Jahmyr Gibbs – 123.5 total yards in Pick’em.

Josh Jacobs

• He’s the RB1 overall on RB1 overall usage this month.

• The Packers are projected for the 2nd-most points. This is an eruption spot at home against the Saints, who are 2nd-worst in rushing success rate since Week 5. Green Bay is 14.5-point home favorites.

Chase Brown

James Conner

• He’s the RB8 on RB13 usage this month, but Conner is also coming off back-to-back season highs in expected half PPR points and he finished as the RB1 overall in actual fantasy points just last week. Trey Benson picked up an injury and isn’t trusted. Emari Demercado is on IR. It’s Conner and special-teamer DeeJay Dallas right now.

• The Cardinals are projected for the 6th-most points. This is an eruption spot against a Panthers defense that’s allowed the most fantasy points to RB, including the most carries, rushing yards, and rushing TDs.

Bijan Robinson – 115.5 total yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the RB6 overall on RB2 overall usage this month.

• The Falcons are projected for the 9th-most points, and the team total didn’t move much with the Michael Penix announcement. If anything, this is probably slightly worse news for B-Rob beacuse the Falcons were trending towards the most run-heavy team in the NFL with Kirk Cousins. We’ll see if Penix is a total upgrade leading to more TD opportunities, or if the Falcons pass downfield more with varying success. This is uncharted territory. Typically the RBs are least affected.

• The matchup is ideal against a Giants unit that’s 5th-worst against fantasy RBs and missing multiple DTs, including All Pro caliber DT Dexter Lawrence. Atlanta is 8.5-point favorites.

Saquon Barkley

De’Von Achane

Kyren Williams – 97.5 total yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the RB7 on RB7 usage this month.

• The Rams are projected for the 7th-most points against a Jets defense that’s 4th-worst in rushing success rate since Week 5.

Chuba Hubbard

• He’s the RB25 on RB11 usage this month, but in games without Jonathan Brooks (ACL), Hubbard has averaged 14.7 HPPR points. That’d make him the RB14 this month.

Joe Mixon – 85.5 total yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the RB19 on RB8 usage this month, and Mixon picked up a minor ankle injury last week.

• The Texans are projected for the 5th-fewest points against the Chiefs, who are the best fantasy RB defense by a wide margin. They’ve allowed a league-low 17.2 carries and 63 rushing yards per game to the position. That’s 3.66 yards per carry for those who know what “division” is.

Bucky Irving

• He’s the RB4 overall on RB6 overall usage this month when removing his injured game. Last week, he exploded on 11.8 expected half PPR points in a near even split. The Bucs are projected for the 5th-most points this week in a total eruption spot.

  

Derrick Henry – 86.5 total yards in Pick’em.

Brian Robinson

• We didn’t feel it in the box score, but B-Rob had a season-high 17.6 expected half PPR points last week without Austin Ekeler. The OL has some issues right now, but Washington lost Noah Brown (ribs) and Zach Ertz (concussion) as well. It’s more-or-less Jayden Daniels, Terry McLauin, and B-Rob right now.

• The Eagles are really good up front, allowing the 3rd-fewest fantasy points and only 5 rushing TDs to the position. This ranking is really about his bankable workload.

Rico Dowdle

• He’s the RB14 on RB17 usage this month. On the season, Dowdle’s 58% rushing success rate leads the position. Leads!!!

• The Buccaneers have allowed the 3rd-fewest carries to RBs, but they are injured and can be had through the air.

James Cook – 81.5 total yards in Pick’em.

• The Bills are projected for the most points, and they are 14.0-point home favorites.

• This is a 3-way committee at RB with Ty Johnson playing passing downs, Cook operating as the explosive rusher, and Ray Davis working in as a hammer.

Aaron Jones

Zach Charbonnet (Questionable)

• He has averaged 21.9 half PPR points on 15.8 expected points without Kenneth Walker (questionable) this season, but an injured Geno Smith and a bat-shit crazy Vikings defense complicates things. Minnesota is 2nd-best against fantasy RBs on the 4th-fewest carries.

Jonathan Taylor

Rachaad White

• In his last 3 games with a healthy Bucky Irving, White has averaged 11.5 half PPR points on 10.6 expected points. That’s low-end RB2 value, and the Bucs are projected for the 5th-most points this week in an eruption spot. You can do worse in the flex!

