Josh Engleman is here, back with my DraftKings NBA DFS picks. I have all the top plays, from value options to high-upside picks, so let’s dive into Stokastic’s NBA DFS Sims, NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections. We have a solid group of games, so let’s jump right into it. If you want to hear more about these picks, join me for The Deeper Dive and get all of our breakdowns and analysis.
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Position: C | Salary: $8,500
Projections: 21.7 Points, 10.9 Rebounds, 5.9 Assists, 2.0 Stocks
Sengun is looking fantastic for today’s slate. With 33 minutes projected for Sengun, I have him just shy of 50 fantasy points in a matchup against the Spurs. There’s no Victor Wembanyama to worry about, and their only center option is Bismack Biyombo. The other guys at center for the Spurs are Jeremy Sochan and Sandro Mamukelashvili, both of whom aren’t exactly a match for Sengun. I’m giving him a 17% optimal chance and a 41% chance to hit 52 fantasy points. If you’re looking to pay up at center today, Sengun is your best option.
Position: C | Salary: $4,200
Projections: 11.7 Points, 8.1 Rebounds, 2.1 Assists, 1.8 Stocks
Sharpe is a value option at center, priced at just $4,200. Even though the matchup against Oklahoma City isn’t ideal, the Nets are going to need someone to step up with Nicolas Claxton suspended and Cam Johnson questionable. Sharpe has a 19% chance to be optimal and a 38% chance of scoring 30 fantasy points, which makes him a great value play today. If he starts, he’ll be a priority play, and at his price he should be in most lineups.
Position: C | Salary: $4,400
Projections: 11.9 Points, 7.3 Rebounds, 2.9 Assists, 1.9 Stocks
Collins has a 20% optimal rate and a 39% chance to hit 31 fantasy points. Like Sharpe, he’s not in an ideal matchup, facing the Clippers, but his price and role make him a strong value pick. Both Collins and Sharpe are going to be heavily owned today, and you’ll probably end up using one or both of them in your lineups.
Position: SF/PF | Salary: $3,400
Projections: 8.7 Points, 4.9 Rebounds, 3.2 Assists, 1.8 Stocks
Anderson is a sneaky value play for today, especially with Bam Adebayo being questionable. If Adebayo sits, Anderson’s value will only rise. He has a 22% chance of being in the optimal lineup, and with his versatility and potential minutes, he’s an intriguing option. Anderson played big minutes last time out, and even with three fewer minutes projected, he’s a solid pick today.
Position: PG | Salary: $9,800
Projections: 29.6 Points, 6.0 Rebounds, 9.2 Assists, 2.1 Stocks
Without Norman Powell, Harden is projected to play 37 minutes and should put up 50-plus fantasy points, with a 45% chance of hitting 59 fantasy points, which makes him a strong play today. Harden has a 21% chance of landing in the optimal lineup, and with the Bulls being as bad as they are, this is a great spot for him to deliver big. If you’re looking for the best payoff option on the slate, it’s Harden.
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