• Rookie wide receivers shine in the early slate: The Jacksonville Jaguars‘ Brian Thomas Jr., the New York Giants‘ Malik Nabers and Carolina Panthers‘ Jalen Coker all achieved over 20 PPR points.
• Chaos for fantasy running backs: Tyjae Spears, Jerome Ford and Justice Hill were some of the top fantasy running backs from the early slate, while most typical fantasy starters underperformed.
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PFF’s fantasy football recap focuses on player usage and stats, breaking down all the vital information you need to achieve fantasy success in 2024.
Chuba Hubbard dominates snaps without backups: Hubbard played over 94% of Carolina’s offensive snaps for the second straight week.
Miles Sanders started the season as the Panthers’ backup running back, but Sanders landed on injured reserve three weeks ago due to a high ankle sprain. That was around the time that Jonathon Brooks was activated off the injured list, but Brooks suffered a second ACL tear, landing him on injured reserve.
Raheem Blackshear has spent all season as the Panthers’ third running back, but he was questionable due to a chest injury and ultimately inactive. The Panthers claimed Velus Jones and elevated Mike Boone from the practice squad, but this ultimately meant Hubbard was on the field for as much as he could handle.
The game script led the Panthers to abandon the run and lose the time of possession battle, but Hubbard will be a must-start running back over the rest of the season regardless of potential game scripts.
Panthers gain a wide receiver and lose a wide receiver: Jalen Coker was active for the first time in a few weeks while Xavier Legette left early due to a groin injury.
Coker made his NFL debut in Week 4, caught four passes for 68 yards in Week 5, and was the Panthers’ slot receiver for the following month. The undrafted rookie wide receiver missed the last three weeks due to a quadriceps injury. His injury coincided with Adam Thielen returning from injury, so Thielen took over in the slot. This was the first week where both Coker and Thielen were active.
Instead of the two competing with each other for snaps, the Panthers simply benched David Moore, who had been playing at least 80% of Carolina’s offensive snaps in every game since Week 8.
Legette started the season as a Z receiver but has recently transitioned to an X receiver. This week, he played an even higher percentage of Carolina’s offensive snaps as the X receiver than usual with Moore on the bench, as Moore had been an X receiver for most of his time starting. This left Coker and Thielen splitting time as both the Z receiver and in the slot. As the game progressed, Coker spent more time at Z while Thielen played more in the slot.
All three played at least 20 of 26 snaps in the first half and at least 12 of the 16 pass plays. Legette’s groin injury was on the first play of the second half, and he didn’t return. This moved Moore right back to the starting lineup and in the X role he was used to. All three played 27 or more of the 29 snaps in the second half.
Coker earned an 83-yard touchdown, leading to his best-receiving performance of the year, but Thielen had more targets for more receptions. Carolina’s passing game hasn’t been explosive enough for two fantasy-relevant receivers in the same week. Thielen is likely to be the top fantasy option over the last few weeks, but there is certainly a chance Coker can take over as the leader in targets.
Brandin Cooks regains the second wide receiver spot: Cooks has seen a significant increase in snaps in each of his games back.
Cooks consistently played over 75% of Dallas’ offensive snaps to end last season and begin this season before a knee strain cost him half of this season. He returned in Week 13 in a rotational role and played over 50% of Dallas’ offensive snaps last week.
This week, he played in 41 of 55 snaps over the first three quarters,running a route on 25 of 28 pass plays, just behind CeeDee Lamb in playing time. Jalen Tolbert was a clear third, playing 30 snaps and running 14 routes. While Cooks was second on the team in routes, targets, receptions and receiving yards, Lamb, Tolbert and Jalen Brooks ended up scoring touchdowns this week.
The Cowboys entered the fourth quarter with a three-score lead, so they mostly used backups. Cooks and Lamb played four snaps each in the quarter.
The Cowboys have a favorable matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers next week. It might be too little too late to trust Cooks in your fantasy starting lineup, but there is a chance he will put up his best numbers of the season next week.
