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Usually, in these intros, I’ll discuss some storylines for the week, make some random dad joke, or insert some meme or otherwise nerdy joke. This week, there will be none of that. I want to take a second with the holiday season upcoming to talk about the reality that some of us face with holidays.
Holidays can be amazing. Friends, tacky sweaters, perfectly cooked turkey, and spirited cheering as a family for your favorite NFL team after a few cocktails. The flip side of that coin is real for plenty of people.
A time of the year when you’re reminded of fractured family units. Past trauma. Loss. Monetary stress or hardship. My message is simple, fam. Kindness can make all the difference in the world. I’m not saying that everyone (or anyone) has to go volunteer at their local food bank. If you want to or feel called to do so, that’s awesome. My request is far simpler.
Take a second when the opportunity arises to offer a kind gesture to someone. Anyone. It can be a stranger, a family member, or a significant other. Let someone out in front of you when traffic is bumper to bumper. Pay for the person behind you in line at the drive-thru. Hold open a door for the elderly or a small child. It all makes a difference. All of it.
“Great things are done by a series of small things brought together.”
– Vincent Van Gogh
Welcome to the Week 12 Primer. Enjoy.
PIT vs. CLE | TB vs. NYG | DET vs. IND | TEN vs. HOU | NE vs. MIA | DAL vs. WAS | MIN vs. CHI | KC vs. CAR | DEN vs. LV | ARI vs. SEA | SF vs. GB | PHI vs. LAR | BAL vs. LAC
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Fantasy Football Primer: Week 12
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
Pace and playcalling notes
- With Russell Wilson at the helm, Pittsburgh has ranked 13th in neutral script and fourth in neutral rushing rate.
- With Jameis Winston under center, the Browns have ranked ninth in neutral script pace and second in neutral passing rate.
Steelers Players & Weekly Rankings
Browns Players & Weekly Rankings
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Russell Wilson (QB)
I worried that Wilson was due for a regression game. I knew it was coming eventually, but I didn’t think it would have been against arguably the worst pass defense in the NFL this season. Last week, Wilson finished as the QB26 in fantasy. He has finished as a QB1 twice this season (QB3, QB9). Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, Wilson ranks 11th in yards per attempt, 15th in passer rating, 24th in CPOE, and 35th in catchable target rate. Wilson could be primed for a bounce-back week against the Browns. Since Week 6, Cleveland has allowed the third-highest yards per attempt, the eighth-most passing touchdowns, and the seventh-most passing yards per game.
Najee Harris (RB)
Harris is the RB26 in fantasy points per game, ranking 23rd in opportunity share, sixth in carries, and ninth in red zone touches. He has averaged 19.6 touches and 89 total yards per game. Among 53 qualifying backs, Harris ranks sixth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 22nd in yards after contact per attempt. Harris should post another nice stat line this week. Since Week 6, Cleveland has allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate and missed tackle rate while also giving up the fifth-highest yards before contact per attempt.
Jaylen Warren (RB)
Warren has finished as an RB3 or higher in three of his last four games (RB34, RB25, RB22). He has averaged 13.5 touches and 70.3 total yards per game. Since Week 7, he has looked closer to his usual self with a 23% missed tackle rate. Warren should be a solid flex play again this week. Since Week 6, Cleveland has allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate and missed tackle rate while also giving up the fifth-highest yards before contact per attempt.
Nick Chubb (RB)
Chubb has played only 30-36% of the snaps in three of his four games this season while averaging 13.8 touches and 42.3 total yards. He looks like a player coming off a major injury, with an 11% missed tackle rate and only 2.25 yards after contact per attempt. Chubb has another nice matchup on the ground incoming this week, but I don’t know if he can take advantage of it. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the second-highest rushing success rate to zone runs (Chubb 60.4% zone).
