The NFL Week 11 schedule includes four division games, and the Philadelphia Eagles kicked off the action with a 26-18 win over division rival Washington Commanders on Thursday Night Football. The Eagles (8-2) won their sixth straight game to maintain their NFL standings atop the NFC East over the Commaners (7-4). Now more first place showdowns are set for Sunday led by the Baltimore Ravens (7-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2). Then AFC title contenders and first place teams Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) at Buffalo Bills (8-2) headline the late afternoon games.

The Chiefs-Bills and Ravens-Steelers games are the most bet contests at the leading online sportsbooks. The Chiefs are the most popular spread bet as a slight underdog and the most popular moneyline bet to win the game along with the Steelers and Bengals. The most bet totals to go over are the Bengals-Chargers and Chiefs-Bills games. The Ravens-Steelers total is the most bet under at 48.5 points.

NFL Week 11 Odds

Pro football odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Bet types, odds and terms with listed point spreads on favorites.

The division games on Sunday in Week 11 include:

• Green Bay (-5.5) at Chicago, game total 40.5
• Baltimore (-3) at Pittsburgh, 48.5
• Seattle at San Francisco (-6.5), 48.5

The rest of Week 11 games and NFL teams odds.

• Jacksonville at Detroit (-13.5), 46.5
• Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) at New England Patriots, 43.5
• Cleveland (-1.5) at New Orleans, 44.5 (flipped from Saints -1.5)
• Minnesota (-5.5) at Tennessee, 39.5
• Indianapolis at New York Jets (-3.5), 43.5
• Las Vegas (+7.5) at Miami, 43.5
• Atlanta at Denver (-1.5), 44.5
• Kansas City at Buffalo (-2.5), 46.5
• Cincinnati at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5), 47.5 SNF
• Houston (-7.5) at Dallas, 41.5 MNF

Teams on bye week: Buccaneers, Cardinals, Giants, Panthers

NFL Betting Trends – Latest Bet And Money Percentages

Betting remains brisk across the country as NFL fans watch and wager on the games and their most popular teams. FanDuel reports strong action on the Chiefs-Bills and Ravens-Steelers games, and NFL weather shows a slight chance of rain Sunday in both Pittsburgh and Buffalo.

The Best Las Vegas Sportsbooks

Las Vegas sportsbooks report more watch and wager action on college and pro football, along with Formula 1 racing as the Las Vegas Grand Prix hits The Strip Nov. 21-23.

Bettors searching for more analytics on each game, or a systematic analysis of data or statistics, may want to visit SharpFootballAnalysis.com. Free Week 11 access of premium NFL content with recommended bets and analysis provided by Warren Sharp, who works as a consultant for NFL teams and pro betting groups. Sharp Football Analysis provides cutting edge quantitative analytics with predictive NFL analysis & visualized data. Warren Sharp’s team of analysts also includes fantasy football analysis, props and other betting recommendations.

Some of the player prop recommendations in the most bet games among nearly a dozen released include:

• Steelers WR George Pickens longest reception over 26.5 yards
• Chargers RB J.K. Dobbins receiving yards under 17.5
• Chargers QB Justin Herbert rushing yards over 11.5

Following Saturday’s National Fast Food Day, the Bills are looking to put a New York favorite Shake Shack on the Chiefs. Will the Steelers enjoy tasty french fries from Wendy’s in victory, or the Ravens put a Chipolte smoked hot chilli pepper pounding on Pittsburgh?

3 Best Bets And Player Props Chiefs-Bills

Nine of KC’s last ten games have been decided by single digits. Kansas City is also 7-0 this season in games decided by 7 points or less as they continue to find fortunate ways to win including last week’s blocked field goal on the last play of the game in a 16-14 win over the Broncos. Before last Sunday, teams had a 1-54 record this season when finishing with a negative EPA (Expected Points Added). It’s a metric used to evaluate the impact of a play on the game’s score by estimating the difference in expected points before and after the play. The Chiefs tomahawked that trend again. Kansas City is also 14-3 straight up and 17-1 against the spread (ATS) as road underdogs since 2016.

Despite the Chiefs-Bills game total being a most popular over bet, the Playbook Sports Totals Tipsheet has a number of situational factors and trends that suggest less scoring than expected.

Ravens-Steelers

Bob Stoll of Dr. Bob Sports provides additional matchups and advance stats in the Ravens (7-3) vs. Steelers (7-2) AFC North first place showdown in Pittsburgh.

