The first coast-to-coast Pick 5 of the winter kicks off Saturday, and we decided to put a few of our reports to the test, including Power Picks for Gulfstream and Santa Anita, our Pace Report and our AI odds.

Gulfstream Park race 8, 3:48 p.m. EST, Abundantia, 5 furlongs, turf

The Power Picks analysis shows no. 12 Twirling Queen (5-2) holding a narrow advantage with a score of 65, just two points clear of no. 1 Mrs. Gambolini (7-2) at 67 with the lower score being better. The minimal spread between the top choices suggests a highly competitive race.

The pace analysis reveals an extremely hot scenario with a 154 rating and 95% confidence, with no. 6 Shootoutthelights showing a 45% probability of making the lead. This hot pace scenario could set up well for closers, potentially compromising early speed horses.

In the AI odds analysis, no. 10 Karaya emerges as a key value play showing morning-line odds of 8-1, but projected AI off odds of 5-1 and even stronger fair odds of 3-1.

Gulfstream Park race 10, 4:51 p.m. EST, Mr. Prospector (G3), 7 furlongs, dirt

In the Power Picks, no. 10 White Abarrio (3-5) leads with a score of 55 followed by no. 1 Playmea Tune (15-1), who surprisingly ranks second with a score of 61. The six-point spread indicates solid confidence in the favorite.

Pace projections show a moderate scenario with a 43 rating and 97% confidence with no. 3 Super Chow showing a 47% probability of securing the early lead. This balanced pace should provide fair opportunities for all running styles.

The AI odds analysis highlights two major potential price drops, no. 9 Illuminare, with a morning line of 10-1 to AI off at 3-1, and no. 1 Playmea Tune, 15-1 to 5-1. Heavy favorite White Abarrio appears fairly priced with AI off odds of 6-5 relative to his morning line of 3-5.

Santa Anita race 6, 5:04 p.m. EST, Joe Hernandez (G2), 6 1/2 furlongs, turf

The Power Picks show no. 6 Motorious (5-2) leading with a score of 54, nine points clear of no. 7 Central Dispatch (4-1) at 63. This significant spread demonstrates clear preference for the favorite.

The pace analysis projects a very slow scenario with a 16 rating and 100% confidence and Central Dispatch showing a 39% chance of securing the lead. This setup strongly favors speed horses and front-runners.

In the odds analysis, Motorious represents good value with morning line odds of 5-2 expected to drop to 7-5 with fair odds of 2-1. No. 2 Code Duello appears overvalued at morning line odds of 20-1 compared with AI Off odds of 50-1.

Gulfstream Park race 11, 5:21 p.m. EST, allowance optional claiming, 1 mile, turf

The Power Picks strongly favor no. 4 Catalyzed (9-2), who tops the rankings with a score of 48, well clear of no. 9 Novara (8-1) at 79. The substantial 31-point spread suggests strong confidence in the favorite.

Pace analysis projects a moderate to slow scenario with a 35 rating and 88% confidence with no. 5 Leo Toro showing a 42% probability of making the lead. This pace scenario should benefit front-runners and pace pressers.

Looking at the AI odds, Catalyzed represents a strong value play with morning line odds of 9-2 expected to drop to 2-1 and fair odds even lower at 9-5. By contrast, no. 7 Coldhardstare appears significantly overvalued at 15-1 on the morning line compared with fair odds of 50-1.

Santa Anita race 8, 6:06 p.m. EST, Blue Norther, 1 mile, turf

The Power Picks highlight a competitive matchup between no. 5 Supa Speed (3-1) and no. 9 Will Then (5-2) with scores of 53 and 57, respectively. The narrow four-point spread suggests a closely matched pair.

Pace projections indicate a moderate scenario with a 76 rating and 71% confidence and no. 8 Casalu showing a 39% likelihood of making the lead. This balanced pace scenario should provide fair opportunities for all running styles.

The AI odds analysis identifies no. 4 Sea Runner as a potential value play showing morning-line odds of 6-1 and AI off odds of 6-1 but significantly better fair odds of 3-1. Conversely, no. 8 Casalu appears overvalued with Fair odds of 30-1 despite a morning line and AI off odds of 6-1.

Horse Racing Nation coverage of the Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita winter meets is made possible in part through a sponsorship by 1/ST Racing.