The Shanghai Masters quarter-finals are upon us, and today’s best tennis betting tips will feature two of those. It’s go time in China with just eight remaining in the draw, which offers us plenty of flexibility in finding good value. We found two matches that we think will be tight, even though the odds might not agree with it.
Carlos Alcaraz might be playing the best tennis right now, but we still think Tomas Machac will be able to keep that matchup fairly close. We equally believe that Daniil Medvedev is good enough to give Jannik Sinner some problems, even though the Italian has had the upper hand recently.
Alcaraz has been playing at a superb level recently, and he’s widely expected to make the final here. While we don’t see Machac stopping him from doing that, we do see him making Alcaraz work quite a bit.
The Czech player has been strong recently as well, and he’s always had the tools to give even the best problems. Their most recent match proved that, where Machac won a set off Alcaraz, and had he not gotten injured, he might have won the match.
The conditions in Shanghai will allow the Czech player to attack Alcaraz, and as crazy as that sounds, he has the tools to do that. The serve is good, the forehand can be massive, and the backhand is not too shabby either.
We’ve seen Alcaraz pace himself a little bit in recent matches due to the amount of tennis he’s played recently, and that might play a factor here as well.
While we don’t doubt that the Spaniard will find a way to win the match in the end, we do think that he might need quite a few games to do so, which is why we’re backing the over. Machac is good enough to keep it close, and we think he will.
Sinner and Medvedev have played some rather iconic tennis matches over the years. A few of those even happened this season, such as the Australian Open one which was won by Sinner in five.
The most recent one at the US Open was won by Sinner as well, and generally, the Italian has done really well against Medvedev. Even earlier, he showed that the matchup with Medvedev doesn’t bother him too much.
Sinner doesn’t enjoy playing against players that put a lot of pressure on him. Medvedev doesn’t do that as he’s mostly a counter-puncher who sits back and waits for his chance. That style doesn’t work as well against Sinner, which is why he’s been often punished.
We do like Medvedev to keep this one rather close because generally, he does tend to do well against Sinner early on in his matches. If this was a best of five, then Sinner would be able to smash him, but in a best of three, it will be close.
The line isn’t the biggest, and we expect it to clear easily. The odds are pretty solid, and it’s far more valuable than backing an upset from Medvedev because we don’t see it happening.
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