Memphis Grizzlies: 63 points (42% of first-place votes)
2. San Antonio Spurs: 48 points
3. Golden State Warriors: 18 points
4. Phoenix Suns: 14 points
T-5. Milwaukee Bucks: 9 points
T-5. Philadelphia 76ers: 9 points
T-7. Houston Rockets: 6 points
T-7. Orlando Magic: 6 points
T-7. Sacramento Kings: 6 points
10. Brooklyn Nets: 5 points
T-11. Charlotte Hornets: 1 point
T-11. Miami Heat: 1 point
T-11. New Orleans Pelicans: 1 point
T-11. Portland Trail Blazers: 1 point
When it comes to the Team Turmoil vote, the focus is on uncertainty on the floor, coaching staff and front office.
This season’s “winner” is the Los Angeles Lakers, who have a first-time coach in JJ Reddick, a superstar turning 40 in LeBron James and plenty of questions on the court after a first-round exit in last season’s playoffs.
Following the Lakers are their crosstown rivals, the LA Clippers, who are opening the sparkling new Intuit Dome down one All-Star after Paul George left for Philadelphia. The Hawks take third after trading away Dejounte Murray in the offseason and handing the offensive reins to Trae Young, whose future in Atlanta remains in question.
1. Los Angeles Lakers: 53 points (43% of first-place votes)
2. LA Clippers: 25 points
T-3. Atlanta Hawks: 19 points
T-3. Chicago Bulls: 19 points
T-5. Denver Nuggets: 12 points
T-5. Milwaukee Bucks: 12 points
7. Miami Heat: 10 points
T-8. Golden State Warriors: 7 points
T-8. Phoenix Suns: 7 points
10. Dallas Mavericks: 6 points
11. Brooklyn Nets: 5 points
12. Philadelphia 76ers: 4 points
T-13. Houston Rockets: 3 points
T-13. New York Knicks: 3 points
T-13. Washington Wizards: 3 points
In our most lopsided vote, Victor Wembanyama ran away with the first-time All-Star category. The 20-year-old big man is fresh off leading France to a silver medal at the 2024 Olympics in his home country and more than ready for his sophomore campaign in the NBA.
Wembanyama averaged 21.4 points and 10.6 rebounds per game last season and will now have the veteran presence of Chris Paul to help guide him into the next phase of his career.
Chet Holmgren, Wembanyama’s biggest rival to date, comes in second in the vote following a runner-up Rookie of the Year performance last season. Despite trailing Wembanyama in most statistical categories, Holmgren was able to guide the Oklahoma City Thunder to a No. 1 seed last season, and the future is bright for his young squad.
In third is newly acquired New York Knick Mikal Bridges.
1. Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs: 101 points (90% of first-place votes)
2. Chet Holmgren, Oklahoma City Thunder: 30 points
3. Mikal Bridges, New York Knicks: 20 points
4. Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets: 13 points
5. Cade Cunningham, Detroit Pistons: 9 points
6. Evan Mobley, Cleveland Cavaliers: 7 points
7. Buddy Hield. Golden State Warriors: 3 points
T-8. Jaime Jaquez Jr., Miami Heat: 1 point
T-8. Alperen Sengun, Houston Rockets: 1 point
The offseason was full of free agents finding homes in new places, including nine-time All-Star Paul George joining forces with Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey in Philadelphia. After negotiations for a max contract fell through, George’s five-season stint with the Clippers came to a close. George remains one of the NBA’s elite two-wing players, taking the top spot for the player with the biggest impact on his new team.
Mikal Bridges took the second spot in our vote, crossing the Brooklyn Bridge to join forces with the Nova Knicks in Madison Square Garden. After coming off a run to the Eastern Conference semifinals and a 50-win campaign, Bridges will benefit from the roster of talent around him including Jalen Brunson, Julian Randle and a recently resigned OG Anunoby.
Defensive specialist Alex Caruso grabbed the third spot in our vote, adding veteran talent to an already top-tier defensive team in Oklahoma.
Six players made the rankings overall, indicating the NBA landscape could see a shake-up this season.
1. Paul George, Philadelphia 76ers: 68 points (48% of first-place votes)
2. Mikal Bridges, New York Knicks: 40 points
3. Alex Caruso, Oklahoma City Thunder: 31 points
4. DeMar DeRozan, Sacramento Kings: 24 points
5. Chris Paul, San Antonio Spurs: 16 points
6. Klay Thompson, Dallas Mavericks: 9 points
Since being drafted No. 2 overall in 2016 and joining the Pelicans in 2019, 26-year old Brandon Ingram hasn’t found the immediate success he was hoping for. He averaged 20.8 points, 5.7 assists and 5.1 rebounds last season — a slight downturn from his numbers in 2022-23. Ingram has one year remaining on his four-year, $158 million contract. If he doesn’t get an extension, the one-time All-Star could start shopping around.
The Chicago Bulls’ Zach LaVine has been in the center of trade speculation for months amidst growing tension between the All-Star and the organization. However, the trade market never fully developed for LaVine due to his contract, and the Bulls are preparing to bring the 10-year veteran back to training camp this fall after he had season-ending surgery on his right foot last February. With the departure of DeMar DeRozan and the uncertainty of Lonzo Ball’s return, LaVine could be the next to ask out of Chicago.
(Note: This category was scored on a one-point-per-vote basis.)
T-1. Brandon Ingram, New Orleans Pelicans: 5 points
T-1. Zach LaVine, Chicago Bulls: 5 points
3. Trae Young, Atlanta Hawks: 4 points
T-4. Jimmy Butler, Miami Heat: 2 points
T-4. Kevin Durant, Phoenix Suns: 2 points
T-4. Darius Garland, Cleveland Cavaliers: 2 points
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