• What: Michigan State at Maryland
• When: 6:30 p.m. Wednesday
• Where: Xfinity Center, College Park, Maryland
• TV/Radio: Big Ten Network/Spartan Sports Network radio, including WJIM 1240-AM and WMMQ 94.9-FM; SiriusXM Ch. 196 (MSU broadcast), 195 (Maryland broadcast)
• Records/Rankings: MSU is 22-5 overall, 13-3 in the Big Ten and ranked No. 8 in both the Coaches poll and The Associated Press poll, and is No. 10 per the college basketball analytics site Kenpom.com and No. 14 in the NCAA’s NET rankings. Maryland is 21-6 overall, 11-5 in the Big Ten and ranked No. 15 in the Coaches poll and 16 by the AP voters. The Terrapins are No. 15 nationally, per Kenpom, and 11 in the NET rankings.
• Projected betting line: Maryland -3 (via Kenpom)
• Coaches: Michigan State — Tom Izzo is 729-300 in his 30th season as a head coach, all with the Spartans. Maryland — Kevin Willard is 326-245 in his 18th season as a head coach, including 59-36 in his third season with the Terrapins. He previously spent 12 seasons at Seton Hall, after three at Iona.
• Series: MSU leads 16-7 all-time, including two wins last season.
Projected lineups
MSU
C (10) Szymon Zapala (7-0) 5.0
F (0) Jaxon Kohler (6-9) 8.0
G (3) Jaden Akins (6-4) 13.0
G (11) Jase Richardson (6-3) 10.8
PG (1) Jeremy Fears Jr. (6-2) 7.1
Maryland
C (25) Derik Queen (6-10) 15.9
PF (10) Julian Reese (6-9) 14.0
G (9) Selton Miguel (6-4) 11.9
G (1) Rodney Rice (6-4) 13.7
G (0) Ja’Kobi Gillespie (6-1) 14.9
• MSU update: The Spartans are back in the driver’s seat for the Big Ten championship after an impressive week, featuring wins at Illinois, against Purdue and at Michigan, to retake the lead in the standings. Michigan has since tied the Spartans, with both teams sitting at 13-3, with a game between the two looming at Breslin Center on the final day of the regular season. However, what that game means will be determined in large part by a lot of basketball before then. For MSU, that begins Wednesday night in College Park against a Maryland team that’s won eight of its last nine games, before hosting Wisconsin, which until Saturday’s overtime loss to Oregon had played like the best team in the Big Ten for a while. A lot was made of how daunting last week’s schedule was. In terms of quality of opponents, this week is likely more difficult.
MSU’s Jase Richardson was named Big Ten freshman of the week for the first time. Amazingly, it was also the first Big Ten weekly award received by any of the Spartans this season. Richardson, who tallied 21 points, six rebounds and three steals in 33 minutes at Michigan, could make an interesting case for Big Ten freshman of the year in what’s a loaded pool, including three projected NBA lottery picks in Rutgers’ Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper and Illinois’ Kasparas Jakucionis. If Richardson is the go-to guy down the stretch of a Big Ten title run, while at least two of the three others don’t even make the NCAA tournament, Richardson deserves serious consideration.
• Maryland update: The Terrapins have flown under the radar a bit this Big Ten season, perhaps because they began poorly — 1-3 and then 3-4, including early losses to Washington and Northwestern. But since then, they’ve won 8 of 9 games and 10 of 12. Among those wins: an 18-point win over UCLA, by 21 points at Illinois and by eight over Wisconsin. All five of Maryland’s starters average in double figures scoring and all five average more than 30 minutes per game in conference play. Freshman center Derick Queen and senior power forward Julian Reese are also two of the top four rebounding leaders in the Big Ten in league play, averaging 9.7 and 9.1, respectively.
• Matchup analysis: MSU’s depth has made a big difference in the second half of recent games. It could again Wednesday night at Maryland, which plays its starters a ton and does so for good reason — the Terrapins have a heckuva starting lineup (and not much behind them). That includes two big men who can score, rebound and protect the rim in Derick Queen and Julian Reese, and a backcourt with three high-volume 3-point shooters, all shooting 37% or better from beyond the arc, with Selton Miguel and Ja’Kobi Gillespie each above 42%. Miguel and Gillespie were both terrific evaluations in the transfer portal — coming from smaller programs, but with big-time game. Gillespie runs the show and is a good on-ball defender, too. The Terrapins are No. 2 in conference play in defensive efficiency, per Kenpom — behind only MSU — and lead the conference in block rate. I don’t love this matchup for the Spartans, which are at their best when they’re getting work done offensively headed toward the rim. MSU is the stronger rebounding team and if the Spartans can find a way to live in transition, that would be in their favor, both in terms of offensive efficiency and fresh legs.
• Prediction: Maryland can be a tough place to play when the Terrapins are winning. It’s a fickle fan base for a place that’s considered a basketball school. But times are good now and folks are excited about this team. It helps MSU that it’s a 6:30 p.m. start on a Wednesday. The Spartans need to win at least one of their two games this week to keep control of the Big Ten race. I think they’re more likely to beat Wisconsin on Sunday at home, though I’ve learned not to underestimate this group in difficult spots.
• Make it: Maryland 75, MSU 71
MORE: Couch: Inside Jase Richardson’s road from career-threatening surgery to MSU basketball revelation
— Graham Couch
Contact Graham Couch at gcouch@lsj.com. Follow him on X @Graham_Couch and BlueSky @GrahamCouch.
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