Jake Ferguson’s snap count declines: Ferguson remained the clear receiving tight end but was often off the field in run situations.
Ferguson had recently missed time due to injury, and Luke Schoonmaker played well in Ferguson’s absence. Last week, Ferguson was the clear tight end in 11 personnel, but he rotated out in 12 personnel a little more than usual. Out of 18 plays in 12 personnel, Schoonmaker played 17, Ferguson played 11 and Brevyn Spann-Ford played eight.
This week, Ferguson again played the vast majority of snap out of 11 personnel but rarely played in other personnel groupings. He played four of 10 snaps in 12 personnel. The Cowboys also used more 22 personnel than usual, and Ferguson didn’t take any of those snaps.
This kind of role shouldn’t have a major impact on Ferguson’s fantasy production. In some cases, it can hurt their touchdown total, but the Cowboys have used 11 personnel on 21 of 24 plays within five yards of scoring this season. However, it will mean a couple fewer routes run per game if this playing time split continues.
Miscellaneous Notes
Monitor Nick Chubb’s health: Chubb suffered a broken foot, according to Kevin Stefanski.
Chubb started the game with more playing time than usual, taking 17 of 27 offensive snaps. In recent weeks, Jerome Ford has taken the passing down work and nearly half of the early down work. This week, Chubb was taking 75% of the Browns’ early down snaps. The Browns didn’t have a two-minute drill in the first half, which also helped Chubb’s playing time.
Chubb’s foot injury occurred early in the third quarter, and it wasn’t long before he was ruled out. Ford took over as the running back for the rest of the game, which likely would have happened regardless of the injury due to the game script.
Ford should be a clear top waiver wire option this week. Early in the season, he was playing over 75% of Cleveland’s offensive snaps some week before Chubb took his first snaps of the season. The only concern with Ford is the Browns still have D’Onta Foreman, who has been a healthy inactive since Chubb returned, but Foreman is fully capable of playing Chubb’s role. There is a chance Ford only sees a slight uptick in playing time to give a well-rested Foreman more opportunities. Ford certainly has starting potential in fantasy leagues, but it comes at a risk.
Browns miss David Njoku: The Browns’ star tight end was inactive due to a hamstring injury.
Njoku also missed Weeks 2-4 due to injury, in which Jordan Akins, Blake Whiteheart and Geoff Swaim took his place. Akins was on the field for the clear majority of passing plays. Akins wasn’t targeted enough to be fantasy-relevant in those games, finishing with two receptions per game.
This week, it was just Akins and Whitehead, who tended to be on the field for run plays while Akins was in for passes. Akins ended up with a fine performance with three receptions for 30 yards. However, the Browns made 10 personnel a very big part of their offense. They did the same thing in Week 2 but with a four-receiver set of Amari Cooper, Jerry Jeudy, Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman. This week, it was Jeudy, Moore, Michael Woods II and Jamari Thrash. They also ran some three-receiver sets with a sixth offensive lineman instead of a tight end.
Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt split snaps: The two running backs were near 50-50 in snaps and touches.
Pacheco returned to the Chiefs lineup in Week 13. He was limited in his first game but played more as the game progressed. Last week, his playing time increased. More importantly, he ran 14 times in that game and caught two passes compared to Hunt’s five runs and one reception. It seemed like the Chiefs were getting back to Pacheco being a clear early down back for the team.
Pacheco was the clear lead back in the first half, playing 22 out of 38 snaps compared to Hunt’s 10, but Pacheco wasn’t very effective on his carries. This led Hunt to be the primary running back in the second half. Pacheco played two snaps early in the quarter and three snaps in the middle, but there was a 16-minute stretch from last in the third quarter to late in the fourth where Pacheco didn’t see the field.
Unless we find out that Pacheco was dealing with an injury in the second half and is fine now, it will be difficult to trust Pacheco next week in fantasy starting lineups.
Chiefs receivers begin to separate: Xavier Worthy has played more in the past two weeks, while DeAndre Hopkins was fourth among the wide receivers in routes run.
