Kansas State had everything working in its favor heading into Saturday night’s matchup with Arizona State.
Coming off a bye week, playing in the friendly confines of Billy Snyder Family Stadium — where they were 4-0 — in a familiar late-season college football game with Big 12 championship implications, the Wildcats had every reason to feel good about their prospects.
But Arizona State had other plans.
The Sun Devils raced out to a 24-0 lead and led by at least two scores the entire game in a thorough 24-14 victory over a team that was favored by 7.5 points.
Now, finally, Arizona State should get its just due.
Kansas State and Arizona State came into Saturday’s game with identical records and very similar resumes, yet the Wildcats have been ranked in the AP Top 25 poll all season and are No. 16 in the College Football Playoff rankings.
If you watched film the last two weeks, there’s no way the Wildcats should have been favored by 7.5 points. In their last game Kansas State gave up 24 points to a historically deficient Houston offense, and struggled mightily on offense in a bad loss.
Arizona State, on the other hand, had been rolling on offense. Redshirt freshman quarterback Sam Leavitt had 6 touchdown passes and no picks in his last two games, and sophomore wide receiver had 15 catches for 180 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Both Leavitt and Tyson and clearly NFL-caliber players, and the Sun Devils added another pro prospect to the lineup on Saturday with the return of running back Cam Skattebo.
It makes you wonder what the oddsmakers — and the CFP committee — are watching.
It stands to reason — based on Kansas State’s No. 16 ranking coming into the game — that Arizona State should be in the top 20 of the next CFP Rankings, which come out Tuesday.
The Sun Devils are now tied for third place in the Big 12 with Iowa State, one game behind Colorado and two games behind BYU (pending Saturday night’s BYU-Kansas result). And ASU is clearly playing its best football of the season.
Here are how the last 10 of the CFP Rankings looked heading into Saturday’s games:
Kansas State (7-3), No. 19 Louisville (6-4), No. 22 LSU (6-4) and No. 23 Missouri (7-3) all lost. And all four should drop out of the rankings. Arizona State should be No. 19 at worst, assuming Washington State (8-1) beats New Mexico Saturday night.
If the Sun Devils land in the top 20, it sets up some fascinating scenarios for next week’s home game vs. No. 6 BYU (9-0). If ASU knocks off the Cougars, would they leapfrog them in the CFP Rankings, despite having two losses?
Whatever happens next week, the Sun Devils have put themselves in a position that no one outside of that locker room expected them to be in.
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Heather Dinich, Senior College Football InsiderJan 10, 2025, 07:51 PM ETClose College football reporter Joined ESPN.com in 2007 Graduate of Indiana University