There’s much to
There’s much to do and little time to do it.
The port workers’ strike that shut down our Eastern seaboard and Gulf coast ports has been temporarily suspended. The new do-or-die date is January 15, a fleetingly short 101 days away.
Aside from demands for a 62% pay raise over six years, of primary concern to the International Longshoremen’s Association, which represents the approximately 45,000 dock workers, is the looming concern that automation will eliminate their jobs. What that will look like, they say, is automation of gates, cranes, and container-moving trucks – pretty much anything that moves. The longshoremen want this banned.
In the absolute, this becomes a zero-sum game: automate one job, put one worker out of work, maybe more. Whatever the ratio, there’s a winner and a loser.
But it doesn’t have to be. This can be a win-win.
Since the start of the Industrial Revolution – late 18th century – the Luddites in England, predominantly in the textile trade, feared loss of jobs to automation and revolted against it. One industry after another through the years – metal working, agriculture, energy (oil, electricity), automobiles, personal computers – the fears grew, but in one after another, history shows, far more jobs were created than were eliminated. They just weren’t in the same places and they needed new skills. So, the unavoidable nature of this progress demands (a) acceptance, (b) compliance, and (c) partnership.
Twelve years ago, I wrote a six-part Commentary touting major workplace trends, one of which – “The Four Partners” – pointed to the early-stage fear we are discussing now. It has only intensified since. I also suggested a solution that also has intensified. Problem is, while we’ve watched the AI phenomenon become more real, more well-defined, and exponentially bigger, we’ve still not moved fast or far enough toward the solution.
The force to fear is not AI; it’s the person who uses it better than you do. Workers who can use AI in an integrative way enhance both the output of the automation and their own. They also tend to enjoy higher wages, more favorable jobs, and more leisure time. On the other hand, workers for whom the machines can substitute don’t fare well.
No one can do this alone. But with a national commitment to making it work, it’s a certainty. Here are the players:
History is the story of decisions. There is in front of us the need to make one of the most profound decisions in our history.
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