The Denver Broncos have the second-best record ATS (9-3), and they outscored their last two opponents, the Atlanta Falcons and Las Vegas Raiders, 67-25.

One of the positive surprises of the season, the Broncos are a strong favorite against the three-win Cleveland Browns.

Cleveland has already won more games (two) with quarterback Jameis Winston than with Deshaun Watson (one) under center.

With Winston at the helm, the Browns are a turnover-prone team, but because of his aggressive passing tendencies, they’re also capable of covering spreads.

Nonetheless, our panel came to its only unanimous decision on the Week 13 slate in favor of the Broncos. Sobleski believes Winston will make crucial mistakes in a loss by at least a touchdown.

“The Browns offense isn’t constructed to handle the Broncos defense. Denver is currently ranked third in total and scoring defense. More importantly, Vance Joseph is among the league’s most aggressive and successful at harassing opposing quarterbacks. The Broncos currently lead the NFL with 44 total sacks. The group will almost certainly force quarterback Jameis Winston into mistakes, which he’s prone to do anyway.

“Cleveland’s wide receivers aren’t a huge threat to Denver’s secondary. If the Browns feel they can lean on a re-emerging Nick Chubb, the Broncos also field a top-six run defense. As long as rookie Bo Nix continues to play like he has for Sean Payton, Denver is clearly the better team.”

ATS Consensus: Broncos -5.5

Score Prediction: Broncos 24, Browns 17

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