The Chiefs have used a heavy rotation of receivers since Rashee Rice landed on injured reserve. While Travis Kelce has been a clear leader on the team in routes run all season, several players have been in the same ballpark in routes when healthy.
From Weeks 11-13 when JuJu Smith-Schuster returned from injury, Worthy, Hopkins, Smith-Schuster, Justin Watson and tight end Noah Gray ran a route on 73-104 out of a potential 146 pass plays. That meant six wide receivers and tight ends were running routes on at least 50% of Kansas City’s pass plays, but only Kelce would reach 75%.
Over the last two weeks, Worthy has distanced himself from the rest of the group. After catching a career-high five receptions in Week 13, he received an increase in snaps. He caught five passes again last week and set a new career-high in this game with six receptions. He also ran the ball three times.
On the flip side, Hopkins fell below 50% of the Chiefs’ offensive snaps and routes. Noah Gray also had his route participation rate decrease this week. The Chiefs have a great matchup against the Houston Texans next week followed by a rough one against the Pittsburgh Steelers the following week. Assuming Patrick Mahomes can play, Worthy could be in fantasy starting lineups. While Hopkins has a high target rate when he is on the field, he is not a must-start with his low route total.
Miscellaneous Notes
Raheem Mostert returns to the Dolphins: Mostert missed last week’s game due to a hip injury.
Mostert returned to being the Dolphins’ clear backup running back, seeing a similar role to Week 13. He ran six times and caught three passes but wasn’t able to do much on his touches.
For most of November, Mostert was restricted to a third-down role while Jaylen Wright emerged as the primary backup on early downs. However, he averaged less than 3.0 yards per carry from Weeks 10-12, leading Mostert to re-gain the backup job in Week 13.
Even in Week 14, the Dolphins only trusted Wright with two carries. It’s clear Mostert is the backup running back at the moment. If Achane suffered an injury at some point in these last few weeks, we could expect Mostert to be used in a feature role. Mostert is under contract for 2025 at a $4 million cap hit. While the Dolphins might not want the 33-year-old running back at that price, there is still a chance he returns despite his age.
Monitor Jaylen Waddle and Grant DuBose’s health: Waddle suffered a leg injury, while DuBose was down on the field for several minutes after a helmet-to-helmet hit.
The Dolphins were already down multiple receivers leading into this game. The team mutually agreed to release Odell Beckham Jr., while Dee Eskridge was inactive due to a knee injury. Braxton Berrios has been on injured reserve for several weeks, leaving River Cracraft and DuBose as the fourth and fifth wide receivers. DuBose was activated off injured reserve from a shoulder injury earlier in the week.
DuBose initially took over as the starter rather than Malik Washington, who has been the third wide receiver for most of the season. DuBose played eight of 10 snaps in the final five minutes of the second quarter while Washington took three snaps.
DuBose suffered a helmet-to-helmet hit early in the third quarter that left him on the field for several minutes, requiring a stretcher and neck brace to leave the field. The Dolphins reported he is in stable condition. We hope for the best for DuBose and his recovery.
The Dolphins played behind for the entire second half, so they mostly stayed in three-receiver sets. This meant Tyreek Hill, Washington and Cracraft closed out the game. If the Waddle injury is serious, then Washington could be a fine waiver-wire target in deeper leagues. He was fourth on the team in targets this week, but they have a relatively favorable matchup against the Cleveland Browns during fantasy championship weekend.
Miscellaneous Notes
Brenton Strange shines without Evan Engram: The Jaguars’ usual lead tight end landed on injured reserve.
Strange played a lot early in the season when Engram was previously out due to an injury. The two’s quality of the play had been fairly similar this season, as both players averaged 1.51 yards per route run over the first 14 weeks, tied for 13th-best at the position.
Strange was the clear starter with Engram out, playing just as much as Engram typically would. While Brian Thomas Jr. was Jacksonville’s star of the day, Strange caught a career-high 11 passes for 73 yards. A tight end has received 12 or more targets just 20 times this season, most of them coming from Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce, David Njoku and Trey McBride.
