Holger Rune will face Roberto Carballes Baena in the round of 32 at the 2025 ATP Mexico Open tournament on Wednesday.

This article features Stats Insider’s prediction and tips for the Rune vs Carballes Baena match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday’s Rune-Carballes Baena men’s singles match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives Rune a 65% chance of winning against Carballes Baena at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

Rune vs Carballes Baena: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Wednesday’s ATP Mexico Open match between Rune and Carballes Baena are listed below:

• Head to Head: Rune $1.25, Carballes Baena $4.00
• First Set: Rune $1.33, Carballes Baena $3.40

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Rune at $1.25 and Carballes Baena at $4.00.

TAB currently has odds for Rune to win the first set at $1.33 and odds for Carballes Baena to win the first set at $3.40.

Rune vs Carballes Baena: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Carballes Baena at $4.00 with TAB
• First Set: Carballes Baena at $1.66 with TAB (57% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know it’s one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

Stats Insider’s Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Rune is more likely to win the match, taking Carballes Baena to win is our preferred option due to the 11.6% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.

Using the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable over the long run.

And while Rune is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Carballes Baena ($1.66) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Rune vs Carballes Baena: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena match at the ATP Mexico Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Rune-Carballes Baena match at the ATP Mexico Open event.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Rune vs Carballes Baena: ATP Mexico Open Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Mexico Open match between Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT.

• Match: Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena
• Date: Wednesday 26 February 2025
• Approx. Time: 11:00am AEDT
• Event: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men’s Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it’s vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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