George Pickens (WR)
Pickens is the WR30 in fantasy points per game, ranking sixth in deep targets and fourth in red zone targets among wide receivers. He has a 26.9% target share, a 47% air-yard share, 2.69 YPRR, and a 35.9% first-read share. Since Week 6, Cleveland has utilized single-high at the 11th-highest rate (55.3%). Against single high, Pickens has seen his target share jump to 31.7%, his YPRR rise to 3.25, and his first-read share climb to 41.1%. Since Week 6, Cleveland has been eaten alive by perimeter wide receivers, allowing the fifth-most fantasy points per game and the third-most receiving yards per game.
Cedric Tillman (WR)
With Winston under center, Tillman has been the WR8 in fantasy points per game. He has commanded a 20.1% target share and 23.8% first-read share with four end-zone targets (team-leading) and 73.7 receiving yards per game. Since Week 6, the Steelers have had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.5%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Tillman has ranked second on the team with a 24.6% target share, 2.46 YPRR, and a 25.5% first-read share. The question for Tillman and Jerry Jeudy this week is, “Who will Joey Porter Jr. shadow?” Porter Jr. has followed six receivers this season on at least 65.2% of their routes. In his primary coverage, only one receiver surpassed 50 receiving yards, and he allowed only one receiving touchdown. The possible shadow coverage adds some volatility to Tillman’s projection this week. Whoever avoids shadow coverage should eat this week. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Jerry Jeudy (WR)
In his three games with Winston under center, Jeudy has been the WR10 in fantasy points per game. He has drawn a 21.6% target share and 25.7% first-read share (team-leading) with 2.18 YPRR and 98 receiving yards per game. Jeudy has earned two end-zone targets and one red-zone target during this stretch. Since Week 6, the Steelers have had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.5%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Jeudy has had a 29.8% target share, 3.93 YPRR, and a 34% first-read share. The question for Tillman and Jerry Jeudy this week is, “Who will Joey Porter Jr. shadow?” Porter Jr. has followed six receivers this season on at least 65.2% of their routes. In his primary coverage, only one receiver surpassed 50 receiving yards, and he allowed only one receiving touchdown. The possible shadow coverage adds some volatility to Jeudy’s projection this week. Whoever avoids shadow coverage should eat this week. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Fantasy Football Week 12 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Jameis Winston (QB)
Winston has finished as a QB1 in fantasy in two of his three starts (QB10, QB6). Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 22nd in yards per attempt, 19th in passer rating, 17th in CPOE, and fifth in hero throw rate. He has a tough task this week, facing a nasty pass defense. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has given up the 12th-fewest yards per attempt, the second-lowest passer rating, the fourth-lowest CPOE, and the fifth-lowest success rate per dropback. Winston is a QB2 this week that might be better off on the bench.
Elijah Moore (WR)
With Winston under center, Moore has been the WR28 in fantasy points per game. He has seen a 20.9% target share with 1.57 YPRR and a 22.9% first-read share. Moore has had two end-zone targets. Since Week 6, the Steelers have had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.5%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Moore has seen a 17.5% target share and 19.1% first-read share with 1.70 YPRR. Moore could see a target bump with one of the Browns’ receivers receiving the Joey Porter Jr. treatment this week, but the Steelers have turned into a tough matchup for slot receivers over the last few weeks. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
Mike Williams (WR)
Last week, Mike Williams only played 32% of the snaps and didn’t draw a target. I need a prove-it game from Williams before I’m willing to stick him in a flex spot in a lineup. It has been a tough season for Williams, who has only eclipsed 40 receiving yards in a game once this season.
David Njoku (TE)
Njoku has been the TE7 in fantasy points per game, with Winston slinging the rock. He has had a 17.2% target share with 1.47 YPRR and a 14.3% first-read share. He hasn’t seen a red zone or end zone target with Winston as the starter. It’s worth considering streaming options this week over Njoku. The Steelers have allowed the 14th-fewest fantasy points per game and the ninth-fewest yards per reception to tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth (TE)
Freiermuth has disappointed this season as the TE21 in fantasy points per game. He has only three TE1 finishes this season. He has only two red zone targets since Russell Wilson has had the starting job. Since Week 7, he has had only a 7.4% target share, 1.11 YPRR, and an 8.5% first-read share. Cleveland is 16th in receiving yards per game and yards per reception allowed to tight ends. Freiermuth is droppable.
