The Houston Rockets look to snap a five-game losing streak when they take on the revamped Dallas Mavericks in a key NBA Southwest Division matchup on Saturday. Houston is coming off a 127-114 loss at Minnesota on Thursday, while Dallas defeated Boston 127-120 that same night. The Rockets (32-19), who are 9-2 against divisional foes, are 17-10 on the road this season. The Mavericks (27-25), who are 5-4 against the Southwest Division, are 14-10 on their home court. Newly acquired big man Anthony Davis (abdomen) is expected to make his Mavericks debut after being acquired from the Los Angeles Lakers in the Luka Doncic trade earlier in the week.

Tipoff from American Airlines Center in Dallas is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Rockets have won both meetings this season, including a 110-99 win on New Year’s Day. The Mavericks are 4-point favorites in the latest Rockets vs. Mavericks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 226.5. Before making any Mavericks vs. Rockets picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 144-102 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.    

Now, the model has set its sights on Rockets vs. Mavericks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Rockets:

• Rockets vs. Mavericks spread: Dallas -4
• Rockets vs. Mavericks over/under: 226.5 points   
• Rockets vs. Mavericks money line: Dallas -178, Houston +149
• HOU: The Rockets have covered the spread in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.10 units)
• DAL: The Mavericks have hit the money line in 56 of their last 94 games (+16.00 units)  
• Rockets vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Rockets vs. Mavericks streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Mavericks can cover

Davis, who led the Lakers in scoring before being acquired by Dallas, has played in and started 42 games this season. He is averaging 25.7 points, 11.9 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 2.1 blocks and 1.3 steals in 34.3 minutes. In his last full game as a member of the Lakers, he registered a double-double with 42 points and 23 rebounds in 37 minutes in a 112-107 win at Charlotte on Jan. 27. He scored 36 points and grabbed 13 rebounds in a 118-108 win at Golden State on Jan. 25.

Also powering Dallas is point guard Kyrie Irving. In 41 games, all starts, he is averaging 24.4 points, 4.8 assists, 4.7 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 36.2 minutes. He is a dynamic shooter, connecting on 47.9% of his field goals, including 41.2% from 3-point range, and 90.3% from the free throw line. In Thursday’s win at Boston, he scored 19 points, while adding four assists, four steals and three rebounds. See which team to pick here.

Why the Rockets can cover

Shooting guard Jalen Green is among seven Houston players averaging double-digit scoring. In 51 games, all starts, he is averaging 21.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists in 33.2 minutes. In Thursday’s loss at Minnesota, he poured in 28 points, grabbed six rebounds and dished out five assists. In the New Year’s Day win over the Mavericks, he scored 22 points, while grabbing five rebounds. He had a double-double against Dallas in their Oct. 31 meeting, a 108-102 Houston win. In that game, he scored 23 points, while adding 12 rebounds and four assists.

Center Alperen Sengun has been a force for the Rockets. In 48 games, all starts, he is averaging 19.2 points, 10.6 rebounds, five assists and 1.3 steals in 31.4 minutes. He has registered a double-double in each of the last three games. In a 99-97 loss at Brooklyn on Tuesday, he scored 24 points, while grabbing 20 rebounds and dishing out four assists. He had 16 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists in the loss at Minnesota on Thursday. See which team to pick here.

How to make Mavericks vs. Rockets picks

The model has simulated Rockets vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under the total, projecting 218 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the NBA picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Rockets vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rockets vs. Mavericks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 144-102 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.