Commonwealth Turf: Odds, PPs, more for Churchill feature
Photo:
Hawthorne Race Course
Three-year-old turfers take center stage in the Grade 3, $300,000 Commonwealth Turf Stakes at Churchill Downs on Saturday.
A field of eight is expected for the 1 1/16-mile turf test, which goes as race 10 of 11 at approximately 5:25 p.m. EST. FanDuel TV will carry the live broadcast of the Commonwealth Turf.
Visit Horse Racing Nation’s free past performances page today for downloadable PPs for the Commonwealth Turf and more courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.
We also have Super Screener picks and analysis for the Commonwealth Turf as well as recent top speed figures for each contender.
Best speed figures
| Post | Horse | ML | Beyer | TimeformUS | HRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Boy Prince | 6-1 | 97 | 118 | 106 |
| 2 | Telescopic | SCR | SCR | SCR | SCR |
| 3 | Dashman | 5-2 | 88 | 112 | 98 |
| 4 | Ak Sar Ben Derby | 10-1 | 83 | 110 | 101 |
| 5 | Piper’s Factor | 20-1 | 88 | 112 | 96 |
| 6 | Will Take It | 30-1 | 82 | 107 | 101 |
| 7 | Lagynos | 4-1 | 87 | 115 | 101 |
| 8 | Herchee | 3-1 | 89 | 121 | 104 |
| 9 | Evade | 7-2 | 92 | 118 | 109 |
Looking at the pace
My Boy Prince and Herchee are projected to show the most early speed in the Commonwealth Turf, though the pace should not be too fast. Ak Sar Ben Derby figures to be the back marker.
Pace projector appears courtesy of TimeformUS.
HRN picks
This week’s Super Screener has identified the J. V. Morreale Memorial Stakes at the Fair Grounds as a prime betting opportunity this Saturday.
“Benoit will be in that ideal pressing position on a surface that rewards early speed despite the long stretch,” Super Screener creator Mike Shutty says. “This horse is getting really good at the right time, producing his three best performances in his last three starts.”
Subscribe to Super Screener now to take advantage of our Black Friday deal and get every week through the Kentucky Derby for $97! This package also includes daily Power Picks and Horses to Single reports.
Ed DeRosa’s Commonwealth fair odds believe My Boy Prince is heading the wrong way and that Herchee is the best bet on the board.
DeRosa also has Chilukki fair odds, and he believes Two Sharp is simply too good for her competition in the other Saturday stake at Churchill.
For more analysis of the Commonwealth and the Chilukki, check out the latest edition of HorseCenter.
Find out why J. Keeler Johnson will be following the progress of Calling Card in his updated Horses to Watch column.
California Horse Racing Board vice chairman Oscar Gonzales is featured on the newest edition of the Ron Flatter Racing Pod.
Here’s the field for the Commonwealth Turf Stakes (G3):
| Post | Silks | Horse / Sire | Rating | Trainer / Jockey | Last Start / Next Start | HRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
My Boy Prince Cairo Prince |
5.77 | 6-1 | ||
|
Last Race Next Race |
||||||
| 2 |
|
Telescopic American Pharoah |
0.00 |
6th, CD ALW (11/21/2024-R9) |
30-1 | |
|
Last Race Next Race |
6th, CD ALW (11/21/2024-R9) |
|||||
| 3 |
|
Dashman Oscar Performance |
5.79 | 5-2 | ||
|
Last Race Next Race |
||||||
| 4 |
|
Ak Sar Ben Derby Tapiture |
0.00 | 10-1 | ||
|
Last Race Next Race |
||||||
| 5 |
|
Piper’s Factor The Factor |
0.00 | 20-1 | ||
|
Last Race Next Race |
||||||
| 6 |
|
Will Take It Tapit |
0.00 |
3rd, KEE ALW (10/18/2024-R10) |
30-1 | |
|
Last Race Next Race |
3rd, KEE ALW (10/18/2024-R10) |
|||||
| 7 |
|
Lagynos Kantharos |
5.80 | 4-1 | ||
|
Last Race Next Race |
||||||
| 8 |
|
Herchee Twirling Candy |
5.84 | 3-1 | ||
|
Last Race Next Race |
||||||
| 9 |
|
Evade Wootton Bassett |
5.84 | 7-2 | ||
|
Last Race Next Race |
||||||
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