Tuesday features a seven-game main slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Let’s dive into some of the top plays on the slate using the FantasyLabs tools and projections.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.
You can also use our SimLabs Lineup Generator, a tool that creates the most user-friendly lineup generation process.
Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly.
Consult the NBA Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
The Spurs are coming off an embarrassing showing against the Pelicans in their last outing. They managed just 96 points despite the fact that New Orleans ranks 28th in the league in defensive efficiency. De’Aaron Fox was just 3-16 from the field in that contest, finishing with 31.75 DraftKings points in 34.1 minutes.
The good news is that Fox and the Spurs will get another crack at that matchup on Tuesday. The game ranks second on the slate with a 239.5-point total, while the three-point spread suggests plenty of value on both sides.
Fox should continue to carry the load for the Spurs offensively following the shutdown of Victor Wembanyama. Since joining the Spurs, Fox has posted a usage rate of 27.84% with Wemby off the floor, resulting in an average of 1.27 DraftKings points per minute. He also remains underpriced on DraftKings, where his $8,700 salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 92%.
On the other side of that contest, Jose Alvarado stands out for the Pelicans. Not much has gone right for New Orleans this season, but Alvarado has been a bright spot since returning from injury. He’s scored at least 35.75 DraftKings points in three of his past four outings, including his last game vs. the Spurs. Overall, he’s increased his production to 1.05 DraftKings points per minute over the past month.
Alvarado is expected to see around 30 minutes on Tuesday, and his price tag has yet to reflect his increased production. His $5,500 salary comes with an 87% Bargain Rating, and he has the third-highest projected Plus/Minus at the position.
Chris Paul is another potential option for the Spurs. He doesn’t have the same upside as Fox, but he’s been one of the biggest winners with Wembanyama off the floor so far this season. He’s seen a team-high +4.59% usage bump in that split, resulting in an average of 1.11 DraftKings points per minute. He’s struggled in back-to-back games, but he did have more than 40 DraftKings points sans Wembanayama three games ago. That makes him a decent bounce-back target.
Luka Doncic is coming off his best game with the Lakers, torching the Mavericks for 68.0 DraftKings points in just 30.6 minutes. Doncic has averaged 1.61 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he’s no longer on a minute restriction in Los Angeles. Doncic’s salary is cheaper than usual at $10,500, and he’s averaged a Plus/Minus of +7.11 with a comparable price tag since the start of the 2022-23 season (per the Trends tool).
Don’t forget to check out our NBA SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
The top implied team total of the day belongs to the Memphis Grizzlies, and it’s not particularly close. They’re currently implied for 127.25 points against the Suns, while no other team is above 121.75. That makes them a clear target.
Desmond Bane stands out as one of their strongest options. He’s a bit cheaper than usual at $7,100, resulting in a 74% Bargain Rating. Since the start of the 2022-23 season, Bane has historically averaged a Plus/Minus of +1.97 with a comparable price tag. His 10 Pro Trends are also tied for second-most at the position.
Bane hasn’t played his best basketball of late, but he’s still averaged a healthy 1.20 DraftKings points per minute for the year. With his salary decreasing by -$1,000 over the past month, this is an excellent buy-low opportunity.
Payton Pritchard has been one of the best reserves in basketball this season, but he’ll have a chance to take on a larger role on Tuesday. Jrue Holiday will get the night off for rest, so there’s a good chance that Pritchard will take his spot in the starting lineup. He’s currently projected for 30 minutes in our NBA Models, and he’s averaged 0.98 DraftKings points per minute for the year.
Holiday has missed 11 games for the Celtics this season, and Pritchard has averaged 30.8 minutes and 30.77 DraftKings points in those contests. Add in a strong matchup vs. the Raptors, and there’s very little not to like about Pritchard on this slate.
Is Bradley Beal a thing again? Probably not, but his recent results have been fantastic. He’s scored at least 25 points in four of his past five games, and he’s racked up at least 37.0 DraftKings points in all five contests. Beal has a proven track record as a scorer – he had two seasons where he averaged 30+ points per game – so he can put the ball in the hoop when given the opportunity. He has some upside in a pace-up spot vs. the Grizzlies at just $6,400, and his optimal lineup rate checks in more than five percent higher than his projected ownership.
Vince Williams is another way to potentially attack the Grizzlies. He’s not playing a ton of minutes, but he makes up for it with excellent per-minute production. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in four of his past five games, making him a low-risk, low-ceiling option at just $3,600. Ultimately, Bane is the only SG showing up in the optimal lineup simulations more frequently in Sim Labs.
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I’m going to continue to ride the Zion Williamson train at small forward. He’s been an absolute monster recently, averaging 1.66 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. The only reason his price tag is still below $10k is that he’s playing less than 30 minutes per night.
