ATP 250 Delray Beach quarterfinals

Arnaldi – Nakashima: 15.02.2025 00:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Matteo Arnaldi has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dallas, Matteo reached the quarterfinals, losing against Munar in three tight sets. Arnaldi defeated Tien in the opening round match this week in Delray Beach. He served well, hitting 24 aces with only two double faults. Last year in Delray Beach, Arnaldi was stopped in the second round, losing against Hijikata in three tight sets.

Brandon Nakashima has lost three of his last five matches. At the beginning of the season, he struggled with his form. He lost in the opening rounds of Hong Kong, the Australian Open, and Dallas last week. Nakashima won his opening match against Trotter this week in Delray Beach in straight sets. He served fantastic, but he did not offer any breakpoints. In the second round, Nakashima won against Opelka in three sets yesterday. After losing the first set 3-6, Nakashima stayed composed and turned the match around.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 match, but we disagree. Matteo Arnaldi is in better form than Nakashima. He enjoys playing on outdoor hard courts. Last season in Montreal, under similar conditions, Arnaldi reached the semifinals of the Masters 1000 tournament. We expect him to be a better player tonight and win.

That being said, Arnaldi winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Arnaldi winning @2.00 @bet365

Fritz – Davidovich Fokina: 15.02.2025 02:00 CEST
H2H: 2-2

Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dallas, Shapovalov upset Fritz in the second round. He is the first seed this week in Delray Beach. It is his eighth appearance here. In the opening main draw round, Taylor won against Bu in straight sets. Fritz has won consecutive ATP titles in Delray Beach in 2023 and 2024. He defeated Paul in straight sets last year in the final. So far this season, Fritz has won the United Cup title with the USA, his most significant result.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dallas, Alejandro lost in the second round against Arnaldi in straight sets. Last season was a disappointing season for Davidovich Fokina. It is his first appearance in Delray Beach. In the opening round, Alejandro won against Daniel in straight sets. Alejandro trailed 1-4 in the second set but turned it successfully around. In the second round, Alejandro won against McDonald in three sets. Around this time last year, he played in Doha, losing in the opening round against Mensik in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Davidovich Fokina is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Alejandro played well at the Australian Open and continued his form in Delray Beach. He is a tough opponent when he plays his best tennis, and we expect him to keep this match tight.

That being said, Alejandro covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports