NFL Week 16 picks: Consider Chiefs, Lions and Eagles this weekend
Lorenzo Reyes shares his best bets ahead of a long weekend of football games.
The NFL’s Week 16 ends with what, on paper, is one of the biggest mismatches of the year when the New Orleans Saints travel to play a December game in Lambeau Field against the Green Bay Packers.
The 10-4 Packers actually don’t have a lot to play for, as they will be either the second or third wildcard, but they tend to be good in December at Lambeau, and they’ve tended to be good all season this year. The Saints don’t have anything to play for other than improving their draft position with a loss.
That sounds like a rout and the oddsmakers agree. The 14-point spread is the second largest of the year after Baltimore vs. the New York Giants (the Ravens were 16 1/2-point favorites).
Green Bay is -1000 on the moneyline, while New Orleans is +650.
The NFL’s Week 16 Monday Night Football game pits the New Orleans Saints against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.
The Saints at Packers game will be televised nationally on ABC and ESPN.
The Saints at Packers game is scheduled to begin at 6:15 p.m. MT/7:15 p.m. CT.
Joe Buck (play-by-play) and Troy Aikman (analyst) will call the game from the booth at US Banks Stadium, while Lisa Salters will be on the sidelines.
The Packers are 14-point home favorites over the Bears in NFL Week 16 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. The Vikings are -350 on the moneyline, while the Bears are +260. The over/under is set at 43 1/2 points.
Top running back Alvin Kamara is doubtful, as is quarterback Derek Carr. Carr is more doubtful than Kamara. Defensive end Chase Young and tight end Juwon Johnson are questionable.
Receiver Jaire Alexander is the big issue for the Packers. He practiced through the week, as he did last week when he eventually didn’t play. As huge favorites with a key game against Minnesota coming up, the Packers might sit him out. Linebacker Quay Walker and safety Javon Bullard are questionable.
The line: Green Bay 28, New Orleans 14
With a line of 14 points and an over/under of 42 1/2, Green Bay is expected to win 28-14. Green Bay is -1000 on the money line, New Orleans is +650.
The El Paso Times: Packers 35, Saints 14
Bret Bloomquist writes: “When this was scheduled long before the season started it looked like a mismatch, as many games at Lambeau Field in December are. As the season has played out, it looks like more of a mismatch now. If the Saints get this into the second half is will be surprising.”
Bill Speros writes: “Christmas Eve Eve in Green Bay. We’ll get plenty of cold here. Just give us some snow and a well-lubricated fan base. The 10-4 Packers just keep on winning and are on their way to the playoffs. Albeit as a wildcard. They delivered a dominant performance at Seattle in their 30-13 win and cover Sunday night. The Saints scored and covered on the final play of the game in their 20-19 loss at Washington. But they failed on the two-point conversion. This number is abnormally large, especially on a 42.5-point total. Given the Saints’ lack of offense, the potential for rough weather, and Green Bay’s stout defense, the under is the play here.”
The site’s formula predicts that the Packers will win the NFL Week 16 game against the Saints.
Sports Betting Dime: Packers 27.2, Saints 17.4
The site’s formula predicts that the Packers will win the NFL Week 16 game against the Saints.
It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Saints a win probability of 32%, while the Packers have a win probability of 68%.”
Sportsnaut: Packers 27, Saints 17
Matt Johnson writes: “The New Orleans Saints have shown more than enough fight under interim coach Darren Rizzi to believe this won’t be a Monday Night Football blowout. With that said, Josh Jacobs is in a great position for a 100-yard performance against the Saints’ defense and Green Bay shouldn’t have much trouble neutralizing a Spencer Rattler-led offense. The win will clinch a playoff spot for the Packers.”
Bret Bloomquist can be reached at bbloomquist@elpasotimes.com
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