PIT vs. CLE | TB vs. NYG | DET vs. IND | TEN vs. HOU | NE vs. MIA | DAL vs. WAS | MIN vs. CHI | KC vs. CAR | DEN vs. LV | ARI vs. SEA | SF vs. GB | PHI vs. LAR | BAL vs. LAC
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants
Pace and playcalling notes
- Since Week 7, Tampa Bay has had the 11th-fastest neutral pace while ranking 13th in neutral passing rate. During the same stretch of games, New York has been fifth in neutral pace and 14th in neutral passing rate.
Buccaneers Players & Weekly Rankings
Giants Players & Weekly Rankings
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Baker Mayfield (QB)
In two of Mayfield’s last three starts, he has finished lower than QB16 for the week. He’s played well, considering the weapons he’s had at his disposal. Since Week 8, among 36 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 33rd in yards per attempt, 17th in passer rating, 22nd in highly accurate throw rate and 24th in CPOE. Mayfield should post a solid QB2 stat line this week against a burnable Giants’ secondary. Since Week 6, New York has allowed the ninth-highest yards per attempt, the third-highest CPOE, and the 12th-highest EPA per dropback. Since Week 7, Tampa Bay has had the 11th-fastest neutral pace while ranking 13th in neutral passing rate. During the same stretch of games, New York has been fifth in neutral pace and 14th in neutral passing rate.
Tommy DeVito (QB)
Last year, in DeVito’s five full starts, he finished as a QB1 once while averaging 5.4 rushing attempts and 32.2 rushing yards per game. Among 48 qualifying starters last season, he ranked 37th in yards per attempt, 31st in CPOE, 29th in fantasy points per dropback, and 26th in highly accurate throw rate. It’s tough to consider him more than a bottom-dwelling QB2 this week despite a nice matchup through the air. Since Week 6, Tampa Bay has allowed the second-most passing yards per game, the fifth-highest yards per attempt, the most passing touchdowns, and the highest CPOE.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB)
Since Week 5, Tracy Jr. has been the RB22 in fantasy points per game, averaging 18.1 touches and 98.7 total yards per game. Since Week 5, among 57 qualifying backs, Tracy Jr. has ranked ninth in explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt and 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Tracy Jr. should have another strong week against a Bucs run defense that, since Week 6, has allowed the 12th-highest explosive run rate and rushing yards per game, the sixth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 11th-highest yards per carry to zone runs (since Week 5 Tracy Jr. 51.6% zone).
Rachaad White (RB)
Since Week 7, White has been the RB7 in fantasy points per game, averaging 12.3 touches and 70.8 total yards. He has averaged 56% of the snaps overall while playing 47.2% of the rushing play snaps, 60.2% of the passing down snaps, and 65% of the snaps inside the ten-yard line. Among 53 qualifying backs, White ranks 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. White has a glorious matchup this week against a Giants run defense that, since Week 6, has allowed the highest explosive run rate, the most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (White 62.5% zone).
Bucky Irving (RB)
Since Week 7, Irving has been the RB24 in fantasy points per game, averaging 13.5 touches and 70.5 total yards per game. He has played 39% of the snaps overall per game while averaging 50.6% of the rushing play snaps, 33.3% of the passing down snaps, and 40% of the snaps inside the ten-yard line. The Bucs have utilized him perfectly, with 54.2% of his rushing attempts coming on gap runs. Among 53 qualifying backs, he ranks seventh in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 13th in yards after contact per attempt. Irving should post another tasty stat line in Week 12. Since Week 6, New York has allowed the highest explosive run rate, the most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest yards per carry to gap runs.
