The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Commanders will meet in the Wild Card round of the 2025 NFL playoff bracket. The Commanders went 12-5 during the regular season, clinching the sixth seed in the NFC playoff bracket. In Week 18, Washington defeated the Dallas Cowboys, 23-19, ending the campaign on a five-game win streak. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers topped the New Orleans Saints, 27-19, to clinch the NFC South title. These teams played in Week 1, where the Buccaneers beat Washington, 37-20.

Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay is set for 8 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a 3-point favorite in the latest Commanders vs. Buccaneers odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 50.5. Before locking in any Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and NFL betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model, as well as everything else that SportsLine has to help you crush your NFL Wild Card picks. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2025 NFL playoffs on a 31-14 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year, a stunning 69% success rate. Longer term, it is on a 211-142 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 65-35 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has simulated Commanders vs. Buccaneers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and NFL betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Commanders vs. Buccaneers:

• Commanders vs. Buccaneers spread: Tampa Bay -3
• Commanders vs. Buccaneers over/under: 50.5 points
• Commanders vs. Buccaneers money line: Tampa Bay -176, Washington +147
• WAS: Commanders are 10-6-1 against the spread this season
• TB: Buccaneers are 10-7 against the spread this season
• Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Commanders vs. Buccaneers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Commanders can cover

Quarterback Jayden Daniels has taken the league by storm as a rookie. Daniels completed 69% of his throws for 3,568 yards, 25 passing touchdowns, and a 70.6 QBR. He also leads the team in rushing yards (891) with six rushing touchdowns. The LSU product has eight games with multiple passing touchdowns. In Week 1 against Tampa Bay, Daniels had 184 passing yards, 88 rushing yards, and two rushing touchdowns.

Receiver Terry McLaurin has been a dynamic and explosive weapon for this offense. This season, the Ohio State product leads the team in targets (117), receptions (82), receiving yards (1,096), and touchdowns (13). He scored a touchdown in five of his last six games. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Quarterback Baker Mayfield is coming off a dominant campaign. The Oklahoma product was third in the league in passing yards (4,500) and tied for second in passing touchdowns (41). The 29-year-old has gone over 300 yards in six games this season.

Receiver Mike Evans is the No. 1 weapon in the passing attack and continues to excel all across the field. Evans had 74 catches for 1,004 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has finished with 1,000-plus yards in 11 straight seasons. Evans has notched 60-plus receiving yards in seven straight games. See who to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks

The model is leaning Over the point total, projecting 58 total points, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. 

So who wins Commanders vs. Buccaneers in the NFL playoffs 2025, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Buccaneers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks.