We’re back for more gambling after evading another hurricane leaving Sanibel Island. We’re all good but I wasn’t really in the mood to identify some betting angles after we got back. We vacationed from our vacation by going to see Megalopolis (not good!!) instead. Week 4 was a positive week for us and we hope to come off the bye week stronger than Kirk Ferentz! which isn’t saying much)
RECAP:
Last week: 1-5 (-4.4u)
Total: -5.4u (12-16)
YIKES. Rough week.
But we have enough of a baseline to understand what is working and what is not. Over/unders, I am -3.8u a cooool 5-8. But we can identify a clear over bias which is hurting me – 3-7. So let’s maybe cool it on the overs?
Against the spread, I’m a manageable 7-6 and even better 6-4 when going with favorites. So a decent feel there.
There’s half the season left, we can turn it around!!
Friday
Saturday
Coming off byes: Illinois Fighting Illini, Maryland Terrapins (whoops)
OFF: Indiana Hoosiers, Michigan State Spartans, Michigan Wolverines, Nebraska Cornhuskers
All lines courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.
Let’s start with the biggest number on the board. Illinois being favored by over 3 touchdowns against the decrepit Boilermakers. MORE LIKE SPOILERMAKERS HAHAH I regret to inform Ryan Walters that his former boss, Bret Bielema is a cool 4-0 against the spread off of a bye while at Illinois. At Arkansas he was 4-3 and at Wisconsin he was 5-1. The man is simply stellar off byes. 23.5 is a big number, really big. But Purdue STINKS. Illinois -23.5
Michigan & MSU losing was the only east-to-west game last week which brings that to: 1-5 SU; 2-4 ATS; 4-2 O/U. We got three of them this week and I feel like this is the week it flips. It’s been all favorites who have won who have won up to this point and we have 3 road favorites heading west.
I simply think that Ohio State is the best team in the country and will prove it tonight. OSU -3
UCLA has yet to score more than 17 points. That sound you hear is Brian Ferentz screaming into the void. Minnesota -4
As far as west going east, we had USC losing at Minnesota & UCLA to Penn State. Wisconsin waxed the floor with Purdue (see above) on their return so that…
Returning teams: 2-1 straight up; 2-1 ATS; O/U 2-1
Traveling teams: 0-5 straight up; 2-3 ATS; O/U 1-4
I am falling into the trap of simply thinking Iowa is the better team. It’s not that I think they’re undervalued at -3 but I do think the loss to OSU (a really freaking good team) is maybe putting too high of a standard on Iowa? Yeah, they lost and lost bad but do you remember they lost much much worse to a slightly worse OSU team two years ago. There was nothing good to take from that game. Anyways, Iowa shows up and holds on for dear life against a team who will dink and dunk and maybe hit one over the top but still come up short. Iowa -3
There it is… 4 games, 4 favorites.
By James Mills ( October 21, 2024, 9:20 PM EDT) -- A California attorney has been disbarred after misappropriating almost $117,000 from his clients and
SGPN's Top Book Caesars 4.9 $1,000 Back in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win! No Code Needed Must be 21 or older and physically present in AZ, CO, I
Week 7 in the NFL wraps up with another doubleheader on Monday Night Football with the Baltimore Ravens taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Los Angele
BoyleSports has voiced concerns about the incoming Gambling Regulation Bill to be enacted in Ireland due to its potential to "deliver considerable uninten