Welcome to the Friday edition of the Pick Six newsletter!
The NFL’s final Thursday game of the season was held last night and it went out with a bang. Actually, I take that back, it was only a bang if you like games with a lot of punts and not a lot of points. The Seahawks and Bears combined for more punts (13) than points (9) in a 6-3 Seattle win that ended up being the lowest scoring game of the NFL season so far.
We’ll be handing out grades for both teams in today’s newsletter, plus we’ll be taking a look at the miracle scenarios that the Bengals, Dolphins and Colts need to make the playoffs. And as always, we’ll have some picks and bold predictions to take you into the weekend.
Oh, and don’t forget, we have Saturday football tomorrow: There will be three games on NFL Network starting at 1 p.m. ET with Chargers at Patriots followed by Broncos at Bengals (4:30 p.m. ET). The nightcap will be Cardinals at Rams (8:10 p.m. ET) in a game that the Seahawks will be watching closely.
As always, here’s your daily reminder to tell all your friends to sign up for the newsletter. To get them signed up, all you have to do is click here. Let’s get to the rundown.
In the final Thursday night game of the season, the Seahawks won what might have been the ugliest game of the season with a 6-3 win over the Bears. The win kept the Seahawks’ playoff hopes alive and they’ll now be rooting for the Rams to lose on Saturday night against the Cardinals. A win by Arizona would set up a Week 18 showdown between the Rams and Seahawks that would likely be for the division title (The Rams can clinch a strength of victory tiebreaker in Week 18, so there’s a small chance they’d get in even if they lost to Seattle, but we don’t need to cover that now, let’s let the Seahawks enjoy their win).
Here are our grades from Seattle’s win:
SEAHAWKS GRADE: C
The Seahawks needed a win in the worst kind of way and they were able to get in thanks to a defense that came through with its most impressive performance of the season. Leonard Williams led a pass rush that had Caleb Williams on the run all night. The Seahawks linebacker tallied two of Seattle’s seven sacks in the game. The defense held the Bears to just 179 yards while only allowing one drive the entire game that got inside of the Seahawks’ 40-yard line. The Seahawks offense didn’t do much, but Geno Smith and Zach Charbonnet played well enough in the first half to set up two Jason Myers field goals, and in the end, that was all Seattle needed. This team will now sit and wait to see what happens with the Rams on Saturday night against the Cardinals, but the important part is that they’re still alive for a possible playoff berth.
Seahawks notes
BEARS GRADE: C-
The Bears offense has been getting close to rock bottom for nine straight weeks and they finally hit it on Thursday night. On the Bears’ first nine offensive possessions, they only had one drive that went for more than 16 yards. Caleb Williams didn’t have much time to throw — he was sacked seven times — but even when he did, he struggled to connect with his receivers in a game where he completed just 16 of 28 passes for 122 yards. The Bears offense also looked lost at the end of the game while driving for a potential game-winning field goal, but that’s hard to blame on Williams. Questionable coaching seemed to be the issue there. The Bears defense played a nearly perfect game, but the effort went to waste because the offense couldn’t move the ball. The Bears have now lost 10 games in a row and the only good news for this team is that the season will be over next week.
Bears notes
Finally, you can check out our full takeaways from the game here.
The Bengals are currently on a three-game winning streak and during the streak, there’s been a lot of talk about how they would be a dangerous team if they’re able to make the playoffs. So can they actually get in? That’s a great question. Glad you asked. Let’s figure that out.
There are currently three teams in the AFC that will need a lot to happen over the final two weeks to earn playoff berth, so we thought we’d take a look at what each team needs so you know what to watch for this weekend.
What Bengals need to get to the playoffs:
Verdict: If the Bengals can beat the Broncos on Saturday, they’ll still be alive in the playoff race heading into Week 18, no matter what else happens around the NFL. That being said, the Bengals are in a tough spot here for two reasons: For one, the Chiefs will likely be benching their starters in Week 18, which will make it much easier for Denver to win. And two, the Colts have the easiest remaining strength of schedule.
What Colts need to get to the playoffs:
Verdict: If this happens, the Colts, Dolphins and Broncos will all finish at 9-8 and although the Colts lost to the Broncos, they’d still get in the playoffs thanks to the Dolphins. With Miami at 9-8, that would create a three-way tiebreaker and the Colts would win that (The Colts would also win a four-way tiebreaker if the Bengals were to also win out in this scenario). The Colts can also get in by winning out and having the Chargers lose out, but with L.A. playing New England and Las Vegas, the scenario above feels more realistic for Indy.
What Dolphins need to get to the playoffs:
Verdict: In a head-to-head situation with the Broncos, the Dolphins would get in over Denver based on having a better conference record. The Dolphins also have two scenarios where they can get in if the Chargers lose out, but like we just said with the Colts, the Chargers losing out doesn’t seem likely since they’ll be facing the Patriots and Raiders.
If the Dolphins, Colts and Bengals ALL lose this weekend, then the AFC playoffs will be set with the Chargers and Broncos clinching the final two spots. The AFC playoffs will also be set if the Chargers and Broncos both win.
Former NFL star Eric Dickerson has held the single-season rushing record for 30 years and it sounds like he’d prefer to keep the record for a few more years. Dickerson rushed for 2,105 yards in 1984, which still stands as the best rushing season in NFL history. However, Saquon Barkley is gunning for the record and he could get it with just 268 yards over the final two weeks of the season.
During a recent interview with the Los Angeles Times, Dickerson shared his thoughts on Barkley possible breaking the record.
You can read more about Dickerson’s comments here.
If Barkley is going to set the record, he’s going to have his work cut out for him. First, he’ll have to face a resurgent Cowboys defense that has played well since Thanksgiving (The Cowboys have won four of five games in that span). After that, Barkely will get to face his old team, the Giants, and although he would likely LOVE to set the record against them, the reverse of that is that the the Giants will be going all out to make sure he DOESN’T get the record against them.
It’s officially time for your favorite part of the Friday newsletter, which is where I round up five NFL writers and we all make some picks for the upcoming week. Just in case you’ve forgotten, our five writers are: Pete Prisco, Jason La Canfora, Jordan Dajani, Tyler Sullivan and myself. In Week 16, we had a nightmare week, going 2-3 straight up and 1-4 against the spread. For the season, that means we’re now 39-41 ATS and 43-32 straight up.
If you’re new here, here’s how things work: I’ll give you one pick from each writer and then direct you to the rest of their picks. That way, if you like their pick, you’ll be able to click over and check out all of their Week 17 picks, but if you hate their pick, you can ignore the rest of their picks and move on with your life.
For more Week 17 NFL picks, you can check out out our CBSSports.com picks hub here.
After giving you some bold predictions for Week 16 last Friday, Garrett Podell is back with five more for Week 17. And if last week is any indication, he might nail them all. In Week 16, Garrett correctly predicted that the Ravens would destroy the Steelers and beat them by at least TWO TOUCHDOWNS, and that’s exactly what happened in Baltimore’s 34-17 win.
Let’s take a look at two of his bold predictions for Sunday:
Podell made a total of five bold predictions for Week 17, and you can check out all of them here.
It’s been a busy 24 hours in the NFL, and since it’s nearly impossible to keep track of everything that happened, I went ahead and put together a roundup for you.
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