Rams vs Eagles spread

The Rams were able to pressure Sam Darnold into sloppy mistakes last week, but Philly has an elite offensive line and ran the ball down L.A.’s throat at SoFi Stadium two months ago. 

On the other side of the ball, Matthew Stafford & Co. will find the sledding tough on the road against an Eagles stop unit that might be the best in the NFL. I’m taking the Eagles on the spread as my best bet. 

Rams vs Eagles moneyline

The Rams pulled off the upset last week, but they’ll have a much tougher time against an Eagles team that hasn’t lost at home since Week 2. The Eagles are too deep, talented, and experienced at every positional group to lose here.  Pencil in a 24-17 win for Philly.

Rams vs Eagles Over/Under

Philadelphia has had the best defense in the league since October, while L.A.’s young stop unit has been shutting down foes since the start of December. When you also factor in Philadelphia’s run-heavy attack and a 70% chance of freezing rain/snow in this game, the Under is the play. 

Rams vs Eagles best bet
Eagles -6 (-110 at Caesars)

My analysis

The Los Angeles Rams have gone 6-1 straight up and against the spread in their last seven games. However, that stretch began after they lost 37-20 to the Philadelphia Eagles at home in Week 12.

Meanwhile, the Eagles have won 13 of their last 14 games, nine of which were by at least a touchdown.

L.A.’s offensive line greatly improved in pass protection during the second half of the season, but one exception was against Philly when Matthew Stafford was pressured 13 times and sacked five times.

The immobile Rams QB tends to crumble when he feels the heat in the pocket. Stafford is fifth out of 25 qualifying QBs in passing grade (91.0) when kept clean in the pocket per PFF but ranks dead-last under pressure (31.3). That’s bad news against an Eagles front that gets to the QB despite rarely blitzing. 

Since their bye in Week 5, the Eagles have led the league in defensive EPA and success rate. They’ve been dominant against the pass and the run, holding opponents to a league-low 5.5 yards per pass attempt while ranking second in defensive rush EPA.

The Rams’ defense has impressed over the last month but has found itself in favorable situations. That won’t be the case against a Philly attack with a dominant line and multiple playmakers.

The Eagles trampled the Rams with 314 rushing yards in Week 12, and L.A. doesn’t have the corners to match up against A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. 

This is also a tough travel spot for the Rams, who scrambled to a neutral site on Monday to avoid the fires in L.A. and now head to the East Coast on a short week. Back the Eagles to roll. 

Rams vs Eagles same-game parlay

Eagles -6

Under 44

Saquon Barkley Over 111.5 rushing yards

Barkley’s rushing yards total is a staggering 111.5, but what can you expect from a guy who rushed for 2,005 yards during the regular season? Barkley has surpassed this number in four of his last five games, and had a career-high 255 yards on 26 carries against the Rams in Week 12.

L.A. is 26th in the league in yards allowed per carry (4.6) and 28th in average yards before contact allowed to running backs.

Philadelphia’s offense leads the NFL in rushing play percentage (55.9%) and average time of possession of 32:16. I’m betting on the Eagles to get out to an early lead and then rely on Barkley to control the clock while their elite defense prevents a comeback. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

More Rams vs Eagles picks from Covers

Rams vs Eagles odds

Rams vs Eagles live odds

Rams vs Eagles opening odds

• Spread: Los Angeles +6 | Philadelphia -6
• Moneyline: Los Angeles +225 | Philadelphia -275
• Over/Under: Over 43.5 | Under 43.5

Odds courtesy of Caesars

Rams vs Eagles spread and Over/Under analysis

• The spread hasn’t moved off the opening number, while the total has ticked up by half a point.
• The Eagles beat the Rams 37-20 as 3-point road favorites in Week 12 and had a 481-290 edge in yards.
• The Eagles defeated Green Bay 22-10 in the Wild Card Round, and they are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, with the Under cashing in seven of those contests.
• The Rams beat the Vikings 27-9 as 2.5-point pups on a neutral site last week, and they are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six games away from home. 

Rams vs Eagles betting trend to know

The Eagles are 13-1 SU in their last 14. Find more NFL betting trends for Rams vs. Eagles.

Rams vs Eagles game info

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Rams vs Eagles weather

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