  

Patrick Taylor

• Isaac Guerendo (doubtful) had 13.5 and 11.7 expected half PPR points in his two starts, but neither of them were normal games however. Without LT Trent Williams, the 49ers haven’t been the same (22.25 team total), so Taylor doesn’t provide the same profile as Jordan Mason and Guerendo did. Expect Taylor to be the primary rusher with Izzy Abanikanda and Ke’Shawn Vaughn also active.

Breece Hall

Jerome Ford

• Nick Chubb was the RB20 on RB24 usage this past month as the Browns’ lead back. Ford isn’t a lock for goal line carries, but he certainly is the favorite for them over D’Onta Foreman and Pierre Strong.

Tony Pollard (Questionable)

Isiah Pacheco – 69.5 total yards in Pick’em.

Kendre Miller

Najee Harris – 65.5 total yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the RB27 on RB21 usage this month, and the Steelers are projected for the 4th-fewest points this week. They borderline have an unserious offense is George Pickens (questionable) isn’t available to create the threat of a downfield shot.

• The Ravens are 2nd-best in rushing success rate allowed since Week 5.

Travis Etienne

• His 13.9 expected half PPR points last week were the most he’s had since Week 2, but Etienne is only the RB33 on RB27 this month because Tank Bigsby has been involved, too.

  

Alexander Mattison – 63.5 total yards in Pick’em.

• The Jaguars have allowed the 2nd-most fantasy points to RBs, and believe it or not, the Raiders are home favorites this week.

• This assumes Sincere McCormick (ankle) and Zamir White are out, leaving Mattison as the early-down favorite with Ameer Abdullah catching passes in garbage time. In that role, Mattison was hovering around 10 half PPR points. The floor is far lower than that.

  

Rhamondre Stevenson

• The Patriots are projected for the 2nd-fewest points, and he’s the RB39 on RB26 usage this month with Antonio Gibson mixing in. The only positive is the Bills have allowed the most receptions to RBs this year.

Tyrone Tracy – 74.5 total yards in Pick’em.

Tyjae Spears

D’Andre Swift

• Roschon Johnson (concussion) is on track to return. Swift has been the RB38 on RB25 usage this month largely without him. Not great.

• The Lions are super injured up front, but they’ve limited RBs to the 2nd-fewest carries this season partially because of game script.

Javonte Williams – 60.5 total yards in Pick’em.

Tyler Allgeier

Tank Bigsby

Jaylen Warren – 50.5 total yards in Pick’em.

Gus Edwards

Roschon Johnson

Justice Hill

Kimani Vidal – 41.5 total yards in Pick’em.

Kareem Hunt

Kenneth Gainwell

Ja’Marr Chase – 89.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Puka Nacua – 85.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Justin Jefferson – 84.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Mike Evans – 76.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the WR9 on WR23 usage this month while recovering from a hamstring injury. We should be fully passed that point now, and the Bucs are projected for the 5th-most points.

• Cowboys CB1 Trevon Diggs (knee) is out for the season.

Amon-Ra St. Brown – 69.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• The Lions are projected for the 4th-most points, and their insanely injured defense only helps his fantasy production. No David Montgomery should help, too.

Nico Collins – 80.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

CeeDee Lamb – 74.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s averaged 12.5 half PPR points on 13.3 expected with Cooper Rush.

• The Bucs are severely injured on defense, specifically at safety where Lamb does get some matchups.

A.J. Brown – 73.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Davante Adams – 72.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Brian Thomas – 71.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the WR8 on WR2 overall usage this month. He’s one of the best WRs in the NFL already on tape. The 22-year-old can do everything. That’s not an exaggeration. It helps that Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis, and Evan Engram are out.

• The Raiders placed EDGE Maxx Crosby on IR. Star DT Christian Wilkins and CB1 Jakorian Bennett are also on IR.

Terry McLaurin – 65.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• Last week was a season-high 16.8 expected half PPR points, which happened to be in the first game without Noah Brown (IR), Austin Ekeler (IR), and Zach Ertz (concussion). The Commanders simply have no depth and are now moving McLaurin across the formation to scheme him open or make him the primary on concepts.

Tyreek Hill – 72.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Ladd McConkey – 66.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• Broncos CB1 Pat Surtain is the best in the business, but CB2 Riley Moss is out. Surtain nearly strictly plays outside corner only, so this is more of a Quentin Johnston and Josh Palmer issue. McConkey should only see him on a handful of routes, and the rookie has been good enough to compete with the best.

