Purdue men's basketball March Madness projections, bracketology for Feb. 10

Purdue men’s basketball March Madness projections, bracketology for Feb. 10

Posted by author February 10, 2025 Basketball

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The Boilermakers seek a third straight Big Ten championship and No. 1 NCAA Tournament seed.
Here’s a breakdown of Purdue’s resume, bracket projections and how upcoming games can impact their seeding.

Purdue men’s basketball sits in striking distance of two different three-peat opportunities.

The Boilermakers go into the final month of the regular season one up on Michigan and Michigan State in the win column and tied in the loss column. They’re trying to join Purdue’s 1996-98 teams with three consecutive Big Ten championships.

Two of the next three games are road trip against the Wolverines and Spartans. Wins like those would also enhance Purdue’s NCAA tournament resume. They would probably need some help in the form of the right SEC team losing down the stretch, but the Boilermakers cannot be counted out from a third straight No. 1 seed.

How their case stacks up as of Sunday evening:

What is NET ranking? How is men’s college basketball NET ranking determined?

.A team’s victories are assigned values from Quad 1 to Quad 4, based on the opponent’s NET ranking and the location of the game. Those rankings remain fluid up through Selection Sunday, with teams rising and falling in the NET rankings and potentially moving in and out of quadrants.

Quad 1: Home vs. NET 1-30, neutral 1-50 or away 1-75
Quad 2: Home vs. 31-75, neutral 51-100 or award 76-135
Quad 3: Home 76-160, neutral 101-200 or away 135-240
Quad 4: Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, away 241 or lower

Purdue men’s basketball’s NCAA Tournament resume for March Madness

NET ranking: 8

Quad 1 record: 7-5

Quad 2 record: 7-0

Quad 3 record: 1-0

Quad 4 record: 4-0

Bracketology projections for Purdue men’s basketball

USA Today (Updated Feb. 7): No. 2 seed in Midwest (Indianapolis) Region vs. 15 Towson, playing first weekend in Cleveland. Possible second-round opponents 7 Creighton and 10 Texas.

Bracketwag (Updated Feb. 9): No. 2 seed in West (San Francisco) Region vs. Marist (in Milwaukee). Possible second-round opponents 7 Memphis and 10 Vanderbilt.

CBS’ Jerry Palm (Updated Feb. 7): No. 2 seed in Midwest Region vs. 15 Cleveland State (in Milwaukee). Possible second-round opponents 7 Louisville and 10 Ohio State.

Delphi Bracketology (Updated Feb. 7): No. 2 seed in Midwest Region vs. 15 Norfolk State (in Milwaukee). Possible second-round opponents 7 Mississippi State and 10 Nebraska.

ESPN’s Joe Lunardi (Updated Feb. 7): No. 2 seed in Midwest (Indianapolis) Region vs. 15 UNC Asheville (in Milwaukee). Possible second-round opponents 7 Louisville and 10 Texas.

How Purdue men’s basketball results affected its March Madness resume last week

Feb. 4: 90-81 road victory at Iowa (No. 67 NET) — Led by 22 early in the second half, then held on to avoid what could have been a dent in the resume. The Hawkeyes are no lock to remain in the Quad 1 column, having lost three straight with five of their last eight on the road. They’ll be without Owen Freeman (hand) for all of them.

Feb. 7: 90-72 home victory over USC (70) — A comfortable victory essentially from start to finish. The Trojans would need to do some major damage over their final eight games to turn into a Quad 1 victory. Think of wins like this as fortification as the Boilers try to add another tier to their resume over the final seven games.

How upcoming games could help Purdue men’s basketball’s March Madness resume

Tuesday at No. 22 Michigan (No. 18 NET) — At the start of the season, all three of Purdue’s dual-play Big Ten opponents seemed like strong NCAA tournament contenders. Indiana and Rutgers did not live up to their promise. A sweep of Michigan, though, would rank high on the best parts of the Boiler resume.

Saturday vs. No. 19 Wisconsin (No. 15 NET) — The Big Ten’s preseason media poll pegged the Badgers in a tie for 12th. After a rough three-game stretch in December against Michigan, Marquette and Illinois, they’ve only lost twice in their last 13 games. If that prediction had come true, this might not be a potential Quad 1 conquest.

Purdue men’s basketball remaining schedule

Date	Opponent (NET rating, Quadrant)	Location
Feb. 11	at Michigan (17, Quad 1)	Ann Arbor, Mich.
Feb. 15	vs. Wisconsin (15, Quad 1)	West Lafayette, Ind.
Feb. 18	at Michigan State (22, Quad 1)	East Lansing, Mich.
Feb. 23	at Indiana (62, Quad 1)	Bloomington, Ind.
Feb. 28	vs. UCLA (26, Quad 1)	West Lafayette, Ind.
March 4	vs. Rutgers (70, Quad 2)	West Lafayette, Ind.
March 7	at Illinois (14, Quad 1)	Champaign, Ill.