Coming off a mini-bye week after they lost an emotional game against the Lions, the Packers face the Seahawks in a prime-time affair on “Sunday Night Football.”
Coach Matt LaFleur has an interesting matchup on tap as the Seahawks’ receivers are among the best in the league, while Pro Football Focus and Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) rate the Packers’ pass coverage among the best in the league.
Jaire Alexander was a full participant in practice this week but is out for this game, a boon for Seahawks.
We’ve seen money come in on the Packers since this line opened, and the road team has been favored by one point and now moving to three.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Packers | -3 (+102) | -148 | Over 45.5 (-112) |
Seahawks | +3 (-122) | +124 | Under 45.5 (-108 |
The Seahawks have been relying significantly on their passing offense, tallying the the fifth-most passing attempts in the NFL and second-most passing yards.
Their offense hasn’t been as strong as projected while running the ball, owning the fifth-lowest yards per carry (YPC) average in the NFL.
That number was actually lower before Zach Charbonnet was inserted into the lineup last Sunday and has been a godsend for their rushing attack.
Whoever starts for Seattle, though, will have a tough go. Green Bay has the sixth-best rushing defense in terms of YPC allowed and 10th-best overall, according to DVOA.
Of concern for the Seahawks is their turnovers.
The Seahawks turn it over the eighth-most in the league (19 total turnovers, 11 interceptions), while the Packers force them the third-most frequently (24).
Look for Geno Smith to go Over his interception prop, but that doesn’t necessarily point to Seattle losing at home in this one.
The Seahawks would not be 5.5-point underdogs in Green Bay and are at full health for this one, while the Packers are clearly banged up despite the mini bye week.
PICKS: Seahawks ML (+128, BetRivers) | Geno Smith Over .5 interceptions (-110, Bet365)
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
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