My MMA Gambling Podcast cohost Gumby Vreeland always says you can judge the strength of a UFC fight card by its co-main event. For UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev (aka UFC Vegas 103), going down on Saturday night in the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, we get Cody Brundage vs Julian Marquez in the co-main event slot. Hmm. For my MMA Main Card Pick of the Week: UFC Vegas 103, I’ve got a winning play for the lone heavyweight fight on the card.

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MMA Main Card Pick of the Week: UFC Vegas 103

UFC FIGHT NIGHT: KAPE VS ALMABAYAEV (AKA UFC VEGAS 103)

Main Card Start Time: 7:00 PM EST (ESPN+)

Former NFL player Austen Lane welcomes newcomer Mario Pinto to the octagon on Saturday night, and I expect him to be a gracious host. To start, Pinto is a perfect 9-0 as a pro, and is 11 years younger than Lane.

Those are enough reasons to pick him right there. But there’s more. The 6’6″ Lane is used to being bigger than his opponents, but Pinto is only an inch shorter with an inch less of reach. And he’s a finisher, with five knockouts and a submission win, and Lane gets himself knocked out too often (all five of his losses have come via knockout).

Take Pinto via T/KO to juice up this chalky line.

UFC Vegas 103 Main Card Pick: Mario Pinto (-345)

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