Malik Nabers (WR)
Nabers is the WR9 in fantasy points per game, ranking second in deep targets among wide receivers. He hasn’t seen a red zone target since Week 4, which is more of an indictment against the offense than it is with Nabers’ role within the offense. Nabers has a 33.8% target share, a 49.5% air-yard share, 2.15 YPRR, and a 43.7% first-read share. If he can get competent quarterback play from Tommy DeVito this week, he should slay the Bucs secondary. Since Week 6, Tampa Bay has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game and the third-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Wan’Dale Robinson (WR)
Since Week 5, Robinson has been the WR55 in fantasy points per game. With Theo Johnson factoring into the passing game more, Robinson has seen his target share dip some with a 19.3% target share, 1.01 YPRR, 32.8 receiving yards per game, and a 24.2% first-read share. Across his last six games, he has seen four red zone targets and zero end-zone targets. Robinson is a decent flex play this week, especially in PPR formats. Since Week 6, Tampa Bay has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game and the second-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
Theo Johnson (TE)
Since Week 5, Johnson has had a 10.5% target share, 1.08 YPRR, averaged 30.6 receiving yards per game, and seen a 13.3% first-read share. He doesn’t have an end-zone or red-zone target during this span, so his chances of scoring a touchdown are slim. Johnson makes the low end of the tight-end streaming list for Week 12 because the matchup is quite nice. Tampa Bay has allowed the second-most receiving yards per game and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Fantasy Football Week 12 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Jalen McMillan (WR)
McMillan opened this week with a full practice session (hamstring). He could be back this week. I’ll update his outlook on Friday.
Darius Slayton (WR)
In the seven games Darius Slayton has played alongside Malik Nabers, he has had an 11.8% target share, 1.34 YPRR, and an 8.9% first-read share. In that sample, he has only once finished higher than WR36 in weekly fantasy scoring. The matchup is fantastic for Slayton this week, but as the third or maybe fourth option in a Tommy DeVito offense, he’s a thin play that is only reserved for extremely deep leagues and the most desperate fantasy GMs. Since Week 6, Tampa Bay has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game and the third-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Sterling Shepard (WR)
Shepard has only had an 8.1% target share and a 9.4% first-read share this season. He hasn’t eclipsed 60 receiving yards in any game this season and has only one red zone target across his last six games. Shepard is in the Darius Slayton level of flex desperation this week. Since Week 6, the Giants have allowed the fourth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers, so the matchup is glorious, but Shepard’s profile should leave everyone questioning whether he can take advantage of it in Week 12.
PIT vs. CLE | TB vs. NYG | DET vs. IND | TEN vs. HOU | NE vs. MIA | DAL vs. WAS | MIN vs. CHI | KC vs. CAR | DEN vs. LV | ARI vs. SEA | SF vs. GB | PHI vs. LAR | BAL vs. LAC
Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts
Pace and playcalling notes
- Since Week 10, Detroit has picked up the pace (eighth-best neutral pace) while remaining run-heavy (third in neutral rushing rate).
- Last week, with Anthony Richardson back, Indy ranked 11th in neutral pace and eighth in neutral rushing rate.
Lions Players & Weekly Rankings
Colts Players & Weekly Rankings
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Jared Goff (QB)
Goff is the QB11 in fantasy points per game after last week’s monster game. Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks first in yards per attempt, second in passer rating, fifth in CPOE, and third in fantasy points per dropback. Indy’s pass defense has improved, but Goff has weapons to overcome this newly crowned tough matchup. Since Week 6, Indy has allowed the ninth-lowest CPOE, the fifth-lowest EPA per dropback, and the 12th-lowest yards per attempt.