• Lamar Jackson completed 19-of-23 pass attempts for 250 yards from a clean pocket last week and Baltimore’s offense is humming. Jackson’s +103 EPA since week 5 is the 2nd-most in a six-game span since 2015.
• However, Mike Tomlin’s defense might be built to contain Jackson. Baltimore’s offense is targeting tight ends on 29% of passes (5th-most) but Pittsburgh’s defense is allowing -0.06 EPA/target to opposing tight ends (5th).
• The Ravens have a 45% rush success rate (4th) and RB Derrick Henry has forced a league-high 59 missed tackles but the Steelers are allowing -0.16 EPA/rush (5th). The Ravens (182 ypg) lead the league in rushing with the Steelers averaging 138 rushing yards per game. Both teams run the ball an average of 32-34 times per game.
• Baltimore rookie RT Roger Rosengarten ranks 3rd-worst in pass-blocking efficiency, and he will struggle across from edge rusher TJ Watt, who has 6.5 sacks (12th).
• The Ravens catch a break with Pittsburgh’s defense missing edge defender Alex Highsmith, who ranks 13th in pass-rushing efficiency. The Steelers did trade for edge defender Preston Smith at the deadline for depth.
• Baltimore’s yares per pass play versus Cover 3 is 26% more than against other coverages (5th) and I expect Jackson to look downfield in the seams for WR Rashod Bateman versus a Pittsburgh defense with the 2nd-highest Cover 3 rate. Bateman leads the Ravens’ offense with a 14.6-yard average depth of target.
• The Steelers are averaging 0.07 EPA/play since Russell Wilson took over under center (10th) but they have just a 40% success rate (25th). Wilson is completing an unsustainable 53% of his passes with at least 20 air yards. Pittsburgh WR George Pickens has two more deep receptions than every other receiver.
• The Steelers got back C Zach Frazier last week, and he ranks 4th in pass blocking efficiency. However, I do see some leaks in Pittsburgh’s offensive line.
• Steelers backup RG Mason McCormick will struggle against Nnamdi Madubuike, who had 3.0 sacks last week.
• Ravens edge defender Kyle Van Noy has 35 pressures (15th) and he will have a favorable matchup versus right tackle Broderick Jones, who has allowed a league-high 7 sacks.
• Wilson can check Baltimore’s pass rush with the screen game. Pittsburgh’s running backs have a 20% target share (8th-highest) and the Ravens defense is surrendering 0.41 EPA/target to opposing running backs (31st).
• The Steelers have the highest run-play rate adjusted for the situation in the NFL but the running backs will be shut down on the ground as Baltimore’s defense is allowing -0.20 EPA/rush (2nd).
• Our model makes Baltimore a 4.6-point favorite, with a predicted total of 49.5 points, but Pittsburgh applies to an 89-26-1 ATS home underdog momentum situation and home ‘Dogs that have won 3 or more consecutive game are historically good bets. I think the Ravens -3 is the right number.

Player Prop: Bet Ravens RB Derrick Henry over 5.5 receiving yards. Henry has forced a league-high 59 missed tackles. The Steelers run defense will slow him more than most teams, but Pittsburgh’s defense is allowing .27 EPA per target to opponents running backs, which ranks No. 28 in the league.

Dr. Bob Sports also has a best bet on the Rams over the Patriots Sunday with New England’s offensive line a real problem. Both tackles rank poorly by Pro Football Focus in pass blocking efficiency. The Patriots interior offensive line rank even worse and the Rams have some stronger defensive lineman in pass rushing efficiency, and top-10 in defensive yards per rush allowed.

The Ravens league-best running game is thriving with RB Derrick Henry leading the AFC in rushing (1,120 yards) – nearly twice the next closest AFC rusher, J.K. Dobbins (670) of the Chargers. Henry will take over the league-rushing lead Sunday and pass Eagles RB Saquon Barkley (1,137). Ravens MVP favorite and duel-threat QB Lamar Jackson (+110) has also accumulated +103.0 expected points added on dropbacks, the 2nd-most EPA generated by a quarterback in a six-game span over the last nine seasons.

NFL Injuries Week 11

Following the big game betting in NFL Week 11 action, the Bills have a bye week and the Steelers travel to Cleveland to battle the Browns on Thursday Night Football. The Steelers are a -3.5 point favorite on the Week 12 lookahead lines.

More sports betting news, football stats, player props and information you can bet on as the NFL draws more watch and wager action with player props driving additional engagement, entertainment and interest.

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