Thursday’s NBA schedule is the last chance for bettors to cash in before the NBA All-Star Break. There are five games on Thursday, beginning with Kings vs. Pelicans (+8.5, 235.5) and Warriors vs. Rockets (-6.5, 217) at 8 p.m. ET. The marquee matchup of the night features the Minnesota Timberwolves hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder at 8:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder have won seven consecutive games and are 7.5-point favorites on the road in the latest NBA odds. In the other two matchups, the Heat are 1-point favorites against the Mavericks and the Jazz are 8.5-point underdogs at home against the Clippers. 

SportsLine’s proven model has simulated every Thursday NBA game 10,000 times and revealed the best bets for every game. See all the NBA picks and player props at SportsLine right here.

The model has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-104 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-9 (67%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns. Here are three NBA best bets for Thursday:

Heat vs. Mavericks (8:30 p.m. ET): Heat -1 

Miami is coming off a disappointing 115-101 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday, which saw the Heat squander a fourth-quarter lead. Despite the defeat, the Heat will waltz into this matchup with one of the league’s top-ranked defenses. Miami is giving up only 110.6 points per game, the seventh-fewest in the NBA. The Heat have won five consecutive games against an opponent from the Southwest Division and are 12-5-1 against the spread in their last 18 games played in February. Meanwhile, the Mavericks will be without P.J. Washington (ankle) tonight, who’s averaging 14.2 points and 8.2 rebounds this season. See all of the model’s Heat vs. Mavericks picks here. 

The Pick: Heat (-1) – Miami covers the spread in 66% of the model’s simulations
Projected final score: Heat 110, Mavericks 103 

Bonus pick: SportsLine’s NBA prop bet specialist Doug Kralstein is on a 75-56 (+1082) run on his NBA player props and he’s locked in his best bet for Heat vs. Mavericks right here. 

Thunder vs. Timberwolves (8:30 p.m. ET): Under 221.5 

The Thunder are the league’s stingiest defense, holding opponents to 104.7 points per game. Oklahoma City is allowing its opponents to make only 36.7% of their field goals this season, which also tops the league. The total has gone Under in eight of Oklahoma City’s last nine games on the road against Minnesota. The Under has also hit in eight of the past 11 meetings between these two teams, a trend the model expects to continue on Thursday. See all of the model’s Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks here. 

The Pick: Under 221.5 – The Under hits in 73% of the model’s simulations
Projected final score: Thunder 114, Timberwolves 98

Bonus pick: SportsLine’s Jason La Canfora, who is 5-0 over his last five against the spread picks involving Oklahoma City, has locked in his ATS pick for Thunder vs. Timberwolves right here. 

Clippers vs. Jazz (9 p.m. ET): Jordan Clarkson Under 20.5 points + assists 

The Clippers feature one of the league’s most dominant defenses, ranking third in scoring defense (107.9) and field goals made (39.3%). SportsLine’s model points out that Clarkson has gone under his market when playing against teams with a winning record and top-third defense, falling short of his total points + assists market in eight of his last 15 matchups, with an average of 18.6 total points + assists per game. See all of the model’s Clippers vs. Jazz player props here. 

The Pick: Jordan Clarkson Under 20.5 points + assists – The model projects Clarkson will finish with 14.6 points + assists

Bonus pick: Get five more Clippers vs. Jazz props rated 4 stars or better here.

Want more NBA picks for tonight?

You’ve seen the model’s NBA best bets for Thursday. Now, get NBA advice from No. 1 SportsLine NBA expert Mike Barner, who is on a 79-51 (+1864) roll on NBA prop picks right here.

SportsLine’s model is a sizzling 18-9 on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Visit SportsLine to get all of its NBA picks for Thursday right here.