OK, so a lot of folks are probably surprised to see the Atlanta Falcons listed here. After all, Falcons running back Bijan Robinson has an average draft position of third among running backs.

Back in June, Falcons head coach Raheem Morris told reporters that his plans for the 2024 campaign included getting Robinson the ball as much as possible.

“When you get the ball in his hands, he makes people miss. He gets extra yards and he’s able to fight for extra yards, he breaks tackles, he’s fast, he’s explosive and he’s strong. He could do so many things that you can get overwhelmed sometimes, maybe as a play-caller or as a designer. For him, I think he really enjoys the whole process. I think he compared himself to that Christian McCaffrey role. If we can get anywhere near the great player Christian McCaffrey is, I think we will all be pretty excited.”

So, what’s the problem? It’s the same as a year ago—the presence of third-year tailback Tyler Allgeier.

Offensive coordinator Zac Robinson told reporters recently that just as he did last year, Allgeier is going to have a significant role in the Atlanta offense.

“Tyler’s going to have a great role in this offense,” Robinson said. “He just wants to get on the field in any way. Tyler is going to have a big role, and certainly, at certain points in the season, we’re going to be leaning on him.”

That last part should terrify fantasy managers spending a first-round pick on Robinson. Allgeier didn’t stop Robinson from being a top-10 running back last year, but his 204 touches in 2023 certainly capped Robinson’s fantasy ceiling.

Having two talented backs is a good thing for the Falcons. But for Robinson to live up to his ADP, he’s going to need to be a workhorse.

Workhorses don’t cede 200 touches to another back.