That doesn’t figure to change on Tuesday, but he still has the potential to do serious damage vs. the Spurs. The Pelicans have the second-highest implied team total on the slate, and Williamson is coming off 45.25 DraftKings points against the Spurs on Sunday. Even with just 28 projected minutes in our NBA Models, Williamson still ranks third at the position in ceiling projection and fourth in projected Plus/Minus.
Buddy Hield has struggled to find consistent minutes for the Warriors this season, but he’s popping as a solid value for Tuesday’s matchup vs. the Hornets. Hield is projected for 24 minutes in our NBA Models, and he’s averaged 0.92 DraftKings points per minute.
Hield is also affordable at $4,200. He can get red-hot from the perimeter, and on nights where his shot is falling, he has significant upside at that figure. Ultimately, he’s a boom-or-bust option.
Jaylen Brown is another potential option for the Celtics on Tuesday. He’s been one of the biggest beneficiaries when Holiday has been out of the lineup this season, averaging 45.36 DraftKings points across nine contests. That’s just slightly behind Jayson Tatum for the team lead (51.0), yet Tatum is $2,000 more expensive than Brown on this slate.
Royce O’Neale has had a wide range of outcomes for the Suns recently. He’s failed to return value in back-to-back games, but he had 46.0 DraftKings points three games ago. O’Neale has always been a solid per-minute producer, and he has the potential to play 30+ minutes vs. the Grizzlies. Like Beal, he’s another player whose projected ownership is checking in below his optimal lineup rate.
Paolo Banchero wasn’t really needed by the Magic in their last game. They cruised to a 20-point win over the Wizards, so he was limited to less than 30 minutes of playing time.
Playing time has been the biggest issue for Banchero this season. He missed a long stretch while recovering from an injury, and he’s played limited minutes for most of his return. However, he got to 37.2 minutes three games ago vs. the Hawks, and he’s projected for 34 minutes Tuesday vs. the Cavaliers. If he’s going to play that much, he’s simply too cheap at $8,300. He’s averaged 1.29 DraftKings points per minute for the year, and he’s scored at least 46.5 DraftKings points in three of his past five games.
Banchero is also projected for less than eight percent ownership on this slate, making him one of my favorite contrarian tournament options.
Santi Aldama’s stock is trending up. He’s played at least 28.8 minutes in back-to-back games, and that’s an appealing prospect. Aldama has averaged an elite 1.15 DraftKings points per minute this season, so he can do some damage with that much playing time. He’s responded with at least 29.5 DraftKings points in his past two outings, and he’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in six straight.
Aldama is projected for another 26 minutes on Tuesday, and he leads the position in projected Plus/Minus.
Kelly Olynyk is officially back in our lives. He’s spent most of the year toiling on the Raptors’ bench, but he’s gotten the opportunity to play a bit more since landing in New Orleans. He’s coming off 25.2 minutes in his last outing, and Olynyk has always been an elite per-minute producer. Olynyk has averaged 1.07 DraftKings points per minute so far this season, and he finished with more than 35 DraftKings points against the Spurs on Sunday.
Jimmy Butler wasn’t really needed in the Warriors’ last game, but he’s been a strong contributor since joining Golden State. He’s increased his production to 1.21 DraftKings points per minute, and he’s scored at least 43.25 DraftKings points in two of three games with at least 31.4 minutes. There’s plenty of blowout risk vs. the Hornets, but Butler has some upside if the game is more competitive than expected.
Alperen Sengun is one of the most frustrating players in fantasy. When he’s at his best, he’s capable of dominating a game like very few can. He can rack up fantasy points in every category across the board, giving him one of the highest ceilings in fantasy. Unfortunately, those nights don’t happen as often as you’d hope.
However, Sengun is coming off 55.5 DraftKings points in his last outing, and he’s a bit cheaper than usual at $8,500. It represents a decrease of -$500 over the past month, and he leads the position with 10 Pro Trends. If he can get to 32-34 minutes vs. the Bucks, he’s a great bet to return value.
Al Horford is another potential beneficiary of the Holiday absence. He’s averaged just under 30 minutes per game in nine games without Holiday this season, and he’s responded with an average of 24.75 DraftKings points per game. While that’s nothing to write home about, it’s more than good enough to pay off his current $4,200 salary.
That said, there’s a chance that Horford is also sidelined on Tuesday. He’s questionable with with a left toe injury, so make sure to monitor this situation before locking him into your lineups.
Wendell Carter Jr. is up to $5,100 on DraftKings, and he’s coming off just 20.3 minutes in his last outing. That’s a red flag, but he was still able to post a positive Plus/Minus for the fourth straight game. He’s expected to return to closer to 30 minutes on Tuesday, and as long as that happens, he should be able to provide value once again.
The Suns are doing everything possible to try to stay relevant, and that means Kevin Durant has carried a monster workload of late. He’s played at least 38.5 minutes in six straight games, and he’s projected for another 38 minutes on Tuesday. Durant hasn’t been at his best recently, but it goes without saying that he has a massive ceiling with nearly 40 minutes of court time.
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