Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Southwell, Salisbury and Chelmsford (AW) for his three stats-based selections on Thursday, October 3rd…
SOUTHWELL 2.30
THE KNIPHAND (system – Nigel Twiston-Davies, October)
In the past 20 years, Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 259 from 1271 record in the month of October (20.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £110.21 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 215.75, A/E = 1.20). THE KNIPHAND disappointed at Doncaster in December when we last saw him but goes well when fresh and remains open to improvement on only his third chase outing.
SALISBURY 2.40
TREMOLO (system – Harry Charlton, gelded 2yo newcomers)
Since 2010, the Charlton yard is seven from 54 with gelded juvenile newcomers for a profit of £50.58 to a £1 level stake at SP and those who ran in the month of October were four from 11 for a profit of £69.25. TREMOLO was trading at around 12-1 at the time of writing for this 7f novice contest and could be worth a speculative interest.
CHELMSFORD 8.30
CROCODILE POWER (system – Slade Power, Chelmsford)
Progeny of the sire Slade Power have a useful record at Chelmsford, landing 15 of their 96 starts for a profit of £72.88 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 10.39, A/E = 1.44). Seb Spencer’s CROCODILE POWER is on a hat-trick after a pir of 6f wins at Catterick and won’t be inconvenienced by the return to the all-weather having finished first over 7f (9-4f) and third by three-quarters of a length over an inadequate 5f trip (8-1) in two previous course outings.
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Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets |
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. |
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