The Super Bowl may have just ended, but the fantasy football season is 365 days a year. If you want to get an early look at how 2025 fantasy football drafts will shake out, the best way to do so is by firing up a mock using our Draft Wizard fantasy football mock draft simulator.
This is my first early mock draft of the season. It’s for a 12-team PPR league. The Draft Wizard randomly assigned me the 10th pick. The roster settings are 1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-Fles and six bench slots. Without further ado, let’s jump right into it.
Even in a down year for the Texans’ offense, Nico Collins followed up his breakout 2023 season with a dominant 2024 campaign. If you exclude Week 5 (he was injured early) and Week 18 (the Texans’ starters hardly played), he averaged 18 PPR points per game.
For the entire regular season, he ranked third in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus (PFF) receiving grade, trailing only Puka Nacua and A.J. Brown. Especially with the Texans’ question marks behind him in terms of receiving depth, Collins might see even more targets in 2024. I love him as a rock-solid WR1.
With all that said about Collins, I was even more excited about this second pick. A.J. Brown ranked second in each of PFF receiving grade, yards per route run and target share in 2024. The only player ahead of him in all three stats, Puka Nacua, goes off the board in the first half of the first round.
Brown being available in the second round is simply a mistake. Of course, the reason why is clear: He was “only” the WR12 with 16.7 PPR points per game last season. However, that certainly wasn’t his fault. To go along with his dominant per-route stats, he also easily led the league in ESPN’s receiver tracking metrics. The issue with Brown’s production was that the Eagles posted an absurdly low 44% pass rate, relying on their elite defense and Saquon Barkley to win games.
As clearly excellent as the Eagles’ entire roster is, that pass rate is almost bound to regress toward the 57% NFL average. If it does, Brown will remind everyone he is arguably the best receiver in the entire league. I have already made the case for Brown as a dynasty trade target and am doubling down with the take he is a must-draft player anywhere in the second round.
After starting with two stud receivers, I felt obligated to take a running back at this point in the draft… and I didn’t love my options. I considered both James Cook (who had a pretty mediocre season for a guy with 18 touchdowns) and Kenneth Walker (more on him in a second) but ultimately went with the veteran in Kamara.
Kamara has lost a step (or three) since his prime, but he is still locked in as the Saints’ No. 1 RB for 2025. With Kellen Moore in town and Derek Carr hopefully staying healthy, New Orleans’ offense should be less dreadful this season. Especially in a full PPR format, Kamara’s dual-threat usage in an improved offense will allow him to provide another borderline RB1 season.
As mentioned, I considered Kenneth Walker in the third round, so I was happy to see him fall a few more spots to me in the fourth. Walker’s overall 2024 season was disappointing, as he struggled with injuries and often saw backup Zach Charbonnet outperform him.
However, there were some promising signs: Walker saw elite receiving usage at times and he did finish as a top-10 PPR back in four of his first five outings. Meanwhile, new Seahawks offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak brings an outside zone scheme that should fit Walker’s skill set and is saying all the right things about getting him the ball (for whatever that’s worth in February). This is certainly a risky pick, but Walker was my favorite back left on the board at this point.
It may seem strange to add DeVonta Smith to a team that already has Brown, but I would argue this move makes perfect sense. Smith is simply a slightly lesser version of Brown: An excellent talent whose 2024 production was held back by the Eagles’ conservative game plan.
Drafting Brown in the early second round is a bet Philadelphia will pass the ball more often in 2025 and that the rising tide will lift Smith’s boat, too. Even putting that all aside, Smith is just underrated as a talent — he ranked 13th among receivers in PFF receiving grade in 2024. Adding a player that good in the late fifth round is a no-brainer, even if his situation isn’t ideal.
Given the sky-high expectations after the Bears selected him with the ninth overall pick, Rome Odunze’s rookie year was disappointing. But his final line of 734 yards and three touchdowns on over 100 targets is nothing to scoff at.
Meanwhile, his situation will be massively improved this year: Keenan Allen is almost certainly gone and play-calling whiz Ben Johnson is in town. Especially given that Odunze won’t have to start on this roster that already has three receivers, I love taking a shot on his upside here in the draft.
I can’t believe I’m saying this, but Najee Harris is one of my favorite picks in early fantasy football average draft position (ADP). Yes, he isn’t the most exciting player, especially at this stage of his career, but Harris has one thing going for him that can’t be said about many running backs at this stage of the offseason: We can be pretty sure he will see volume in 2025.
