While the reverberations of the 2024 NBA draft are still echoing, the basketball world’s focus is rapidly shifting toward the next crop of rising stars. While the previous draft might not have produced an immediate influx of superstars, early evaluations of the 2025 class suggest a more promising pool of potential impact players.
As a preliminary exploration of this forthcoming talent pool, we will conduct a mock draft exercise. It is crucial to acknowledge the inherent uncertainty surrounding the final draft order, as the upcoming regular season will significantly influence team standings and, consequently, lottery probabilities.
To establish a provisional framework for our mock draft, we have utilized the current NBA Championship odds provided by DraftKings as a proxy for relative team strength. It is essential to emphasize that this methodology represents an imperfect approximation, and the NBA Draft Lottery, with its inherent element of randomness, has the potential to alter these projections dramatically. Even the most underperforming teams retain the possibility of securing the coveted top overall selection.
With a comprehensive understanding of these complexities, we shall proceed with our mock draft, mindful of its speculative nature and the likelihood of necessary adjustments as the 2023-2024 season unfolds.
How Does the NBA Draft Lottery Work
Following the conclusion of the season, the NBA uses a lottery system to decide the first 14 picks in the draft order.
Before we look at the draft order, here’s how the NBA Draft Lottery system works:
Eligible Teams: The 14 teams that do not qualify for the NBA playoffs are eligible to participate in the draft lottery. This includes teams that make the Play-In Tournament but don’t advance past the Play-In Tournament.
NBA Draft Lottery Odds: The teams with the worst records have higher chances of winning a top pick. The teams with the three worst records have the highest chance – a 14% chance – while the odds incrementally decrease for teams with better records among the non-playoff teams.
Ping Pong Balls: Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a lottery machine. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14. Before the lottery, 1,000 of those 1,001 combinations are assigned to the 14 participating lottery teams. Those three with the highest odds will be given 140 combinations each – aka the most combinations.
Lottery Drawing: Finally, drawings are conducted for the first four picks of the NBA Draft. The remaining non-playoff teams are then ordered based on their regular-season records, with the team with the worst record picking fifth, followed by the team with the next worst record, and so on.
Also, the NBA shares the footage of the lottery drawing after each draft. You can watch the 2023 procedure here.
2025 NBA Mock Draft
Detroit Pistons: Cooper Flagg – F – Duke – 17 Years Old
Washington Wizards: Dylan Harper – G – Rutgers – 17 Years Old
Charlotte Hornets: Ace Bailey – G/F – Rutgers – 17 Years Old
Portland Trail Blazers: VJ Edgecombe – G – Baylor – 18 Years Old
Brooklyn Nets: Nolan Traore – G – France – 18 Years Old
Toronto Raptors: Kwame Evans – F – Oregon – 19 Years Old
Utah Jazz: Hugo Gonzalez – F – Spain – 18 Years Old
Chicago Bulls: Liam McNeeley – G/F – UConn – 18 Years Old
San Antonio Spurs: Tre Johnson – G – Texas – 18 Years old
San Antonio Spurs (via ATL): Alex Karaban – F – UConn – 21 Years Old
Houston Rockets: Noa Essengue – F – Germany – 17 Years Old
Orlando Magic: Khaman Maluach – C – Duke – 17 Years Old
Atlanta Hawks (via SAC): Michael Ruzic – F – Spain – 17 Years Old
New Orleans Pelicans: Jalil Bethea – G – Miami – 18 Years Old
Indiana Pacers: Derrion Reid – F – Alabama – 18 Years Old
Memphis Grizzlies: Drake Powell – G/F – North Carolina – 18 Years old
Oklahoma City Thunder (via MIA): Hunter Sallis – G – Wake Forest – 21 Years Old
Utah Jazz (via CLE): Kasparas Jakucionis – G – Illinois – 18 Years Old
Oklahoma City Thunder (via LAC): Carter Bryant – F – Arizona – 18 Years Old
Houston Rockets (via PHX): Elliott Cadeau – G – North Carolina – 19 Years Old
Golden State Warriors: Kanaan Carlyle – G – Indiana – 19 Years Old
New Orleans Pelicans (via LAL): Donovan Freeman – F – Syracuse – 18 Years Old
Philadelphia 76ers: Tyrese Proctor – G – Duke – 20 Years Old
Dallas Mavericks: Egor Demin – G – BYU – 18 Years Old
Brooklyn Nets (via MIL): Ian Jackson – G – North Carolina – 19 Years Old
Utah Jazz (via MIN): Collin Murray-Boyles – F/C – South Carolina – 19 Years Old
Brooklyn Nets (via NYK): Adou Thiero – F – Arkansas – 20 Years Old
Oklahoma City Thunder: Rocco Zikarsky – C – Australia – 17 Years Old
Orlando Magic (via DEN): KJ Lewis – G – Arizona – 19 Years Old
Boston Celtics: Kon Knueppel – G/F – Duke – 18 Years Old
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