There’s no denying the 2024 rookie class exceeded all expectations from a dynasty perspective, specifically at the quarterback and wide receiver positions. If you loaded up on 2024 rookie picks in your dynasty league, chances are you saw a substantial increase in roster value this season.
With today’s article, I wanted to look back at the 2024 rookie class to see where player expectations should lie moving into Year 2. Which guys should we be investing in this offseason? Are there any sell-high candidates? I have the answers for you below.
The 2024 draft class produced several league-winning dynasty options for us to build our rosters around. For this article, we will be discussing dynasty value based on Superflex, tight end-premium formats, as this is generally the most common set-up.
In dynasty superflex, Jayden Daniels should be considered a top-three asset alongside Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. The 2024 Rookie of the Year has an elite fantasy ceiling, given his rushing upside, averaging nearly 22 fantasy points per game in his rookie campaign. He’s a borderline untouchable asset in this format.
The big question mark entering 2025 for New York is the quarterback position. However, Malik Nabers proved he’s “quarterback-proof”, finishing second in targets and fifth in receptions in the NFL, all while dealing with Daniel Jones and Drew Lock under center. Buy aggressively; Nabers is a locked-and-loaded top-five dynasty receiver for years to come.
Brock Bowers is quite simply the definition of a generational talent. He’s the unquestioned TE1 in dynasty, although you could argue Trey McBride deserves to be in this tier as well. Bowers should be considered a borderline first-round pick in Superflex, tight end-premium startup drafts. The positional advantage he provides cannot be understated.
The things Drake Maye was able to do as a rookie, given his putrid offensive line and lack of receiving options, were truly incredible. Maye has the big-play ability and rushing upside to be an elite dynasty option for the next decade. Let’s hope New England invests in a real receiver early in this year’s draft.
The analytics community was not fully sold on Brian Thomas Jr. when he first entered the league, but he’s put all those concerns to bed after a legendary rookie season. I expect new Jaguars head coach Liam Coen to bring Trevor Lawrence‘s game to another level, which will help elevate Thomas’s game even further. Thomas is easily a top-eight dynasty wide receiver moving forward.
Caleb Williams’ rookie season was a slight disappointment in terms of production, but he flashed enough for us to be excited in dynasty. Enter new head coach Ben Johnson, who had Detroit operating as a top NFL offense the past two seasons, and we may have something here. Williams should be considered a borderline top-24 Superflex asset.
Four quarterbacks in the “foundational pieces“ section? That’s just how good this 2024 class was. Few players saw a more significant rise in dynasty value this past season than Bo Nix. This is no fluke; Nix is the real deal, and Sean Payton seems to love him. I would value him right in line with Caleb Williams.
The players listed below may not necessarily have league-winning upside, but they are special players in their own right and are must-start assets every week. They should all be considered in rounds three or four of a Superflex startup draft.
Ladd McConkey established himself as Justin Herbert‘s No. 1 WR as a rookie, finishing with 124 targets, 91 receptions, 1,346 yards and eight touchdowns. I wouldn’t worry about the possibility of the Chargers adding another receiving weapon. If anything, this should help open things up for McConkey.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – ARI)
While Marvin Harrison Jr. failed to meet expectations in Year 1, I’m far from ready to call him a bust. Unfortunately, he was often used as a decoy deep, which Trey McBride benefited from underneath. Hopefully, Harrison will be schemed up in a more fantasy-friendly fashion in 2025.
Humble brag time: Bucky Irving is by far my most-owned dynasty asset, with most of my shares being acquired during 2024 rookie drafts for a fraction of his current price. He’s a dynamic, shifty rusher with receiving upside and the clear No. 1 RB in Tampa.
To close things out, I’ll be covering two 2024 prospects I feel are sell-high candidates this offseason, given their current dynasty price. Use our dynasty trade calculator to gauge value.
Jalen McMillan was one of my biggest targets in rookie drafts last offseason, so it pains me to add him to this list. After a red-hot finish to his rookie year, McMillan is now being valued as a mid-WR3 by the dynasty community. The problem is that most of his fantasy production was propped up by some touchdown luck (seven touchdowns in his final five games).
Touchdowns are the most volatile statistic year-over-year, so chasing touchdown production is a dangerous game. McMillan is a talented player, but he’s more likely to lose value than gain value in 2025. If Chris Godwin leaves, this should push McMillan up the rankings even further, making him an excellent sell candidate.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. was a fun story, transitioning from wide receiver to running back after five college seasons and finally breaking out in Year 6 for Purdue. Tracy was thrust into the No. 1 RB role following a groin injury to Devin Singletary early in the season, and he never looked back.
While Tracy had an impressive rookie year and exceeded all expectations, I don’t know if his job is safe long-term. Being a Day 3 selection means the Giants have little team investment in Tracy. With a loaded 2025 running back draft class entering the league, there are probably 15+ backs who could seriously compete for touches alongside Tracy. I’d get out while he’s still valued as a mid-RB2, as his days may be numbered.
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