On Wednesday, Alexander Shevchenko (No. 61 in the world) takes on Aslan Karatsev (No. 139) in the Round of 16 of the Astana Open. In this matchup, Karatsev is favored (-115) versus Shevchenko (-110) .

Karatsev’s last match was a win, 6-7, 6-4, 6-4, over Aziz Dougaz on September 30, 2024 in the qualifying round at the Rolex Shanghai Masters.

Shevchenko was defeated in two sets the last time he competed, falling 4-6, 5-7 to Corentin Moutet at the qualifying round of the China Open on September 24, 2024.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 6:45 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Karatsev vs. Shevchenko match information

  • Tournament: The Astana Open
  • Round: Round of 16
  • Date: Wednesday, October 16
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Match odds

Aslan Karatsev Alexander Shevchenko
-115 Odds to Win Match -110

Karatsev stats

  • Karatsev has played 23 matches over the past 12 months (across all court surfaces), and 23.2 games per match (21.5 in best-of-three matches).
  • In his 16 matches on hard courts over the past year, Karatsev has played an average of 20.7 games (20.7 in best-of-three matches).
  • Karatsev has won 76.3% of his service games over the past 12 months, and 20.9% of his return games.
  • On hard courts over the past 12 months, Karatsev has won 22.8% of his return games and 79.3% of his service games.
  • Over his last 10 tournaments, Karatsev has won 21.8% of his return games and 74.1% of his service games.
  • Including all surfaces over the past year, Karatsev has converted 52 of 142 break points (36.6%).
  • Over his last 10 tournaments, Karatsev has converted 36 of 103 (35.0%) break points on all surfaces.

Shevchenko stats

  • In the past year, Shevchenko has competed in 59 total matches (across all court types), winning 47.4% of the games. He averages 24.9 games per match (23.8 in best-of-three matches) and 10.1 games per set.
  • Shevchenko has averaged 25.2 games per match (25 in best-of-three matches) and 10.3 games per set through 39 matches on hard courts in the past 12 months, winning 48.6% of those games.
  • Shevchenko has a 73% service game winning percentage and a 21% return game winning percentage on all surfaces in the past 12 months.
  • Shevchenko has 351 wins in 466 service games while playing on hard courts (75.3%), and 97 wins in 468 return games (20.7%).
  • Shevchenko has won 67% of his service games over his last 10 tournaments, and 24.4% of his return games.
  • Shevchenko’s 40.8% break point win percentage (137-for-336) ranks 64th in the past 12 months.
  • Shevchenko has converted 42.3% of his break-point opportunities (41 of 97) over his last 10 tournaments.

Aslan Karatsev vs. Alexander Shevchenko head-to-head

  • In the one match between Karatsev and Shevchenko in the last two years, in the Roland Garros Round of 128, Shevchenko won 6-4, 4-6, 1-6, 6-1, 6-4.
  • Shevchenko has taken three sets versus Karatsev (60.0%) compared to Karatsev with two.
  • Shevchenko and Karatsev have played 44 total games between them, with Shevchenko winning more of them (23).
  • Karatsev and Shevchenko are averaging 44.0 games and 5.0 sets in their one match against each other.