After identifying the (to me) obvious contenders in the Wintergreen Stakes on Saturday night at Turfway Park the next question I asked was, “OK, who gets the lead.”
And the answer was so obvious – it’s Dreaming of Mo – that it was clear she had to be the choice here.
Of course, being the most likely winner does not necessarily mean value. But, considering the 5-2 morning line on Dreaming of Mo against fair odds of 8-5, it is looking good that she will be worth a bet.
On paper several of these are similar, particularly Dreaming of Mo and Everland. The former won a high-value handicap on synthetic at Gulfstream last out while the latter won a stakes at this track and distance. The difference, though, is that both Timeform and Brisnet project Dreaming of Mo to have a pace edge. Coupling that with her inside post, she has a big advantage in Florence.
Sand And Sea has the rail, which could help her outrun her odds if the morning line holds up. Ms Quality Control and Austere are the likely big underlays here with fair odds about double their morning lines.
The long shot look goes to Go Lee Ann Go, who trainer Ian Wilkes stretches out while legging up hot jock Joe Ramos. Her two-turn races last summer on turf at Canterbury can contend here, and maybe we get top form third off the layoff.
I will lean heavily on Dreaming of Mo in the multi-race wagers with Sand And Sea, Go Lee Ann Go and Everland the backups and Ms Quality and Austere the tosses. That should also make the verticals playable with Go Lee Ann Go worth keying with the others, and I’ll even throw Sun Bee in there in wagers that lean on Dreaming of Mo.
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