The Buffalo Bills will square off with the Baltimore Ravens in Week 4 of the NFL season at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, scheduled to start at 8:20 p.m. ET. Following on from my preview of this game earlier in the week, I can now bring to you the latest predictions, including the best bet to make on the Bills today.

After simulating the game 10,000 times, the best bet to make is on James Cook. Although he has a high anytime touchdown probability of 36.1%, that’s not the bet! Scroll down to find out how we are wagering on the Bills’ running back tonight.

Jump to our early best bet

Despite the Ravens being slightly favored to win, Dimers’ model is projecting a close game, with the aforementioned Cook just behind Josh Allen (43.1%) as the most likely players to score for the road team tonight.

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Note: This preview includes Dimers’ best bets and predicted scoreline for the Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens. To unlock Dimers’ full suite of data-driven betting insights, which includes daily props, trends, and parlays, sign up for Dimers Pro with promo code SYRACUSE10, which will save you 10% off your first subscription payment.

Bills vs. Ravens betting preview

Utilize the interactive widget below to see the current spread, over/under, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Bills-Ravens game at M&T Bank Stadium.

This prediction and best bet for Sunday’s NFL matchup between the Bills and Ravens is from Dimers.com, a reliable source for sports betting predictions.

Check out all the important details on today’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Game details

Key information on the Bills vs. Ravens matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.

• Teams: Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Location: M&T Bank Stadium
• NFL standings: Current NFL division standings
• NFL injuries: Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report

Odds

Odds for the key markets in the Bills-Ravens NFL contest.

• Spread: Bills +2.5 (-110), Ravens -2.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Bills +118, Ravens -130
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110)

The odds and lines featured here are the best available from selected sports betting site at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert prediction: Bills vs. Ravens

Leveraging state-of-the-art data analysis and machine learning, the experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of Sunday’s Bills vs. Ravens game.

According to Dimers’ highly regarded predictive analytics model, the Ravens are more likely to defeat the Bills at M&T Bank Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Ravens a 59% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the bookmakers have got it right and the Bills and Ravens each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

As always, these predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Bills vs. Ravens best bet

Our top pick for the Bills vs. Ravens Week 4 NFL matchup is to bet on James Cook Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-114).

• Projection: 66.8 projected rush yards
• Probability: 65.5% chance of going over
• Edge: 12.2% edge on the odds

Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook now.

This expert betting advice is based on comprehensive modeling and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to help you make smarter decisions.

Score prediction for Bills vs. Ravens

Dimers’ projected final score for the Buffalo vs. Baltimore game on Sunday has the Ravens winning 24-22.

This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.

NFL player props: Sunday Night Football

Baltimore’s Derrick Henry is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Ravens, according to Dimers.

Henry has a 14.0% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium. The Ravens RB has a 56.5% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer prediction

Buffalo Bills

• Josh Allen: 10.0% probability
• James Cook: 7.9% probability
• Dalton Kincaid: 4.8% probability
• Khalil Shakir: 4.7% probability
• Keon Coleman: 4.5% probability

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry: 14.0% probability
• Zay Flowers: 7.9% probability
• Lamar Jackson: 7.5% probability
• Mark Andrews: 7.0% probability
• Isaiah Likely: 4.6% probability

Anytime touchdown scorer prediction

Buffalo Bills

• Josh Allen: 43.1% probability
• James Cook: 36.1% probability
• Khalil Shakir: 23.0% probability
• Dalton Kincaid: 22.5% probability
• Keon Coleman: 21.3% probability

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry: 56.5% probability
• Zay Flowers: 35.2% probability
• Lamar Jackson: 33.7% probability
• Mark Andrews: 33.1% probability
• Isaiah Likely: 22.3% probability

NFL Week 4: Bills vs. Ravens

Get ready for Sunday’s matchup between the Bills and Ravens in Week 4 of the NFL season at M&T Bank Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 8:20 p.m. ET. We emphasize that all of the NFL best bets and NFL predictions in this article are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Bills vs. Ravens game, and they are correct at the time of publishing to help you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

It is important to gamble responsibly and seek trustworthy sources for accurate and up-to-date information when making online betting decisions.