On Wednesday, Lucia Bronzetti (No. 77 in the world) meets Naomi Osaka (No. 73) in the Round of 128 of the China Open. Osaka is the favorite against Bronzetti, with -375 odds compared to the underdog’s +275.

Bronzetti’s most recent action was on September 14, 2024 at the WTA Monastir, Tunisia Women Singles 2024, when she lost 3-6, 4-6 to Rebecca Sramkova in the semifinals.

Osaka lost her most recent match on August 29, 2024 in the Round of 64 at the US Open to Karolina Muchova 3-6, 6-7.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 6:45 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Bronzetti vs. Osaka match information

• Tournament: The China Open
• Round: Round of 128
• Date: Wednesday, September 25
• Venue: National Tennis Center
• Location: Beijing, China
• Court Surface: Hard

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Match odds

Bronzetti stats

• Bronzetti has played 54 matches over the past year across all court types, and 21.2 games per match.
• Bronzetti has played 39 matches on hard courts over the past 12 months, and 21.1 games per match.
• Bronzetti has won 63.4% of her service games over the past 12 months, and 34.9% of her return games.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Bronzetti has won 34.6% of her return games and 64.4% of her service games.
• Over her last 10 tournaments, Bronzetti has won 61.2% of her service games and 34.8% of her return games.
• Bronzetti has converted 42.8% of her break-point opportunities overall (189 of 442) over the past year.
• Bronzetti has converted 52.2% of her break-point chances (71 of 136) over her last 10 tournaments.

Osaka stats

• Osaka is averaging 21.3 games per match in her 36 matches played in the past year across all court types, winning 52.7% of those games.
• Osaka is averaging 20.7 games per match and 10.1 games per set in 20 matches on hard courts in the past 12 months.
• Including all surfaces, Osaka’s service game winning percentage is 76.7% in the past 12 months, and her return game winning percentage is 28%.
• Osaka has a 77.6% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and a 27.1% winning percentage in return games.
• Over her last 10 tournaments, Osaka has won 76.1% of her service games and 30.4% of her return games.
• Osaka has won 45.3% of her break points in the past year (102 out of 225, which ranks 143rd).
• Over her last 10 tournaments, Osaka has converted 68 of 131 (51.9%) break points on all surfaces.

Lucia Bronzetti vs. Naomi Osaka head-to-head

• In the lone match between Bronzetti and Osaka in the last two years, in the Roland Garros Round of 128, Osaka won 6-1, 4-6, 7-5.
• In three total sets against one another, Osaka has taken two, compared to Bronzetti’s one.
• In 29 total games played between Osaka and Bronzetti, Osaka is on top, taking 17 of them.
• In one match between Bronzetti and Osaka, they are averaging 29.0 games and 3.0 sets per match.