Malik Nabers – 62.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• The rookie set a season-high in routes (21) and targets (11) out of the slot last week, and his production skyrocketed. He saw screens, slot fades, and everything in between. It was very encouraging usage and it plays to his explosive strengths. He’s the WR24 on WR7 usage this month, but the arrow is pointing up, despite…

• The Giants are projected for the 3rd-fewest points. At least the Falcons have allowed the 4th-most fantasy points to WRs.

Drake London

• He’s the WR30 on WR14 usage this month when the Falcons gave up on the pass game. Things could open up again with rookie Michael Penix.

• The Falcons are projected for the 9th-most points, and the Giants have 5 CBs on the injury report right now.

Cooper Kupp – 58.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• Last week was a disaster, but there wasn’t anything physically different on tape than the previous weeks. The 49ers simply had an A+ game plan to stop his option routes and their zone defense passed things on beautifully. Not every team has a Fred Warner to stop it. This week’s interior matchup with the injured Jets is a positive one for Kupp. The Rams are projected for the 8th-most points.

Courtland Sutton – 64.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the WR11 on WR16 usage this month, but the Broncos team total sits at 19.25 points on the road on a short week against an above-average divisional opponent. It’s a difficult spot for Sutton, who is a stud on tape weekly. Last week’s double move TD was another wrinkle to his game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

• He’s been the WR20 on WR35 usage this month, while averaging 11.1 expected half PPR points in his last 5 games with the banged-up Metcalf.

• Geno Smith is on track to play. This is a great matchup for screen production. For example, D.J. Moore had 5 screen receptions against the Vikings last week. Minnesota has allowed the most WR receptions this year as a whole.

DeVonta Smith

• Last week was an outlier 19.1 expected half PPR points, but it was timely after the pass game was routinely called out. Hopefully last week was a sign that the offense is about to lock in.

• The Eagles are projected for the 10th-most points. He’ll see some CB1 Marshon Lattimore.

Garrett Wilson – 62.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s averaged 11.6 half PPR points on 11.4 expected with Davante Adams, who has been a total baller of late. Over the last month with Aaron Rodgers looking better, Wilson is the WR31 on WR24 usage.

DJ Moore – 61.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the WR18 on WR11 usage this month. Without ex-OC Shane Waldron, DJM has averaged 14.0 half PPR points on 12.6 expected points, and he saw another 5 screens last week.

• This is a great matchup against an injured Lions defense, who are 1-of-2 teams with 200+ receptions to WRs.

Keenan Allen – 53.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the WR14 on WR5 usage this month. Without ex-OC Shane Waldron, Keenan has averaged 13.7 half PPR points on 14.6 expected points. That’s real production. In fact, last week when removing screens, he had a 54% target share.

• This is a great matchup against an injured Lions defense, who are 1-of-2 teams with 200+ receptions to WRs.

Jordan Addison

Jauan Jennings – 58.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s firmly the top receiver on the team and is an obvious positive regression candidate, but the 49ers’ team total is down without LT Trent Williams and Jennings will see CB1 Jalen Ramsey on the outside.

Zay Flowers – 59.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Jakobi Meyers – 62.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• He’s the WR28 on WR10 usage this month. That pretty much sums it up. I do like Aidan O’Connell more than Desmond Ridder.

• The Jaguars have allowed the 3rd-most fantasy points to WRs.

Tee Higgins (Questionable)

• He had a rest day on Wednesday and is not practicing on Thursday. Ruh roh.

• He’s the WR13 in usage this month, and the Bengals are projected for the 3rd-most points. Browns CB2 Greg Newsome is on IR.

Calvin Ridley – 59.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Marvin Harrison – 52.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Adam Thielen – 51.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Jerry Jeudy

• Cedric Tillman (concussion, limited) and David Njoku (hamstring, DNP) are equally as important news as the Jameis Winston benching. With the Browns, Winston’s yards per attempt numbers (6.9) blow out Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s 3.7. Now, DTR’s numbers will improve off that low, but Winston’s YOLO ball mentality has bred fantasy points. Jeudy is seeing more vertical routes this year, and I’m less convinced DTR will hit those. All this said, Jeudy has been the WR6 on WR15 usage this month, so there’s room to drop off and still be a fantasy starter pending the target competition mentioned above.

Khalil Shakir – 47.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Jameson Williams – 49.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Darnell Mooney – 51.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

• The Falcons are projected for the 9th-most points, but downfield Darnell is better suited with Michael Penix than Kirk Cousins in my opinion. We’ll see if the Falcons actually have to pass this game as heavy favorites versus the Giants.

Romeo Doubs

• The Packers are projected for the 2nd-most points, and Doubs played 90% of the dropbacks last week.

