The Phoenix Suns have lost seven of their last ten and now hit the road to take on the Golden State Warriors, who have also had a bad string of losses after now losing three straight and 12 of their last 15.

The Suns should be able to take advantage of the reeling Warriors and play inside the +6.5 spread.

Continue reading my Suns vs Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, December 28th

Suns vs Warriors prediction

My best bet
Suns +6.5 (-108 at bet365)

My analysis
Things have not been pretty for the Phoenix Suns as of late as they have fallen to .500 after losing seven of their last ten, but it hasn’t been as ugly as the Golden State Warriors’ descent to .500 as they have now lost 12 of their last 15.

The Warriors posted the fifth-worst offensive rating during that skid, contributing to the sixth-worst net rating during that time.

During that same timeframe, Phoenix has managed to still be a top-ten offense, and their defense has been bad but not bottom-five awful (23rd). For comparison’s sake, they’ve played to above a league-average net rating during that time (17th).

Golden State has simply lacked shooting outside of Steph Curry and Buddy Hield (29th in true shooting percentage during that time), and the former has had almost as many games with ten or fewer points this month (two) than he has had 30+ point games (three).

Hield has been even worse on that front, having failed to reach double-digits in seven of his last 11 games following a November that saw him shoot 41.4% from deep.

The Suns’ are the better team here by quite a margin and are getting a sizable chunk of points on top of that.

Suns vs Warriors same-game parlay

Phoenix Suns +6.5

Draymond Green over 7.5 points

Ryan Dunn over 3.5 rebounds

One area where the Suns have definitely been weak this year is against centers, as their 25.5 points allowed per game to the position is the second-worst mark in the league.

On top of that Jusuf Nurkic will sit tonight’s game after getting into a fight, giving Draymond Green a bit more ease on the scoring front. Green has also cleared tonight’s total of 7.5 with ease in his last two against Phoenix (13 and 15 points).

But speaking of Green and the big men, the Warriors, on the other hand, have not been great on the glass against centers. Their 15.9 rebounds allowed to the position is the fifth-worst mark in the league.

Ryan Dunn should find more minutes in Nurkic’s absence and should be able to clear 3.5 rebounds with ease in that increased opportunity.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Suns vs Warriors odds

Suns vs Warriors live odds

Suns vs Warriors opening odds

• Spread: Phoenix +5.5 (-110) | Golden State -5.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Phoenix (+195) | Golden State (-250)
• Over/Under: Over 220.5 (-110) | Under 220.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Suns vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis

• The Suns have been the league’s second-worst team against the spread this year, playing to a 10-20-1 record.
• Golden State is still 16-14 ATS despite their recent skid, which is still good for this year’s tenth-best cover rate.
• Phoenix has slightly favored the Over this year at 16-14 and has gone 5-3 that way as road underdogs.
• The Warriors are 17-13 to the Under this year, good for the sixth-highest rate of Unders this year

Suns vs Warriors trend

The Warriors are 4-6-0 ATS when listed as the home favorite. Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Warriors.

How to watch Suns vs Warriors

Suns vs Warriors latest injuries

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