Drake Maye will make his first NFL start Sunday when the Patriots (1-4) welcome the Houston Texans (4-1) at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. The rookie out of North Carolina steps under center in place of Jacoby Brissett who has been largely ineffective for New England.
These are two teams with opposite trajectories. Following a win in the Stefon Diggs revenge game over the Bills, the Texans appear to be the class of the AFC South and among the elite in the AFC while the Patriots have lost 4 straight and as a result, figure it is time to start to see what their top pick from the 2024 draft has to offer before they enter possibly the top of the 2025 Draft. The Texans will be without their leading receiver, Nico Collins, but still boast a bevy of skilled targets for QB C.J. Stroud.
Lets dive into the matchup and search for value and a couple sweats keeping in mind there is a question mark under center for each team.
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The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:
This line has bounced between 6 and 7 favoring the Texans currently sitting right in the middle. The Total has dropped slightly as the market does not believe the rookie for the Pats will be able to put up many points.
NBC Sports Betting Analyst Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas) likes a player prop in this contest:
“Stefon Diggs OVER 59.5 receiving yards. He’s gone over this number in three straight games. Yes, there’s no Nico Collins, so there’ll be more defensive attention on him, but Stefon Diggs is a guy who can win in the one-on-one, and he has a good catch radius. He’s Mr. Reliable, getting eight targets per game. I have to take his OVER.”
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