Odds, picks to win and best bets for the PGA Tour's 2025 Farmers Insurance Open

Odds, picks to win and best bets for the PGA Tour’s 2025 Farmers Insurance Open

Posted by author January 21, 2025 Golf

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For many golf fans, the PGA Tour’s annual trip to Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open is the unofficial start of the new season. A strong field, beautiful views and a storied track are all ingredients for a fun week.

This year’s field in San Diego is a bit weaker than normal thanks to the Genesis Invitational reportedly moving from Riviera Country Club to Torrey Pines due to the wildfires that devastated the Los Angeles area. Why play the same course twice when the Genesis is a signature event? It’s a bummer, but understandable.

However, there are still a handful of stars slated to tee off Wednesday — the NFL’s conference championship Sunday pushes the Farmers’ start a day earlier in the week — including Ludvig Aberg, Hideki Matsuyama, Tony Finua, Max Homa, Jason Day and Will Zalatoris.

Saturday’s winner will earn $1.674 million of the $9.3 million purse and 500 FedEx Cup points. Torrey Pines’ North and South courses will be used for the first two rounds before the final two days are contested on the South.

Now, with all that out of the way, let’s talk picks.

Golf course

Torrey Pines South | Par 72 | 7,765 yards

Course history

Odds for the Farmers Insurance Open

Player	Odds	Player	Odds
Ludvig Aberg	+900	Hideki Matsuyama	+1100
Sungjae Im	+1800	Keegan Bradley	+2200
Will Zalatoris	+2200	Tony Finau	+2200
Jason Day	+2500	Max Greyserman	+2500
Sahith Theegala	+2800	Taylor Pendrith	+3000
Shane Lowry	+3000	Max Homa	+3000
Maverick McNealy	+3000	Kurt Kitayama	+3500
Luke Clanton	+4000	Si Woo Kim	+4500
Beau Hossler	+4500	J.J. Spaun	+5000
Ben Griffin	+5000	Aaron Rai	+5000

Odds from DraftKings. Odds subject to change.

Picks to win, best bets for the Farmers Insurance Open

Will Zalatoris

Odds: 22/1

Analysis: Willy Z, welcome back to the card. Man, it feels good.

Zalatoris has started his year with two pretty good showings, a tie for 26th at The Sentry and a T-12 finish at last week’s American Express. Torrey Pines is a golf course that fits Zalatoris’ game perfectly, and that shows with his past finishes. He tied for seventh in 2021, lost in a playoff in 2022 and tied for 13th last year.

Jason Day

Odds: 25/1

Analysis: After opening the season with a T-40 finish at The Sentry, Day tied for third at the AmEx last week. He now heads to a golf course in Torrey Pines that he has loved over the years. He’s a two-time winner (2015, 2018) and has finished T-7 (2023) and T-3 (2022) in recent seasons.

Stephan Jaeger

Odds: 60/1

Analysis: At this number, Jaeger is an auto-bet for me. He’s fresh off a T-3 finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii and tied for third at last year’s Farmers Insurance Open. His distance off the tee is a real advantage around Torrey Pines. If he can find the short grass at a decent clip, he’ll have enough opportunities to hang in contention. A top-20 finish at +230 is a bet I love.