On Sunday, Andrey Rublev (No. 8 in the world) takes on Matteo Arnaldi (No. 46) in the semifinals of the ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles 2024. With -350 odds, Rublev is favored over Arnaldi (+240) for this match.

Rublev beat Jannik Sinner 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 on Saturday in the quarterfinals in his last match.

Arnaldi won in two sets the last time he competed, 6-4, 7-5 over Kei Nishikori in the quarterfinals on Saturday.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 1:45 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Rublev vs. Arnaldi match information

  • Tournament: The ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles 2024
  • Round: Semifinals
  • Date: Sunday, August 11
  • TV Channel: Tennis Channel
  • Venue: Stade Iga
  • Location: Montréal, Quebec
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Match odds

Andrey Rublev Matteo Arnaldi
-350 Odds to Win Match +240
+175 Odds to Win Tournament +700

Rublev stats

  • Rublev has played 26.9 games per match (24.4 in best-of-three matches) in his 68 matches over the past year (across all court types).
  • On hard courts, Rublev has played 49 matches over the past year, totaling 26.9 games per match (24.4 in best-of-three matches) while winning 54.1% of games.
  • In terms of serve/return winning percentages over the past year, Rublev has won 84.6% of his games on serve, and 22.0% on return.
  • In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past 12 months, Rublev has won 85.6% of his games on serve and 22.0% on return.
  • Rublev has won 21.0% of his return games over his last 10 tournaments, and 82.9% of his service games.
  • Rublev is 49th in break points won on all surfaces over the past year, converting 189 of 522 (36.2%).
  • Including all surfaces, Rublev has converted 36.0% of his break-point chances (59 of 164) over his last 10 tournaments.

Arnaldi stats

  • Arnaldi has averaged 26.7 games per match (25.2 in best-of-three matches) through his 53 matches played in the past 12 months across all court types, while winning 50.5% of the games.
  • Through 33 matches on hard courts in the past year, Arnaldi has averaged 26.8 games per match (26.3 in best-of-three matches) and 10.2 games per set, winning 50.3% of those games.
  • Arnaldi has a 76.8% service game winning percentage and a 24.1% return game winning percentage on all surfaces in the past year.
  • Arnaldi has 321 wins in 405 service games when playing on hard courts (79.3%), and 88 wins in 408 return games (21.6%).
  • Over his last 10 tournaments, Arnaldi has won 28.1% of his return games and 73.1% of his service games.
  • Arnaldi’s 40.7% break point win percentage (145-for-356) is 63rd in the past year.
  • Arnaldi has converted 42.0% of his break-point opportunities (68 of 162) over his last 10 tournaments.

Head-to-head matchups

  • Rublev and Arnaldi each own one win versus the other. The pair last met on May 31, 2024, ending with Arnaldi on top 7-6, 6-2, 6-4.
  • Arnaldi has taken three sets versus Rublev (60.0%) compared to Rublev with two.
  • In 52 total games played between Arnaldi and Rublev, Arnaldi is on top, taking 27 of them.
  • Rublev and Arnaldi are averaging 26 games and 2.5 sets in their two matches against each other.