During what has grown to a 9-game win streak, the longest active run in FBS and tied for the best in school history, Arizona has taken on all comers and triumphed each time.
But now comes possibly the toughest test since the win streak began, a Friday night road game against a ranked opponent in No. 14 Kansas State. The UA is listed as a 7.5-point underdog, per FanDuel Sportsbook.
How will the battle of the Wildcats play out? Here’s what our staff thinks:
I expected this to be Arizona’s first loss when we did season predictions. Nothing in the first two weeks has changed that opinion, especially with the unknowns on Arizona’s offensive line and in the running back room.
It’s not that Kansas State has looked great. The Manhattan Wildcats struggled against Tulane last week just as the Tucson Wildcats struggled against NAU. The things that tilted in KSU’s favor before the season are still there, though. It’s still a road game against a good team.
Arizona’s defense needs to step up the way it did against NAU. There’s a lot to keep track of in Kansas State’s offense, starting with QB Avery Johnson.
Johnson may not be as prone to running as New Mexico’s Devon Dampier but he does average 38.5 yards per game with his legs. Arizona’s defense had huge issues with Dampier, giving up 130 yards on the ground a week after he picked up 37 against Montana State. Johnson also completes about 66 percent of his passes, just a hair better than Noah Fifita.
Arizona’s offense also has to get back on track. The health of the offensive line and the eligibility of Jacory Croskey-Merritt will be deciding factors there. Even if those questions are answered positively, UA likely comes home with a 2-1 record before officially starting Big 12 play at Utah.
Going into the season I believed Kansas State was going to win this game because of the advantages of playing at home against an opponent still working out the kinks of a new coaching system. Two weeks into the season, I feel all the more strongly that KSU will deliver Arizona a loss. Arizona looked way out of sorts on offense against NAU and a short preparation week isn’t going to be enough time to figure out whatever it is that explains that mess we saw this past Saturday. I’ll be interested to see how this team responds under adverse circumstances under the road, but I just don’t expect them to have the juice to compete for four quarters.
Arizona’s winning streak has been fun, but as they say all good things must come to an end. Yet, while I do think this is a game Arizona will lose I also happen to think it is one in which they will play well. Ideally the offensive line is a bit more healthy than it was last week and even more I’m writing under the assumption that Arizona’s coaches held plenty back, waiting for a tougher test before deploying all of the arsenal. It will be interesting to see how Tetairoa McMillan is used, given that he went from Heisman favorite to decoy. Arizona’s coaches must figure out how to maximize his impact, either in getting him the ball or allowing him to draw coverage away from other playmakers. The defense will have its hands full with another running quarterback, and ultimately Avery Johnson’s dual-threat ability will be the difference.
With all the hullabaloo about Arizona’s game against Northern Arizona not going exactly how everyone wanted, or expected, people are not talking enough about how Kansas State has looked this season as well. In short, they look beatable. That is not to downplay how tough playing in Manhattan is going to be. I’m very eager to see Arizona’s true offense and defense. The key to the game for Arizona is going to be the health of the offensive line. If it is in better shape than the NAU game, Arizona’s offense should be clicking. Defensively, I expect a bunch of different looks than what we’ve seen so far this season. It’ll be close and extremely difficult, but Arizona will come in and upset the other Wildcats by a field goal.
Arizona will also show their most complete game this week after the offense struggled last week and the defense struggled in week one. However, this is going to be a defensive battle between the two Wildcats. Manhattan will be rocking but Arizona will settle in after the first couple drives. It is going to take another multiple turnover game from the defense to take a drive away from Kansas State. Noah Fifita will have the offense more organized this week, and Jacob Manu will lead an aggressive defense. Brent Brennan earns his first win over a Big-12 opponent and Arizona finishes their non-conference schedule 3-0.
If there was a time for a small bump, here it is for Arizona. With this game not counting for conference standings, this game will give UA a small taste of what an away game in the Big 12 against a ranked opponent will feel like. Arizona has the talent to go 3-0 in non-conference play but the offense last week wasn’t clicking on all cylinders and so the first road game will be a test for UA.
All good things must come to an end, and that’s what will happen to Arizona’s win streak. Better this game than in two weeks, in the Big 12 opener at Utah, since this one won’t count toward the league standings. It will, however, give the UA a preview of what life is like on the road in its new conference and that the kind of communication issues it had on offense will only get worse in a hostile environment. This game comes at the perfect time, right before a bye, so the mistakes that happen will have extra time to get addressed.
Have more comments, questions? Reach out to me at bwhite1@dispatch.com. Letters are lightly edited for clarity.On Ohio State footballTo Brian: Mike Arace's col
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