David Montgomery (RB)
Montgomery is the RB12 in fantasy points per game, ranking 25th in weighted opportunities, ninth in red zone touches, and fourth in total touchdowns. He has averaged 15.8 touches and 80 total yards per game. Montgomery has finished outside the top 24 running backs in weekly scoring only once this season. Among 53 qualifying backs, Montgomery ranks 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 24th in yards after contact per attempt. He faces an Indy run defense that, since Week 8, has allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the second-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 14th-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Montgomery 65% zone).
Jameson Williams (WR)
After last week’s monster game, Williams is the WR27 in fantasy points per game. He has eight deep targets in eight games played, but he hasn’t had a red zone target since Week 2. Williams has a 17% target share, 2.51 YPRR, and a 24.4% first-read share. Since Week 9, Indy has leaned into two high with the 12th-highest rate (52.6%). Williams has destroyed two high with a 22.7% target share, 2.96 YPRR, and a 30.8% first-read share. His abilities against two high was a big reason I was so high on him last week, and he’s primed to smash again. Since Week 6, Indy has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Josh Downs (WR)
There’s no slowing down or stopping Downs’ breakout season as the WR17 in fantasy points per game. Downs has finished outside the top 31 fantasy wide receivers in weekly scoring only once since Week 4. He is 11th in red zone targets among wide receivers. Downs has a 24.9% target share, 2.58 YPRR, and a 31.4% first-read share. Since Week 6, the Lions have had the fourth-highest rate of single-high (60%). Against single-high, Downs has seen his YPRR increase to 2.76. Downs should have another banner day against a secondary that, since Week 6, has allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game and the most receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
Fantasy Football Week 12 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Anthony Richardson (QB)
Last week, Richardson made his triumphant return to the starting lineup as the QB4 in fantasy for the week. Among 28 qualifying quarterbacks last week, he ranked seventh in yards per attempt, 16th in catchable target rate, and fourth in fantasy points per dropback. This week he’ll need all of the rushing equity he can get his hands against a tougher pass defense. Since Week 6, Detroit has kept passers in check with the fourth-lowest CPOE, the seventh-lowest yards per attempt, and the second-fewest passing touchdowns allowed.
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR)
Since Week 4, Pittman hasn’t had more than 63 receiving yards in any game. He hasn’t hit double-digit fantasy points or seen a red zone target since Week 6. It’s been a tough season for Pittman, and he has struggled to stay healthy. Pittman has a 21.1% target share, 1.51 YPRR, and a 23.5% first-read share. Since Week 6, the Lions have had the fourth-highest rate of single-high (60%). Against single-high, Pittman has seen his YPRR drop to 1.37 and his first-read share fall to 21.5%. He’s a must-sit this week against a secondary that, since Week 6, has allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Alec Pierce (WR)
Ok, we’re back for another edition of “Is it time to flex Alec Pierce.” Is the team bad against deep passing? Ok, let’s check. Detroit has allowed the second-lowest passer rating and the ninth-lowest deep completion rate. Well, it’s definitely not time to flex Pierce, then. 46.5% of his target volume this season has come via deep passing. Sit him this week, and thanks for coming to my Pierce talk.
Sam LaPorta (TE)
LaPorta practiced in full on Wednesday. I want to see how he progresses throughout the week before proclaiming that he will be back for Week 12. I’ll update his outlook on Friday.
PIT vs. CLE | TB vs. NYG | DET vs. IND | TEN vs. HOU | NE vs. MIA | DAL vs. WAS | MIN vs. CHI | KC vs. CAR | DEN vs. LV | ARI vs. SEA | SF vs. GB | PHI vs. LAR | BAL vs. LAC
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
Pace and playcalling notes
- Since Week 10, Tennessee has had the slowest neutral pace and ranked ninth in neutral rushing rate.
- In their last two games, Houston has ranked 13th in neutral passing rate while having the fourth-slowest neutral pace.
