NFL Overreactions Week 10
Sports Seriously’s Mackenzie Salmon breaks down the wildest games in NFL Week 10.
Sports Seriously
The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills play on Sunday, Nov. 17 at Highmark Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 11 schedule.
Which team will win the NFL Week 11 game?
Check out these NFL Week 11 picks and predictions for the game, which can be seen at 2:25 p.m. MST on CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO).
The Bills are a 2.5-point favorite over the Chiefs in NFL Week 11 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
Buffalo is -135 on the moneyline, while Kansas City is +115.
The over/under (point total) is set at 45.5 points.
NFL Week 11 picks: Commanders vs Eagles | Packers vs Bears | Jaguars vs Lions | Raiders vs Dolphins | Rams vs Patriots | Browns vs Saints | Ravens vs Steelers | Vikings vs Titans | Colts vs Jets | Falcons vs Broncos | Seahawks vs 49ers | Chiefs vs Bills | Bengals vs Chargers | Texans vs Cowboys | The Arizona Republic’s predictions
Watch Chiefs at Bills live with FUBO (free trial)
Jeremy Cluff writes: “Kansas City brings a perfect 9-0 record into this game (and has won 15 straight dating to last season), but the Bills have won five in a row and are a perfect 4-0 at Highmark Stadium. Josh Allen and Buffalo will win a thriller over Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.”
Bill Speros writes: “The ‘Game of the Year’ highlights the Week 11 schedule. Jim Nantz and Tony Romo will add to this AFC Championship Game preview feel. The Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes just do whatever it takes to win. In their 9-0 start, 8 of those wins came by 1 score or less. Sunday’s 16-14 win over Denver wasn’t clinched until KC blocked a last-second, 35-yard field goal try. The Chiefs are winning in all three phases: Mahomes, Defense, and Special Teams. They haven’t lost since Christmas. If they’re going to lose one game in the regular season, this one will be it. The key match-up is Steve Spagnuolo’s defense vs. Josh Allen. Kansas City has covered at Buffalo 4 straight times. Wait a minute . . . Mahomes is 13-1-1 ATS when getting points as a betting underdog, including his Super Bowl 58 win and KC’s outright 28-20 Week 7, both over San Francisco. His one loss ATS as an underdog? To the Bills. Not enough.”
The site’s formula predicts that the Bills will win the NFL Week 11 game against the Chiefs.
NFL Week 11 odds: Point spreads, moneylines, over/unders | Super Bowl odds | NFL MVP odds | NFL Coach of the Year odds
The site gives the Chiefs a 45.4% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
That’s right, the site predicts a tie between the two AFC powers on Sunday, writing: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Chiefs a win probability of 52%, while the Bills have a win probability of 48%.”
NFL strength of schedule: NFC rankings | AFC rankings
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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