The 2024 NFL season has unofficially reached its quarter mark, and the MVP picture is starting to take shape.
All teams have played four of 17 games, with bye weeks set to begin as the calendar turns to October.
The usual suspects are in the mix, but there have been several surprises through the first month — whether it’s Sam Darnold leading the Minnesota Vikings to a 4-0 start or Jayden Daniels spearheading a renaissance for the Washington Commanders.
Here are the MVP odds through the first four weeks of the season (via Fanatics Sportsbook):
Patrick Mahomes, +275
Stats: 904 passing yards, 6 touchdowns, 5 interceptions, 89.7 passer rating, 61 rushing yards
Breakdown: Just looking at the numbers, it’s surprising to see Mahomes this high. But then again, he is a two-time MVP winner and the two-time defending Super Bowl MVP. The Chiefs are 4-0 and he realistically could turn it on at any moment.
Josh Allen, +350
Stats: 814 passing yards, 7 touchdowns, 0 interceptions, 116.5 passer rating, 106 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns
Breakdown: Aside from a Week 4 dud, Allen has been dominant so far this season. He doesn’t quite have the yardage numbers so far, but he’s made up for that with his work on the ground. Buffalo will be in the spotlight plenty this season, so don’t expect him to go away.
C.J. Stroud, +1000
Stats: 1,054 passing yards, 6 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 98.4 passer rating, 41 rushing yards
Breakdown: The second-year star is backing up his Offensive Rookie of the Year season with another strong campaign. Stroud has the Texans at 3-1 and, once again, isn’t making many mistakes. Next week’s game against Allen and the Bills could significantly help or hurt his case.
Lamar Jackson, +1000
Stats: 858 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, 1 interception, 102.3 passer rating, 308 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns
Breakdown: Last year’s MVP is putting together another strong season. Jackson and the Ravens lost their first two games but are back to .500 after a blowout win over Allen’s Bills. The league’s best dual-threat QB is still making things happen with his legs in his seventh season.
Sam Darnold, +1200
Stats: 932 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, 3 interceptions, 118.9 passer rating, 50 rushing yards
Breakdown: The Vikings’ coaching staff has put Darnold in position to succeed, but he’s making it happen on the field. The former first-rounder, with his fourth team in five years, is playing the best ball of his career. He has three more touchdowns than any other quarterback.
Brock Purdy, +2000
Stats: 1,130 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 104.9 passer rating, 75 rushing yards
Breakdown: Purdy is second in the NFL in passing yards, and he’s done it without some of his best weapons. Christian McCaffrey hasn’t played a game and Deebo Samuel and George Kittle have both missed time. Still, Purdy continues to rack up counting numbers for the 2-2 49ers.
Here are the top 14 favorites to win MVP (via Fanatics):
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