• The Saints have allowed the 5th-most fantasy points to WRs and traded away their top CB last month.

Jayden Reed

• The Packers are projected for the 2nd-most points, but Reed is a part-time player with WR61 usage this month. This does profile as a potential spike week game. We all understand what the floor is now.

• The Saints have allowed the 5th-most fantasy points to WRs and traded away their top CB last month.

DK Metcalf (Questionable)

• He was a DNP on Wednesday (shoulder). Geno Smith is on track to play on a bad knee.

• Metcalf is leading the NFL in percentage of his targets coming in contested situations. That’s not ideal. He’s not getting the easy targets anymore (JSN), and he hasn’t been great in contested situations historically. The injuries can’t be helping. This month, Metcalf is the WR49 in usage.

Xavier Worthy – 34.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

DeAndre Hopkins – 41.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Josh Downs – 51.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Deebo Samuel – 43.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Rome Odunze – 42.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Tank Dell – 40.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Jalen McMillan

Elijah Moore

Rashod Bateman (Questionable) – 38.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Michael Pittman (Questionable)

Christian Watson

Keon Coleman – 30.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Amari Cooper – 35.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Quentin Johnston – 41.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

1. He’ll see more of CB Patrick Surtain than McConkey. Not great.

DeMario Douglas – 34.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Tim Patrick

Hollywood Brown

• He’s off the injury report and should make his debut, although likely in a part-time role. Xavier Worthy and DeAndre Hopkins have played plenty on the outside, so it’ll be curious to see where he mixes in.

Jalen Coker

Josh Allen – Bills (29.5 implied points, -14.0 spread) vs. NE

Lamar Jackson – Ravens (25.75, -6.0) vs. PIT

Jalen Hurts – Eagles (24.5, -3.5) at WAS

Joe Burrow – Bengals (27.25, -7.5) vs. CLE

Jordan Love – Packers (28.5, -14.5) vs. NO

Jayden Daniels – Commanders (21.0, +3.5) vs. PHI

Kyler Murray – Cardinals (25.75, -4.5) at CAR

Baker Mayfield – Bucs (26.5, -4.0) at DAL

Sam Darnold – Vikings (23.5, -3.0) at SEA

Jared Goff – Lions (27.25, -6.5) at CHI

Matthew Stafford – Rams (25.5, -3.5) at NYJ

Anthony Richardson – Colts (23.0, -3.5) vs. TEN

Tua Tagovailoa – Dolphins (22.75, -1.0) vs. SF

Justin Herbert – Chargers (22.25, -2.5) vs. DEN

Patrick Mahomes – Chiefs (22.25, -3.0) vs. HOU

Brock Purdy – 49ers (21.75, +1.0) at MIA

Aaron Rodgers – Jets (22.0, +3.5) vs. LAR

Caleb Williams – Bears (20.75, +6.5) vs. DET

Bo Nix – Broncos (19.75, +2.5) at LAC

Michael Penix – Falcons (25.25, -8.5) vs. NYG

C.J. Stroud – Texans (19.25, +3.0) at KC

Cooper Rush – Cowboys (22.0, +4.0) vs. TB

Bryce Young – Panthers (21.25, +4.5) vs. ARI

Geno Smith – Seahawks (20.0, +3.0) vs. MIN

Drake Maye – Patriots (15.5, +14.0) at BUF

Mac Jones – Jaguars (19.5, +1.0) at LV

Aidan O’Connell – Raiders (20.5, -1.0) vs. JAX

Russell Wilson – Steelers (19.75, +6.0) at BAL

Dorian Thompson-Robinson – Browns (19.75, +7.5) at CIN

Mason Rudolph – Titans (19.5, +3.5) at TEN

Drew Lock – Giants (16.75, +8.5) at ATL

Spencer Rattler – Saints (14.0, +14.5) at GB

Trey McBride – 70.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

George Kittle – 57.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Brock Bowers – 60.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Jonnu Smith

Travis Kelce – 51.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Brenton Strange – 34.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Tucker Kraft

Sam LaPorta – 43.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Mark Andrews – 35.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Pat Freiermuth

Hunter Henry – 41.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

T.J. Hockenson

Jake Ferguson

Cade Otton

Juwan Johnson

Dalton Kincaid – 36.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Stone Smartt – 37.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Dalton Schultz – 29.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Kyle Pitts – 26.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Cole Kmet – 22.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Mike Gesicki

Grant Calcaterra

Noah Gray – 23.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.

Isaiah Likely – 22.5 receiving yards in Pick’em.