This week, Strange should be the clear top waiver-wire target, particularly in deeper leagues. The Jaguars play the Las Vegas Raiders next week, and they’ve allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Beyond 2024, it’s at least possible the team will rebuild without their 30-year-old tight end with a $19.75 million cap hit in favor of their 23-year-old tight end, who is playing just as well.
Josh Reynolds makes his Jaguars’ debut: The former Denver Broncos may have helped Brian Thomas Jr. in his excellent game.
Reynolds started the season as a top-three wide receiver on the Denver Broncos, but he landed on injured reserve and the Broncos young wide receivers stepped up. The Broncos opted to release Reynolds once he was healthy rather than benching one or more of their receivers.
The Jaguars claimed Reynolds off waivers after losing Gabe Davis and Christian Kirk to injured reserve. Reynolds was inactive last week, but another week on the team left him ready to play. In recent weeks, the Jaguars used Thomas and Parker Washington on the outside and Devin Duvernay in the slot. While Thomas has been good as an outside receiver this season with 1.92 yards per route run, he’s been excellent in the slot with 3.21 yards per route run.
In this game, Reynolds and Duvernay rotated in three-receiver sets. Reynolds has primarily played on the outside, so when Reynolds was on the field, it was often Thomas or Washington in the slot. Thomas only ran 14 routes from the slot in this game, but he was targeted on six of those passes, catching five of them.
While Reynolds is unlikely to have fantasy value this season, if he plays more, that could mean more time for Thomas in the slot and more fantasy production for the rookie.
Breece Hall plays through injury: Hall missed last week due to a knee injury.
Hall missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday and was limited on Friday. The Jets are out of playoff contention, so it was surprising that the Jets would risk further injury for Hall.
Hall played eight of 16 snaps on the first three drives, while Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis totaled four each. Allen suffered a back injury during the third drive. This left a two-man rotating in the third quarter, in which Davis led Hall at 10 snaps to eight. Allen was able to return late in the third quarter and was used on a limited basis over the rest of the game. In the fourth quarter, Hall ended up leading the team in snaps.
This was a lot less playing time than Hall is used to playing. He ran nine times for 30 yards and a touchdown while catching two passes. Aaron Rodgers led the team in rushing yards.
It will be worth monitoring both the injury reports this week as well as what the coaches are saying about Hall before putting him in your fantasy starting lineup next week. As for the backups, it’s worth keeping them on your roster in case the Jets decide to shut down Hall for the rest of the season.
Miscellaneous Notes
Monitor Alvin Kamara’s health: The Saints running back suffered a groin injury early in the fourth quarter and didn’t return.
The Saints started the game with Kamara as the clear workhorse running back. He played 24 of the Saints’ 27 snaps over the first three quarters compared to Kendre Miller‘s three and Jamaal Williams‘ one. The Saints were losing the time of possession battle, and all of their drives were six plays or shorter, so Kamara naturally had a lot of time off. Had that pace continued, it would have been his first time hitting 90% of New Orleans’ offensive snaps all season.
After Kamara’s injury, Kendre Miller took over as the main running back. He played 23 of 27 snaps after Kamara’s injury, carrying the ball eight times and running 15 routes. The quarter consisted of three long drives, and Jamaal Williams took a few snaps in there.
If Kamara misses time, Kendre Miller would be a must-add player. The Saints have generally positive matchups against the Green Bay Packers and Las Vegas Raiders. The Saints’ offense has run entirely through their running back given their injuries at wide receiver and to Taysom Hill this season. Miller would be a must-start player.
Commanders adjust at wide receiver: The Comannders lost Noah Brown for the season due to a kidney injury.
For most of the season, the Commanders had Terry McLaurin and Brown as the starting outside receivers, and Dyami Brown as the backup outside receiver, while Olamide Zaccheaus and Luke McCaffrey split time in the slot. In recent weeks, Zacchaeus took the lead in the slot role.