Since he is a free agent, Harris is bound to sign with a team that values his skill set and plans on using him. And we know that he can be a solid fantasy option when given the opportunity. In a section of the draft where most running backs come with tons of question marks, that makes Harris a very solid pick.
Last year, I was in on Kyler Murray as a borderline top-six quarterback. That didn’t quite work out. Despite a disappointing season, he still finished as the QB10 in total points and QB12 in points per game.
Given his still-prodigious dual-threat ability, last season was closer to Murray’s floor than his ceiling. With that in mind, I will happily grab him as the 11th quarterback off the board in the eighth round.
Mark Andrews is a very interesting player heading into the 2025 season. There is a real argument to be made Andrews is about to fade into fantasy irrelevance. He is 29 years old and coming off his worst season in years, and Isaiah Likely is emerging to cut into his workload in Baltimore.
But there is also a real argument Andrews’ lackluster 2024 was thanks more to injuries and bad usage to start the season than any real decline in talent. I’m more swayed by the latter argument. Especially at this stage of a draft, I’m willing to take the risk and hope for a bounce-back season from Andrews.
In retrospect, I probably should have used this pick to gamble on a rookie running back — there were some intriguing options still available, including Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson. But I’m not particularly sad about ending up with Tyler Allgeier. Although he carries essentially zero standalone value, Allgeier is still one of the most rock-solid handcuffs in the league.
If Bijan Robinson were to miss time, his backup could immediately be slotted into fantasy lineups as an RB2. As someone who always advocates for stashing as many handcuffs as physically possible, Allgeier is someone I will likely have a lot of in 2025 as Robinson’s fully healthy 2024 season has depressed Allgeier’s ADP.
Do you remember the start of the 2024 fantasy football season? Me neither. But I looked it up. Rashid Shaheed finished as a top-20 PPR wide receiver in four of his six healthy games before suffering a season-ending knee injury. Not only that, but he posted a solid 23% target share and an elite 48% air yards share, both numbers that easily outpaced Chris Olave to lead the Saints’ offense.
Expecting Shaheed to return as the Saints’ No. 1 WR in 2025 requires a lot of optimism. But this late in the draft, I’m happy to take a bet on an explosive playmaker who seemed to be on his way to a breakout season before the injury.
Honestly, I didn’t realize Tetaiora McMillan was still on the board, or I would have taken him rounds earlier. The 21-year-old out of Arizona is expected to be the first wide receiver taken in this year’s NFL Draft, and he is all but guaranteed to be a first-round pick.
Once that is confirmed, he is going to shoot up far, far higher than this in fantasy drafts. McMillan isn’t as elite of a prospect as Marvin Harrison Jr. (or Malik Nabers or Odunze) from last year, so don’t expect him to land in the first few rounds. But he will be a mid-round pick, so grabbing him here is an absolute no-brainer.
I unintentionally finished the draft with back-to-back rookies from schools in Arizona, as Cameron Skattebo played his college ball at Arizona State University, whose Sun Devils are rivals with McMillan’s Wildcats. He showed ability as both a runner and a receiver out of the backfield in college.
Although he is likely to put up mediocre numbers at the combine and might not even be selected in the first three rounds of the draft, Skattebo’s versatility means he has a chance to make a fantasy impact right away, especially in PPR formats. With that said, if this were a real draft, Skattebo’s spot on this roster would be on very thin ice — if a different rookie back lands in a better situation, they could easily jump him in value.
Given that I had no idea what to expect going into my first mock draft of the season, I’m happy with how this team turned out. Landing those two rookies in the final two rounds will be unrealistic by the time the actual draft season rolls around, but the rest of this roster is still very solid.
I love Nico Collins and A.J. Brown as a one-two punch at receiver, and I was still able to assemble a decent running back room (thanks mostly to my belief in Najee Harris as a mid-round value). Kyler Murray and Mark Andrews as my only options at quarterback and tight are clear weak spots, but they both still have top-six upside at their respective positions. If even one hits, I should be able to stream the other one-off position (or trade some of my receiver depth for a replacement) and be in a very solid spot to make a playoff push.
Ted Chmyz is a fantasy football contributor for FantasyPros.com. Find him on Twitter @Tchmyz for more fantasy content or to ask questions.
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