Titans Players & Weekly Rankings
Texans Players & Weekly Rankings
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
C.J. Stroud (QB)
Stroud is the QB25 in fantasy points per game this season and hasn’t finished as a QB1 since Week 4. Yes, you read that correctly. It hurt me as much to type it as it was for you to read it. I could write a novel regarding all of the reasons this has come to fruition, but we don’t have time for all of that. I’ll just say that missing his top wide receiver has hurt, along with operating behind an offensive line that has become Swiss cheese. In the five games Nico Collins has played at least 45% of the snaps, Stroud has had 7.58 yards per attempt, a 2.9% CPOE, 262 passing yards per game, and a 6:3 passing touchdown to interception ratio. These are all solid numbers that give me hope for Stroud this week with Collins in the starting lineup. As far as the offensive line, Houston has allowed the third-highest pressure rate this season, which should be less of a concern this week against a defense that has generated the tenth-lowest pressure rate. Since Week 7, Tennessee has allowed the fourth-most passing touchdowns, the second-highest CPOE, and the seventh-highest success rate per dropback. Stroud could be a QB1 this week.
Tank Dell (WR)
Last week, with Collins back in the lineup, Dell had a 20.6% target share, a 37.9% air-yard share, 2.0 YPRR, and a 20.8% first-read share. Dell finished as the WR41 for the week. Dell has six red zone targets in his last six games played. He has been rounding into form as the season has moved along. Since Week 6, among 76 qualifying wide receivers, Dell has ranked sixth in separation and first in route win rate. Dell should excel this week against a Tennessee secondary that, since Week 7, has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game and the ninth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Calvin Ridley (WR)
Since Week 8, Ridley has been the WR11 in fantasy points per game, ranking 34th in separation and 24th in route win rate (among 94 qualifying wide receivers). Across his last four games, he has had a 30.4% target share, a 51.7% air-yard share, 2.69 YPRR, and a 39.1% first-read share. He has also seen two end-zone targets. Houston has two weeks this season where they have heavily deployed two high, but for most of the season, they have been based around single high coverage. In Weeks 2-10, they have utilized single-high with 61.4% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 8, against single-high, Ridley has had a 38.7% target share, 3.95 YPRR, and a 46.8% first-read share. He should crush this week if Levis can feed him catchable targets. Since Week 7, Houston has allowed the 13th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Fantasy Football Week 12 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Will Levis (QB)
Levis is the QB31 in fantasy points per game with only one QB1 outing this season. Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 28th in yards per attempt, 25th in catchable target rate, and 30th in fantasy points per dropback. Sit him this week. Since Week 7, Houston has allowed the sixth-fewest yards per attempt, the fifth-lowest passer rating, and the third-lowest CPOE.
Tony Pollard (RB)
Pollard could be a workhorse this week if Tyjae Spears misses Week 12. I’ll update his status on Friday. Spears’ availability will have a huge impact on his outlook.
Tyjae Spears (RB)
Spears is working through the concussion protocol. On Friday, I’ll update his status and outlook for Week 12.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (WR)
Westbrook-Ikhine has been on a touchdown heater with five scores in his last six games, but this isn’t the week to chase that flukey touchdown production. Houston has two weeks this season where they have heavily deployed two high, but for most of the season, they have been based around single high coverage. In Weeks 2-10, they have utilized single-high with 61.4% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 8, against single-high, Westbrook-Ikhine has had an 11.3% target share, 0.79 YPRR, and an 8.5% first-read share. Keep Westbrook-Ikhine on the bench this week.
Dalton Schultz (TE)
Schultz couldn’t get it done again last week with another nice matchup. He’s been droppable in all formats. He has a 14.3% target share, 1.14 YPRR, and a 14.2% first-read share as the TE24 in fantasy. Tennessee has allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game and the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
PIT vs. CLE | TB vs. NYG | DET vs. IND | TEN vs. HOU | NE vs. MIA | DAL vs. WAS | MIN vs. CHI | KC vs. CAR | DEN vs. LV | ARI vs. SEA | SF vs. GB | PHI vs. LAR | BAL vs. LAC