With Noah Brown out, Dyami Brown took over as the clear outside wide receiver. Jamison Crowder returned from injured reserve after last playing in Week 3. Zaccheaus split time between the slot and the primary backup outside receiver, while Crowder played ahead of McCaffrey in the slot role.
The Commanders also signed K.J. Osborn off waivers from the New England Patriots. He was inactive for this game after just being on the team for a few days, but he could mix into the rotation on the outside. This could cut into Brown’s playing time on the outside, making it harder to like him as a waiver option even in deeper leagues. If the Commanders only want five active receivers on game day, McCaffrey may become a healthy inactive late in the year.
In most leagues, McLaurin will remain the only fantasy-relevant wide receiver. In DFS, it’s possible any of the other receivers could make a big play or two. The Commanders are one of the teams with the most cap space next season, and McLaurin and McCaffrey are the only ones under contract. Expect them to make some changes before 2025.
Monitor Zach Ertz’s health: Ertz suffered a concussion in the middle of the second quarter and didn’t return.
Ertz has been a high-floor tight end option all season, as he played very well in recent weeks with three straight games with a touchdown. In this game, he only caught two passes before his injury.
John Bates had been the second tight end on the depth chart over second-round rookie Ben Sinnott, who played a lot in 12 personnel this year, but Bates recorded 87 snaps in 11 personnel this season compared to Sinnott’s 13.
In this game, the two split 11 personnel work. Sinnott tended to play in passing situations while Bates tended to play in running. If Ertz needs to miss time, we could expect Sinnott to run roughly as many routes as Ertz was running. Sinnott caught his only pass for seven yards. Not many people would be willing to trust Sinnott in fantasy starting lineups considering his five career receptions, but it will be interesting to see if he plays well. He could be the starter next year if the 34-year-old Ertz doesn’t remain on the team.
Miscellaneous Notes
Add Rashod Bateman: The Ravens wide receiver made two long receptions for touchdowns.
Bateman has been the Ravens’ clear lead X receiver all season. He has been dealing with a knee injury since Week 13, which left him with no receptions in their last game, but after the bye week, he was a full participant in practice all week.
His fantasy value has been very inconsistent all season thanks to his 16.1-yard average depth of target mixed with a 14.6% target rate. His 80 receiving yards in this game were his second-most in a game this season, and this was the first multi-touchdown game of his career.
Despite the low target rate, he should be one of the top waiver wire options at wide receiver this week. The Ravens have a tough matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers next week but face the Houston Texans in Week 17. The Texans have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season. This should be a competitive matchup where the Ravens throw a lot. The Texans have allowed a relatively low completion percentage on deep passes, but they’ve also allowed the most deep touchdowns with nine. While Bateman would be a very risky start for fantasy championship weekend, he also has the potential for another big game.
Giants embrace a rotation of players: Multiple backups for the Giants played more than usual.
At running back, Tyrone Tracy and Devin Singletary received a relatively normal split in snaps, but their rushing attempts were closer than usual. Tracy ran 10 times compared to eight by Singletary, with both averaging 3.1 yards per carry. Singletary had both more receptions and the goal line rushing touchdown, leading to much more fantasy production.
At wide receiver, Jalin Hyatt was rotated in more often for Darius Slayton. Slayton consistently played at least 84% of New York’s offensive snaps for most of the season. He missed Week 10 but was eased back into action and played 85% of the team’s snaps last week. This week, he was down to 67% of the snaps. Slayton is an unrestricted free agent after the season, and he’s been one of the most productive wide receivers who is hitting free agency and under the age of 30. The fact that the Giants got Hyatt more involved could be another sign Slayton might not be back next season.
At tight end, Greg Dulcich made his debut with the team. He spent most of the season as a healthy inactive for the Denver Broncos. He was recently waived, and the Giants claimed him off waivers. Bellinger caught three passes for 35 yards, but there is a chance Dulcich continues to get more involved over these last few weeks.
Miscellaneous Notes
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