Denis Shapovalov will sqaure off with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the semi-finals at the 2025 ATP Mexico Open tournament on Saturday.

This article features Stats Insider’s prediction and tips for the Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday’s Shapovalov-Davidovich Fokina men’s singles match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Shapovalov a 55% chance of winning against Davidovich Fokina at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday’s ATP Mexico Open match between Shapovalov and Davidovich Fokina are listed here:

• Head to Head: Shapovalov $1.57, Davidovich Fokina $2.37
• First Set: Shapovalov $1.66, Davidovich Fokina $2.20

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Shapovalov at $1.57 and Davidovich Fokina at $2.37.

TAB currently has odds for Shapovalov to win the first set at $1.66 and odds for Davidovich Fokina to win the first set at $2.20.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Davidovich Fokina at $2.37 with TAB
• First Set: Davidovich Fokina at $1.83 with TAB (50% probability)

If you see a 🔥, that means it’s one of our best tips of the day across all sports.

Today’s Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Shapovalov is more likely to win the match, betting on Davidovich Fokina to win is the best option because of the 5.5% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.

And while Shapovalov is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Davidovich Fokina ($1.83) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match at the ATP Mexico Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Shapovalov-Davidovich Fokina match at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: ATP Mexico Open Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Mexico Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is scheduled to begin at 1:30pm AEDT.

• Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
• Date: Saturday 1 March 2025
• Approx. Time: 1:30pm AEDT
• Event: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men’s Singles 2025
• Round: Semi-finals

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it’s vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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