The Atlanta Hawks will host the Miami Heat on Monday for an Eastern Conference matchup between Southeast Division rivals. Atlanta is currently ninth in the East standings at 26-31 while Miami is 26-29 and sits eighth in the conference, and both teams are hot on the heels of the Magic — who lead the division at 29-30. The franchises have split their last four head-to-head meetings both straight up and against the spread.

Tipoff from State Farm Arena in Atlanta is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Miami is a 1-point favorite in the latest Hawks vs. Heat odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 228.5. Before making any Heat vs. Hawks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-106 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.  

Now, the model has set its sights on Atlanta vs. Miami and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Hawks:

• Hawks vs. Heat spread: Miami -1
• Hawks vs. Heat over/under: 228.5 points
• Hawks vs. Heat money line: Miami -116, Atlanta -104
• Hawks vs. Heat picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Hawks vs. Heat streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Hawks can cover

The Hawks fell to the Pistons 148-143 on Sunday. Trae Young dropped a double-double on 38 points and 13 assists in the loss and Dyson Daniels was another key player, going 10 for 14 en route to 24 points while adding six assists and five rebounds. 

Atlanta was inevitably undone by allowing Detroit to shoot 59.1% from the floor and 50% from the 3-point line. It was the second time in three games that the Hawks scored at least 140 points and lost, but they’ve still covered the spread in seven of their last nine overall. See which team to pick here.

Why the Heat can cover

On Sunday, the Heat couldn’t handle the Bucks and fell 120-113. Miami got off to an early lead (up 14 with 0:09 left in the first quarter), but sadly they weren’t able to maintain that momentum. However, Tyler Herro had a monster outing in the defeat, dropping a double-double on 40 points and 11 assists.

Herro has scored at least 28 points in three consecutive games and he’s averaging a career-high 24.2 points per game this season. This will be the fifth road game in a row for the Heat and their ninth time as the visitors in their last 10 outings. They’ve covered the spread in four of their last six matchups with the Hawks. See which team to pick here.

How to make Hawks vs. Heat picks

The model has simulated Miami vs. Atlanta 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under the total, projecting 215 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only see the NBA picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Hawks, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Hawks vs. Heat spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-106 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.