Two-time Phoenix Open champion and world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler leads 10 of the 25 top players in … [+]
The 90th edition of the Phoenix Open begins Thursday, and 132 players will shoot for a first-place prize of $1.65 million from a $9.2 million purse. That includes world No. 1 and 2022, 2023 Phoenix Open champion Scottie Scheffler, who finished 3rd in last year’s event behind playoff winner Nick Taylor, who already won the Sony Open this year despite 75/1 odds to win the event into the final round. Phoenix Open 2025 preview includes golf odds, picks and information you can bet on for “The Greatest Show on Grass” and the most popular people-watching event honored five-times as PGA Tour Tournament of the Year.
Also most popular when watching and wagering on golf are prop bets, finishing position picks and tournament matchups, which which went 2-0 in last week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am event in the Forbes golf tournament preview. Tournament champion Rory McIlroy was also a big underdog matchup winner over Scheffler, who made his 2025 PGA Tour debut and finished top-10 (T9) while showcasing his pristine iron play and event-leading Strokes Gained Approach stats.
Phoenix had its second-longest dry streak in recorded history with 159 days without rain (August 24 to Jan. 29). Only 1/10th of an inch fell on Jan. 29. The event retains its reputation as the place to party with an energized watch and wager golf experience.
The course features larger than average Poa/Bentgrass greens, water in play on six holes and a raucus enviroment with hundreds of thousands of fans including 20,000 in the tri-level grandstands surrounding the 163 yard Par 3 at hole No. 16 – the loudest and most attended hole on the PGA Tour.
Opening round pairings, tee times, matchups and full list of players golf odds and props will be updated and added. Current odds to win the WM Phoenix Open are on the leading favorites, and golf odds from leading online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change.
72-hole winning score: Over/Under 264.5 (Par 71)
Will there be a playoff? Yes (+375), No (-450)
Since 2017, the winning scores have ranged from -17 to 21-under par.
Course history at TPC Scottsdale is the third-most predictive of any course on Tour, behind Augusta National and Waialae CC. Taylor (2024), Scheffler (2023, 2022), Rickie Fowler (2019), Gary Woodland (2018) and Matsuyama (2017, 2016 both in playoff) are past champions of the Phoenix Open playing this week.
Golf picks are updated weekly Tuesday and Wednesday as selected golf analysts, handicappers and noted golf media provide contributors picks to win, props and additional information you can bet on.
Check out more picks and props along with key stats to consider when wagering on the Phoenix Open.
Since 2010, nine of the last 15 winners of the Phoenix Open ranked fourth or better in Strokes Gained Approach. The key distance stats on Approach play are from 150-175 yards and 175-200, with equal distribution last year. And SG: Tee to Green and Ball Striking are other key stats to add to your model when determing a contender in Phoenix. Last year, Nick Taylor ranked No. 1 in SG: Putting, No. 6 in Tee-to-Green and No. 9 in Approach.
Scheffler, Thomas, Theegala, Simpson, Matsuyama, Spieth, Fowler and Sungjae Im top the field in course history for Strokes Gained, Total, over the last 24 rounds, per stats from Fantasy National. Approach leaders are Thomas, Scheffler, Simpson, Spieth, Fowler. Scheffler won the event in 2023 leading the field in SG: Approach, and then rode a hot putter (No. 2) in winning the Phoenix Open in 2022 despite No. 55 in Approach.
The course conditions will be far firmer and faster than last week’s event at softer Pebble Beach and its Poa annua greens. Less emphasis on putting stats with more flat and true putting surfaces at TPC Scottsdale. Scrambling gained stats are more in play this week as players handle the tougher par 4’s and holes No. 11, 14, 5 and 2.
Scheffler’s ridulously low odds to win (less than 3/1) are due to his status in the game, field strength, event results (2 wins, T3, T7 last 4 years) and superior stats profile at TPC Scottsdale.
Some select sportsbooks will offer betting on the outright champion as the “winner without” market, eliminating Scheffler from the outright winner market. Other players than Scheffler with notable success at the Phoenix Open and multiple top-10 finishes over the last 5 years include: Burns, Horschel, Spieth, Taylor, Theegala, Thomas.
Nine of the last 11 winners of the Phoenix Open won either a Major tournament or The Players Championship. That includes Scheffer, who had a stretch of 4 wins in 5 starts in March-April last year on his way to seven PGA Tour titles and Player of the Year honors. Ten of the top-25 players from the Official World Golf Rankings are teeing it up this week, with the top-4 below as major champions. There could be an opportunity for a longer shot breaking through to win “The People’s Open.”
Players at the top of the 2025 FedExCup Standings playing this week include: Straka (1), Matsuyama (2), Taylor (4), Im (6), Glover (11), Stevens (12), Thomas (15).
Matchup offerings and odds vary from leading online sportsbooks, and here are some notable tournament matchups offered at SuperBook Sports, which is one of the biggest and best sportsbooks in Las Vegas. Check Wed. for any additions as provided by top online sportsbooks.
All times Eastern
PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ provides streaming live coverage. Paramount+ will stream CBS’s broadcasts online along with the CBS Sports App.
Thursday and Friday tee times posted along with featured groups on Wednesday as provided by the PGA Tour.
Thursday (ESPN+, all times Eastern)
Featured holes Par 3’s at No. 4, 12, 16 plus Par 4 at No. 17
Following last year’s weather issues that caused daily delays on the course with muddy, slippery slopes, bottlenecks and unruly spectators, the PGA Tour and host Thunderbirds announced several changes for the 2025 event as they look to control the environment at “The Peoples Open” while adhering to the Phoenix Open motto – Respect the game. Respect the players. Respect the fans.
From digital ticketing to an added entrance near the 18th hole, the biggest change to address congestion is the expanded size of course walkways to mitigate logjams, especially near the most popular 16th hole and behind No. 18. More accessible viewing areas and expanded concessions will add to better experience for all spectators, as the Thunderbirds continue their enormous charitable impact in the local community through the Phoenix Open.
The Thunderbirds announced a record $17.5 million raised from the 2024 tournament, in spite of the issues last year. That eclipsed the $14.5 million from the previous year, and $10.5 million in 2022. In the 15 years with Waste Management as title sponsor, the Thunderbirds and the WM Phoenix Open have raised an impressive $142 million.
Watch each week as the PGA pros fire for more birdies and score with biggest prize pools in the Signature Events plus next month’s The PLAYERS Championship and upcoming four majors. Golf fans also shoot for more fairways and greens in pursuit of profit while watching and wagering on golf.
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